2026 Canadian Open Expert Picks to Win: Outright Predictions for Hamilton Golf & Country Club
This week, the PGA Tour is heading to Canada for the 2026 season’s RBC Canadian Open. Our expert picks for the tournament have Rory McIlroy as the clear favorite according to the odds on our top golf betting sites for Hamilton Golf and Country Club.
Last year, Nick Taylor made history as the first local to win the Canadian Open in nearly seven decades. In a playoff against Tommy Fleetwood, Taylor secured his third PGA Tour victory with an impressive 72-foot putt.
Taylor, who has won four PGA Tour events, is once again considered a moderate underdog in the 2026 Canadian Open odds from top sportsbooks in Canada. Rory McIlroy, a two-time Canadian Open champion and currently ranked No. 3 in the Official World Golf Ranking, is the clear favorite with odds as low as +330 to win again after his 2019 victory at Hamilton Golf and Country Club.
This week in Hamilton, Taylor leads the pack of 25 Canadians as they vie to outshine McIlroy, Fleetwood, and the other 156 competitors in the field.
Canadian Open info
- Where: Hamilton Golf & Country Club, Hamilton, Ontario
- When: Thursday, May 30 – Sunday, June 2
- How to watch: Golf Channel and CBS
- 2026 champion: Nick Taylor
- Favorite: Rory McIlroy (+375 via FanDuel)
2026 Canadian Open outright picks: Who’ll win in Hamilton?
Chances available on our Ontario sports betting platforms.
Tom Kim
Kim is showing signs of improvement after a rough start to his 2026 PGA Tour season.
The winner of the Shriners Children’s Open in consecutive years during the fall swing has only achieved one top-20 finish since placing T-17 in the WM Phoenix Open in February. Most recently, he finished T-26 in the PGA Championship and T-24 in the Charles Schwab Challenge last week.
Despite shooting 4-over par in the final round last week, he maintained an average of 1.10 strokes gained: tee-to-green and 0.32 SG: around-the-green for the tournament. These have been reliable strengths for him this season, and there are signs of improvement in his approach shots. His accuracy off the tee will be crucial at the shorter Hamilton club, where distance may not be as much of a factor.
With +3300 odds from Betway, a $10 bet on Kim’s fourth career PGA Tour win could potentially return a profit of $330.
Odds: +3300 via Betway
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Akshay Bhatia
Bhatia did not make the cut in the recent Charles Schwab Challenge, but I see this as a potential advantage for many players traveling from Fort Worth, Texas, to Hamilton, Ontario for this week’s tournament.
In his last 20 measured rounds, Bhatia has improved in all key metrics except for SG: off-the-tee. His standout performances have been in SG: tee-to-green with 1.21 and SG: approach with 0.87.
These are the two main statistics we are concentrating on this week at a location where most competitors have limited tournament experience, and where having a strong driving distance will not give much of an edge.
Odds: +4000 via Betway
Robby Shelton
Despite his 4-over-par Sunday at Colonial Country Club, Shelton’s +20000 odds last week implied a win probability of just 0.50%, but would have returned a profit of $2,000 on a winning $10 bet for his T-9 finish in Texas.
Shelton achieved his best result of the 2026 season, marking his third made cut in the last four events following a season of struggling to make the weekend.
Shelton’s expertise lies in his short game, which proved to be a crucial asset during the 2019 Canadian Open at Hamilton Golf and Country Club.
We also explore underdog territory with our additional Canadian Open dark-horse selections.
Odds: +20000 via Betway
Canadian Open predictions
- Canadian Open expert picks
- Canadian Open long-shot picks
- Canadian Open odds
Hamilton Golf and Country Club course profile
- Par: 70
- Length: 7,084
- Greens: Poa annua
- Architect: Harry Colt and Robbie Robinson
2026 Canadian Open odds – May 27
(Betway’s odds as of Wednesday at 7:45 a.m. ET)
| Name | Betway |
|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | +400 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +1600 |
| Shane Lowry | +1800 |
| Sahith Theegala | +1800 |
| Corey Conners | +2200 |
| Alex Noren | +2500 |
| Cameron Young | +2500 |
| Sam Burns | +2500 |
| Tom Kim | +2800 |
| Adam Scott | +3300 |
Recent Canadian Open winners
| Year | Winner | Pre-tournament odds | Score to par | Course |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Nick Taylor | +6000 | -17 (playoff) | Oakdale |
| 2026 | Rory McIlroy | +900 | -19 (playoff) | St. George’s |
| 2021 | Canceled | |||
| 2020 | Canceled | |||
| 2019 | Rory McIlroy | +1000 | -22 | Hamilton |
| 2018 | Dustin Johnson | +550 | -23 | Glen Abbey |
| 2017 | Jhonattan Vegas | Field (+240) | -21 (playoff) | Glen Abbey |
| 2016 | Jhonattan Vegas | +8000 | -12 | Glen Abbey |
| 2015 | Jason Day | +800 | -17 | Glen Abbey |
| 2014 | Tim Clark | +5000 | -17 | Royal Montreal |
Historical odds via golfodds.com
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