NBA Finals MVP Odds, Predictions: Which Mavericks, Celtics Stars are Best Bets to Win Award?
As we approach the start of the NBA Finals between the Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics on Thursday, we are evaluating the top NBA Finals MVP odds, making predictions, and creating power rankings using the most favorable NBA odds for the 2024 championship series.
Jayson Tatum and Luka Doncic are gearing up for Game 1 of the 2024 NBA Finals, establishing themselves as frontrunners for the NBA Finals MVP title. The game kicks off on Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC, broadcasting live from TD Garden in Boston.
Tatum, the shining star of the Boston Celtics, has continued to lead the race for NBA Finals MVP during the playoffs, matching his team’s favoritism in the NBA championship odds. In the meantime, Doncic’s remarkable displays have elevated him in the odds rankings, mirroring the Dallas Mavericks’ path to their first NBA Finals appearance since 2011.
Yet, the competition for the Bill Russell trophy extends beyond Tatum and Doncic. As discussed in our analysis of NBA Finals odds and player props for Mavericks vs. Celtics, both teams have significant star power, indicating that there may be value in exploring dark horse candidates amidst the favored odds for Tatum and Doncic.
Check out the top NBA Finals MVP odds and predictions, as well as our expert NBA picks and power rankings of the top players for the Mavericks vs. Celtics matchup. Odds are provided by our top NBA betting sites, and pick confidence is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
2024 NBA Finals MVP odds
Odds as of Monday, June 3rd.
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | -115 | -120 | -120 | -115 | -125 ❄️ |
| Luka Doncic | +205 | +200 | +200 | +195 ❄️ | +225 |
| Jaylen Brown | +650 | +600 | +625 | +550 ❄️ | +600 |
| Kyrie Irving | +2200 | +2000 | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 ❄️ |
| Derrick White | +3500 | +3600 | +3000 | +3000 | +4000 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | +3500 | +5000 | +5000 | +2800 ❄️ | +5000 |
| Jrue Holiday | +5000 | +6500 | +6600 | +6000 | +5000 |
| P.J. Washington | +30000 | +29000 | +30000 | +15000 ❄️ | +20000 |
| Al Horford | +40000 | +37000 | +25000 | +30000 | +20000 ❄️ |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | +50000 | +29000 ❄️ | +30000 | +35000 | +30000 |
| Daniel Gafford | OFF | +29000 | +30000 | +35000 | +25000 ❄️ |
| Dereck Lively II | OFF | +50000 | +50000 | +35000 | +25000 ❄️ |
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NBA Finals MVP power rankings for Mavericks vs. Celtics
5. Jrue Holiday (Celtics)
Being the self-appointed leader of the Derrick White Fan Club™, I faced a difficult decision between choosing the versatile guard and his fellow backcourt player. However, considering the circumstances, I ultimately have to give the edge to the experienced Holiday as he heads into his second NBA Finals.
The market seems to be underestimating the 33-year-old guard who put up impressive stats in the Eastern Conference Finals, averaging 18.5 points, 7.3 rebounds, 5.8 assists, and 1.5 steals. His performance in that series showcased his valuable two-way skills, making him a key player on the court alongside Tatum and Jaylen Brown, who were both standout performers in the playoffs.
Holiday is the sole Celtics player with championship experience and will be responsible for defending either Doncic or Kyrie Irving in this series. If he excels in this role, he has the potential to earn MVP recognition similar to Andre Iguodala in 2015, but with an added offensive impact.
BetMGM offers odds of 66/1 for Holiday to win the award, which translates to a 1.49% chance according to our odds converter. A $10 bet on Holiday would pay out $660 if he does win, making this a potentially valuable long-shot bet worth considering before Thursday.
Top odds: +6600 at BetMGM
Bonus bets must be used within 7 days of receiving them. This offer is valid for new customers only. Other terms and conditions may also apply.
4. Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)
Irving has found redemption in the 2024 NBA playoffs, leaving behind his time with the Brooklyn Nets to lead the Mavericks to the NBA Finals. It seems fitting that he will face Boston, where he played for two seasons, in the championship round.
It is likely that Irving will be highly motivated to record impressive statistics against the team he departed under strained circumstances in 2019. This prospect is daunting for the Celtics, considering how their former point guard dominated the NBA’s top defense by scoring an average of 27 points per game on 49% shooting in the Western Conference Finals.
Despite his performance, Doncic still received MVP honors in the series. It will be difficult for Irving to surpass his superstar teammate unless Doncic is injured, which could impact the Mavericks’ chances of winning. Therefore, I can only place Irving as fourth on this list, but I see value in his 22/1 odds as a former NBA champion.
