Michigan vs. Iowa Prediction, Picks & Odds: Big Ten Championship
The Michigan Wolverines are vying for a spot in the College Football Playoff as they prepare to face off against the Iowa Hawkeyes in the Big Ten Championship on Saturday. We provide our top prediction for the Michigan vs. Iowa game using the most current college football odds from our recommended betting sites.
Michigan is on the verge of clinching its third consecutive College Football Playoff appearance following a crucial win over rival Ohio State last week. Despite allowing over 24 points in their last two games, the Wolverines still maintain the top scoring defense in the sport.
At the same time, Iowa boasts a solid defense, coming into this week’s game with the fourth-best scoring defense in the country. But the question remains: can the 120th-ranked Hawkeyes’ offense put up enough points to stay competitive on Saturday?
In addition to our expert college football picks and player props for the Michigan vs. Iowa game, we are also providing our top prediction for the matchup. Our college football picks are based on odds from top betting sites and are rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars for confidence.
Michigan vs. Iowa prediction: Big Ten Championship
Iowa Under 0.5 touchdowns (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The over/under for this game at our top college football betting sites is set at 34.5 to 35.5 points. The Wolverines are favored by 22 points, suggesting a final score of 28-6. The Hawkeyes have only allowed 20+ points once this season, but facing the strong Wolverines may pose a challenge. While Michigan is the toughest opponent they’ve faced so far, there is no guarantee they will score four or more touchdowns.
Instead of betting on the Over, we suggest betting on the Hawkeyes to end the game without scoring a touchdown. Their average of 1.7 touchdowns per game is the fourth lowest in college football. In their last seven games, the Hawkeyes have only scored more than 20 points once.
The Wolverines have an impressive average of only 10.3 points allowed per game. Despite giving up 24 points in each of their last two games, they had not allowed more than 20 points in any of their first 10 games this season. Their opponents are scoring an average of just 1.2 touchdowns per game, ranking them third in college football behind Iowa and Ohio State.
You might want to think about betting on the under 6.5 for the Hawkeyes’ team at one of our top college football betting sites. The team typically only makes 1.7 field goals per game, and struggles to finish drives. Scoring three points on any drive would be seen as a success for Iowa in this game.
As a result, the Hawkeyes have a good possibility of scoring three field goals without advancing the ball beyond the Michigan 10-yard line.
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Michigan vs. Iowa best odds
DraftKings (-130)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| -130 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Currently, DraftKings is the sole provider of this particular prop among our top sports betting apps. While many major sportsbooks are offering the Hawkeyes’ team total Under 6.5 at a fair price, we advise against placing a bet on it to avoid the possibility of them scoring three field goals.
We don’t expect this price to decrease further, so we suggest holding off to see what other sportsbooks offer when they list this prop. A price of -110 or higher would be ideal. However, even at -130, this outcome is highly probable and nothing to be concerned about.
Michigan vs. Iowa odds
Michigan vs. Iowa odds analysis
The Wolverines were initially favored by 21.5 points, but despite the Hawkeyes’ strong defense allowing only 12.2 points per game, the spread has increased to 22 or 22.5 in four top sports betting apps. With 74% of bets currently supporting the Hawkeyes, it is unlikely that the spread will continue to rise, especially considering the low total points expected in the game.
The initial total for the game was set at 34.5, but it has since increased to 35 or 35.5 at four leading sports betting sites. Despite the Hawkeyes’ struggles on offense and both teams ranking in the top-five in scoring defense, 73% of bets are on the Over, which is surprising.
Michigan vs. Iowa game info
- When: Saturday, Dec. 2 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: Indoors
Prediction for Michigan vs. Iowa made on November 30, 2023 at 12:34 p.m. Eastern Time.
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