College Football Week 14 Expert Picks: Who Will Prevail in Championship Week?

The analysts at Underscoreg Review have compiled a list of their expert picks for the college football Conference Championship games in Week 14. These picks are based on the top NCAAF odds from our preferred sports betting apps. This page will provide you with our top selections for Saturday’s games.

It’s championship week, and this year’s lineup seems to hold extra significance.

The College Football Playoff odds competition is more intense than ever in the current year with the four-team format. Once the bracket expands to 12 teams next season, the excitement of championship week may diminish slightly due to the increased number of teams vying for the title.

However, we can still make the most of this weekend. Our college football experts have shared their top picks for all eight championship games happening on Saturday. This will offer valuable insights and advice for fans who want to analyze these matchups further.

Throughout the day, there will be a lot of fluctuation in the College Football Championship and Heisman Trophy odds.

Be sure to check out our Week 14 predictions and Championship Week best bets for comprehensive betting coverage before the games begin.

Check out our top college football expert selections for Week 14, with odds from our preferred college football betting sites and pick confidence rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

College football Championship Week schedule

(Odds via Caesars)

• SMU vs. Tulane (-3)
• Georgia (-5) vs. Alabama
• Appalachian State vs. Troy (-5)
• Louisville vs. Florida State (-1)
• Michigan (-21.5) vs. Iowa

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College football Week 14 expert picks

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College football Week 14 top picks

Jaydon Blue Over 30.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

In my weekly player props column, I predicted that Texas freshman running back CJ Baxter would have a rushing total under 98.5 yards during the last weekend of the regular season. He fell short of this mark by over 50 yards, mainly because he sustained a hip injury in the second half and was taken out of the game as a precaution in a lopsided victory against Texas Tech.

However, the thesis of the play was confirmed in the first half as Texas demonstrated a preference for a committee approach to filling the void left by Jonathan Brooks, who was sidelined by a season-ending injury. Baxter impressed with a 100-yard performance in the initial game after Brooks’ injury, but Jaydon Blue further solidified this strategy by becoming the third Texas running back to surpass the 100-yard mark with a 121-yard effort in the most recent game.

Blue was most effective in the first half of the game when both he and Baxter were healthy. Despite Baxter leading the team with eight carries in the first half, Blue managed to gain 94 yards on just five carries. With a usage rate of 35-40%, Blue should easily surpass the low total of 30.5 rushing yards. He has proven to be a big playmaker, as demonstrated by his impressive 69-yard touchdown run against the Red Raiders.

If the Big 12 title game turns out to be as one-sided as the two-touchdown spread suggests, Blue could potentially surpass this mark with additional carries in the fourth quarter. Make sure to visit the only shop brave enough to provide a rushing prop bet for Blue.

To learn more about this game, check out Lopez Julia’s predictions for the Oklahoma State vs. Texas matchup.

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Scott Justin from SBR, also known as Twitter/X.

Quinn Ewers to throw 3-plus touchdown passes (+210 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Quinn Ewers, the quarterback for the Texas Longhorns, had an impressive start to the season with three touchdown passes against Rice and Alabama. However, he has not been able to throw more than two touchdown passes in any of the eight games that followed. Despite this, Ewers has a chance to shine offensively in the upcoming game against Oklahoma State. Their defense ranks outside the top 100 in both rushing and passing yards allowed per game in the FBS, giving Ewers an opportunity for one of his best performances of the season.

Last week, the Cowboys defense was strong against the run but struggled in pass coverage. Therefore, Longhorns head coach Steve Sarkisian is expected to rely heavily on the passing game to exploit Oklahoma State’s vulnerable defense.

Furthermore, Texas is unlikely to ease up on their performance, as they have the first game of the day at noon. This presents the perfect opportunity for them to make a strong impression on the College Football Playoff committee, especially after being ranked seventh in the most recent CFP rankings.

Since the juice on Ewers’ 1.5 passing touchdowns at FanDuel is -215, we believe his floor is two passing touchdowns. Therefore, we are choosing the better value of plus-money odds for three or more passing touchdowns at bet365, available under their “Player Passing Touchdowns Milestones” option.

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Julia Lopez (SBR | Twitter/X)

Brock Bowers anytime touchdown scorer (+105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Alabama’s passing defense is in the middle of the pack for the season, but their run defense has been outstanding. After a tough game against Auburn where they struggled to stop the run, I anticipate the Crimson Tide will be more focused on shutting down Georgia’s running game. This will force Georgia’s quarterback, Carson Beck, to rely more on his arm, especially in the red zone.

Despite Bowers missing time during the season for surgery on his high-ankle sprain, his connection with Beck remained strong. Although Bowers hasn’t put up huge yardage numbers, he has still managed to catch touchdowns from Beck in back-to-back games since his return.

In five of his last six games, Bowers has scored a touchdown, making him a top target for Beck in the red zone. His anytime TD odds range from -120 to -125 at most sportsbooks, but Caesars is offering odds at +105, making it a good opportunity to place a bet.

I delve further into this Georgia vs. Alabama matchup with my prediction.

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Allen Byron on Twitter, also known as SBR.

Daijun Edwards Under 64.5 rushing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This number is surprisingly high. Edwards has only rushed for under 60 yards in the past three games, despite having at least 11 carries in each game. Although the Crimson Tide’s rush defense is not the best they’ve had, they are still ranked 33rd in the country for rushing yards allowed per game.

Given that the Bulldogs have the 11th-ranked passing offense in the nation and are only favored by five points, it is improbable that they will rely heavily on their running game in this matchup. Although Edwards has had some impressive showings this season, he has only exceeded 100 rushing yards on two occasions. His potential for a standout performance is limited, and in a tightly contested game, his production may also be limited.

FanDuel has set the prop at 56.5 yards, which seems more reasonable compared to the higher numbers listed by bet365 and DraftKings. Even BetMGM and Caesars have higher totals at 60.5 and 61.5 yards, indicating that the prop is overblown at some of the top sportsbooks.

Phil Wood is active on SBR and Twitter as @X.

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