Top odds: +2200 on DraftKings
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3. Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Despite all the chatter about Tatum’s performance, Brown ultimately outshined him by winning the Eastern Conference Finals MVP award for averaging 29.8 points per game in a four-game series against the Indiana Pacers.
During Boston’s last appearance in the NBA Finals in 2022, Brown outperformed Tatum statistically. Brown led his team in scoring with 23.5 points per game and a usage rate of 28.8%. He also achieved the highest combined game score of 15.1 against the Golden State Warriors.
I believe Tatum is more likely to win the award compared to the other player, considering he is the favorite. However, I would strongly consider betting on his teammate who has better odds.
Top odds: +650 on DraftKings
2. Jayson Tatum (Celtics)
Although Brown was awarded MVP in the conference finals, Tatum outperformed him throughout the entire series, averaging 30.3 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game. However, Brown’s clutch plays in the final moments probably played a significant role in his MVP win.
However, Tatum has consistently outperformed his counterparts this season and throughout the “Jays era” in Boston. Despite his poor shooting in the 2022 NBA Finals, he was arguably the most well-rounded player on the court. Tatum poses the biggest challenge for the Mavericks, particularly when he can exploit mismatches against Dallas’ big men in isolation situations.
The Celtics had the third-highest net rating in regular season history (plus-11.8), with eight of the other nine teams in the top 10 going on to win a championship. If Boston follows suit, Tatum may be on track to win the coveted award.
Caesars offers the best odds at -115.
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1. Luka Doncic (Mavericks)
I recognize that Tatum is the clear frontrunner in this market, but I believe Doncic is the best choice to win this award.
The Mavericks’ standout player has been performing at an exceptional level during the playoffs, consistently making difficult shots and outmaneuvering his opponents. In the series against the Minnesota Timberwolves, known for their strong defense, he averaged 32.4 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 8.2 assists, achieving two triple-doubles in the postseason.
Doncic is the clear frontrunner to lead in both points and assists, and is closely behind Tatum in rebounds as well. His all-around domination could potentially lead to him winning a Bill Russell trophy, even if the Mavericks (+184 via FanDuel) do not win the series.
Bet365 is currently offering one of the top sportsbook promotions for the 2024 NBA Finals. They are offering Doncic to win NBA Finals MVP at +225, which is significantly better than the +195 odds offered elsewhere. The +225 odds suggest a 33.9% chance of winning, but if he does, a $10 bet could return a $22.50 profit.
Top odds: +225 at bet365
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Top 10 NBA Finals MVP power rankings
| Rank | Player | Team | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luka Doncic | Dallas Mavericks | +225 via bet365 |
| 2 | Jayson Tatum | Boston Celtics | -115 via Caesars |
| 3 | Jaylen Brown | Boston Celtics | +650 via DraftKings |
| 4 | Kyrie Irving | Dallas Mavericks | +2200 via DraftKings |
| 5 | Jrue Holiday | Boston Celtics | +6600 via BetMGM |
| 6 | Derrick White | Boston Celtics | +4000 via bet365 |
| 7 | Kristaps Porzingis | Boston Celtics | +5000 via BetMGM |
| 8 | P.J. Washington | Dallas Mavericks | +30000 via BetMGM |
| 9 | Al Horford | Boston Celtics | +40000 via DraftKings |
| 10 | Dereck Lively | Dallas Mavericks | +50000 via BetMGM |
NBA Finals predictions
- Mavericks vs. Celtics player props Game 1
- Mavericks vs. Celtics parlay Game 1
- Luka Doncic odds and player props Game 1
- Jayson Tatum odds and player props Game 1
- NBA Finals expert picks
- NBA Finals MVP odds, predictions
How to watch Mavericks vs. Celtics in 2024 NBA Finals
| Game | Location | Date |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | TD Garden (Boston) | Thursday, June 6 at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) |
| 2 | TD Garden (Boston) | Sunday, June 9 at 8 p.m. ET (ABC) |
| 3 | American Airlines Center (Dallas) | Wednesday, June 12 at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) |
| 4 | American Airlines Center (Dallas) | Friday, June 14 at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) |
| 5 | TD Garden (Boston) | Monday, June 17 at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) |
| 6 | American Airlines Center (Dallas) | Thursday, June 20 at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) |
| 7 | TD Garden (Boston) | Sunday, June 23 at 8 p.m. ET (ABC) |
Predictions and power rankings for the NBA Finals MVP were made on Monday at 4:30 p.m. ET.
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