College Football Player Props & Best Bets, Odds: Conference Championship Week
Get ready for the College Football Playoff as the teams are set after this week’s conference championship games. We’ve got you covered with four college football player props and best bets for Championship Week, featuring the top NCAAF odds from our preferred college football betting sites.
Florida State emerged as the biggest winner in this week’s CFP rankings, claiming the No. 4 spot and putting itself in a strong position to secure a playoff berth with a victory over Louisville.
On the other hand, Ohio State, ranked sixth as the second-highest-rated one-loss team, is in a unique position as the only team in the top eight that will not be playing this weekend.
Most of the Power Five conference championship games feature distinctive matchups, with the only exception being the rematch between No. 3 Washington and No. 5 Oregon on Friday night.
In Week 14 of college football, we have compiled player props and best bets for the Conference Championship games to go along with our expert picks. Our predictions are based on odds from top college football betting sites and are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale for confidence.
College football best bets for Conference Championship Week
- Jalen Milroe (Alabama) Over 38.5 rushing yards vs. Georgia (-115 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Peny Boone (Toledo) Under 111.5 rushing yards vs. Miami (OH) (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Blake Corum (Michigan) to score two or more touchdowns vs. Iowa (+140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- SMU-Tulane Under 47.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Conference Championship Week college football schedule and odds
(Odds via DraftKings)
- New Mexico State vs. Liberty (-10): C-USA Championship
- Oregon (-9.5) vs. Washington: Pac-12 Championship
- Oklahoma State vs. Texas (-14.5): Big 12 Championship
- Miami OH vs. Toledo (-7.5): MAC Championship
- Boise State (-2.5) vs. UNLV: Mountain West Championship
- Georgia (-5.5) vs. Alabama: SEC Championship
- SMU vs. Tulane (-3.5): AAC Championship
- Appalachian State vs. Troy (-6): Sun Belt Championship
- Louisville vs. Florida State (-2.5): ACC Championship
- Michigan (-24) vs. Iowa: Big Ten Championship
College football player props for Conference Championship Week
Jalen Milroe (Alabama) Over 38.5 rushing yards vs. Georgia (-115 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Georgia is still considered by many to be the top team in the country and has a real shot at becoming the first team to win three consecutive national championships in the AP poll era. However, the Bulldogs’ defense is not as dominant against the run as it has been in the past, with Georgia ranking 56th in Line Yards and Rushing Success Rate.
Georgia’s high ranking in SEC defenses for Havoc can be attributed to their ability to play without needing to blitz or send extra rushers, often due to holding a substantial lead. However, when facing Alabama, they will likely face more pressure than usual, creating opportunities for Milroe to have a successful day running the ball.
In recent games, the Crimson Tide offensive line has excelled in protecting Milroe, who was sacked 30 times in his first seven starts but has only been sacked four times in the last four games. Milroe’s exceptional running skills have also been crucial in bailing out the offense when he faces pressure, with seven rushing touchdowns and two games of 106-plus rushing yards in the past four weeks.
Georgia only had to defend against one of the two quarterbacks, Jaxson Dart and Payton Thorne, who rank in the top 30 of the SEC in rushing. Despite this, Thorne proved to be a challenge for the Bulldogs, rushing for 92 yards at an average of 7.7 yards per carry.
Currently, rushing props for Milroe can be found at DraftKings and bet365, while FanDuel only offers passing props. Despite this, we believe in Milroe’s ability to run the ball, with his anytime touchdown odds reaching as high as -140 at DraftKings.
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Peny Boone (Toledo) Under 111.5 rushing yards vs. Miami (OH) (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Despite finishing the regular season as the nation’s fifth-leading rusher with 1,359 yards and leading all running backs with a 7.4 yards per carry average (min. 100 attempts), Toledo running back Peny Boone was not included on the Doak Walker Award semifinalist list.
Despite running for 112-plus yards in three of the last four games and eight of 10, Boone did not reach that mark in the game against Miami (OH) on October 21.
During the Week 8 meeting, the RedHawks held Boone to only 73 yards on 17 carries, marking his second-lowest average yards per carry of the season (and his worst in conference play). The Rockets had 46 rushing attempts in that game, averaging just 3.4 yards per carry. If they continue to struggle, we anticipate them giving up on the run game sooner in the upcoming rematch.
Miami (OH) is on fire, winning 10 of their last 11 games and ranking fifth nationally in limiting big plays. They also have a chance to control the clock against Toledo, whose defense ranks below average in Rushing Success Rate (76th), Rushing Plays PPA (76th), and Line Yards (95th).
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Blake Corum (Michigan) to score two or more touchdowns vs. Iowa (+140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Blake Corum, the running back for Michigan, has set a new school record this season by scoring 22 touchdowns, all of which were rushing touchdowns.
Now that head coach Jim Harbaugh has returned to the sidelines after a three-game suspension, it is likely that he will rely on his star player to lead the team to a third consecutive Big Ten Conference championship. Additionally, with Corum just two rushing touchdowns away from breaking Anthony Thomas’s school record of 55, Harbaugh will undoubtedly want to help him achieve this milestone.
Corum has scored touchdowns in four straight games and five out of the last six. Despite Iowa being 9-2 on the Under this season, Michigan has seen the Over hit in four of their last five games, largely due to Corum’s ability to find the endzone.
By using our DraftKings promo code, we can ensure that we are getting the best value compared to other sports betting apps that offer odds as low as -105.
College football game picks for Conference Championship Week
SMU-Tulane Under 47.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
In the past three meetings between SMU and Tulane, the Over has hit, with the winning team scoring over 55 points in two of those games. Despite SMU having a strong offense that is tied for fourth in scoring nationally, they will be missing starting quarterback Preston Stone due to a serious leg injury sustained last week.
Last week, three other Mustangs stepped up to throw a total of 10 passes in the absence of their starting quarterback. However, none of them managed to average more than 6.5 yards per attempt. Despite SMU head coach Rhett Lashlee expressing confidence in a press conference and stating, “Fortunately for us, there’s probably not a lot of teams that if they lost their starting quarterback can feel as good as we do,” we have reservations about the Mustangs offense with Kevin Jennings taking over at quarterback, as he has only thrown 46 career passes.
On the other hand, Tulane quarterback Michael Pratt is not entering this game on a high note. He has had his two lowest QBR performances of the season in the past three weeks. Against UTSA, Pratt only completed 40.9% of his passes, his lowest of the season. Although he has not been sacked more than twice in a game this season, he will now be up against a strong Mustangs pass rush that ranks in the top 20 in sack percentage and pressure rate.
The Mustangs defense is ranked in the top five nationally in Success Rate, Passing Success Rate, and EPA/Pass Allowed. As a result, we anticipate that this game will be more defensively focused than what both teams are accustomed to.
FanDuel is the sole sportsbook that provides a total of 47.5 (all others are at 47), however, it has a higher price of -115 to bet on the Under.
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Top college football wagers placed on 11/29/2023 at 3:51 p.m. ET.
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