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Kendall Milton of the Georgia Bulldogs celebrates with teammates after scoring a touchdown against the Florida State Seminoles during the Capital One Orange Bowl. Georgia leads the way for the College Football Projected Win Totals.
Kendall Milton of the Georgia Bulldogs celebrates with teammates after scoring a touchdown against the Florida State Seminoles during the Capital One Orange Bowl. Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images via AFP.

With the college football season on the horizon, we are analyzing the 2024 win totals and Over/Unders for the upcoming season from top college football betting websites.

As spring games come to a close and the transfer portal shuts down, the college football season feels imminent. Speculation abounds about who will be the front-runner for the Heisman Trophy.

With just over 100 days remaining until the start of the season in Week 0, fans all over the country are beginning to imagine the possibilities for their favorite teams to achieve double-digit wins. Although powerhouses like Georgia and Ohio State have historically been the frontrunners in college football, the upcoming 2024-25 season presents a greater chance for other teams to make a significant impact on the field.

The introduction of the 12-team playoff has transformed college football. This means that teams that have never made it to the playoffs before have a chance to rise in the college football playoff odds. The path to the playoffs now typically requires achieving at least nine regular season wins. It’s a new era in college football, with new opportunities for teams to compete at the highest level.

We are showcasing the highest-ranked college football programs in terms of projected win totals for the 2024 regular season, along with odds sourced from leading sports betting websites.

2024 college football win total odds

As of Monday, May 6, the total number of wins for college football teams was recorded.

Top ACC win total odds

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The ACC is considered the most unpredictable of the Power Four conferences, with no clear favorite for the playoffs. Despite Florida State’s undefeated record in the conference last season, they experienced significant losses to the NFL draft. Additionally, new head coach Mike Norvell will be relying on transfer DJ Uiagalelei as the starting quarterback.

Florida State has the potential to win 10 games, but the question remains whether the team will come together quickly enough. Fortunately, they won’t face Clemson or Miami until October. Both of these opponents are considered contenders for the ACC Championship for various reasons. Dabo Swinney has a strong team with quarterback Cade Klubnik and a formidable defense, although his reluctance to utilize the transfer portal may impact the Tigers’ performance.

Mario Cristobal has successfully strengthened Miami’s roster solely through the transfer portal. Cam Ward, a transfer from Washington State, is expected to be the starting quarterback, and the Hurricanes recently acquired Damien Martinez from Oregon State to enhance their offense. Despite this, Miami has only achieved 10 or more wins in a season once since 2004.

After losing many key players from Jeff Brohm’s first season as head coach, Louisville has excelled at utilizing the transfer portal. NC State is also relying on transfers, particularly QB Grayson McCall. Virginia Tech stands out as the team with the most returning production in the nation, making them a team to watch.

Top Big 12 win total odds

The departure of traditional powerhouses Texas and Oklahoma to the SEC will bring significant changes to the Big 12 conference. Utah, in its inaugural season in the conference, has been favored to win the Big 12 Championship, showcasing head coach Kyle Whittingham’s impressive track record of success.

After a disappointing season last year, the Utes are looking to bounce back with a healthy QB Cameron Rising leading the offense. Rising will have support from TE Brant Kuithe, WRs Money Parks and Dorian Singer, and RB Micah Bernard. On the defensive side, Utah is looking strong with key veterans returning, including LB Karene Reid.

With Utah’s experience and Whittingham’s track record, the Utes have a good chance of winning 10 games this season. Plus, they don’t have to face Kansas or Kansas State, both of which have strong running games and mobile quarterbacks. Keep an eye on the Jayhawks, especially with Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal forming a dynamic QB-RB duo.

Arizona’s future under new coach Brent Brennan is uncertain following their successful season. Can he continue the team’s success with QB Noah Fifita and WR Tetairoa McMillan? Oklahoma State is expected to perform well with key starters like Ollie Gordon II, while Texas Tech is relying on portal players to meet expectations.

Top Big Ten win total odds

The upcoming Ohio State-Oregon game on Oct. 12 will provide valuable insights into the strengths of both teams. As the Buckeyes and Ducks are currently favored to win the Big Ten Championship, this highly anticipated matchup could potentially be the sole defeat for the losing team during the regular season. With two of the most talented rosters in the nation, both teams have made significant upgrades through transfers.

Ohio State is intimidating because numerous players chose to stay for another season instead of entering the NFL draft. The team welcomed back over six players who were potential top-150 picks, and also acquired RB Quinshon Judkins and DB Caleb Downs from the portal. However, the success of the team ultimately relies on the performance of QB Will Howard, a transfer from Kansas State.

Oregon turned to the transfer portal to address their quarterback need, bringing in highly touted Dillon Gabriel from Oklahoma to replace Bo Nix. In addition, the Ducks bolstered their roster with the additions of standout wide receiver Evan Stewart, as well as cornerbacks Jabbar Muhammad and Kam Alexander. These new acquisitions join a formidable Oregon squad that includes returning stars Josh Conerly Jr., Jordan Burch, and Tez Johnson.

Michigan could potentially prevent Ohio State and Oregon from reaching 11 wins. The defending champions are experiencing a lot of changes with head coach Sherrone Moore in his first season, but they still have top NFL prospects such as Colston Loveland, Mason Graham, and Will Johnson. However, Michigan also faces tough competition from Texas on their schedule.

Iowa and Washington are the only remaining teams. The Hawkeyes consistently win games despite their lackluster offense, which is expected to continue in 2024. However, they have made the decision to part ways with Brian Ferentz. On the other hand, Washington has undergone significant changes, losing key players and their head coach. The new head coach, Jedd Fisch, will need to quickly get the Huskies’ starters performing at a high level, much like he did at Arizona.

Top SEC win total odds

The SEC, already known for its abundance of talent and playoff contenders, has only gotten stronger this offseason with the addition of Oklahoma and Texas. The expansion of the conference’s footprint has introduced at least one new contender for the SEC Championship. The Longhorns, with a win total of 10.5, are now in the same league as Georgia, Ohio State, and Oregon for the highest win totals in the country.

Texas seems to have regained its form under Steve Sarkisian, especially after reaching the playoffs last year. However, transitioning to the SEC will be a significant challenge for the Longhorns. Despite losing key players to the NFL, including their top receivers, leading rusher, and top defenders, Texas still has QB Quinn Ewers, who is considered a top prospect for the 2025 NFL Draft. Additionally, Sarkisian has a strong offensive line and has brought in promising players from the transfer portal. The question remains whether these pieces will be enough for Texas to succeed in the competitive SEC.

Texas is set to face off against Michigan and Georgia on Oct. 19. The Bulldogs are widely considered one of the most talented teams in the country, led by quarterback Carson Beck and supported by a talented group of pass-catchers and running back Trevor Etienne. Head coach Kirby Smart’s defense is also top-notch, with several players in the running for All-American honors. However, Georgia faces a tough schedule with matchups against Clemson, Texas, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Alabama, so a slip-up is always a possibility.

Nick Saban is no longer coaching the Crimson Tide, but new head coach Kalen DeBoer, who led Washington to the playoffs last year, is now in charge. DeBoer will be working with quarterback Jalen Milroe, a strong offensive line, and an experienced defense. In order to surpass 9.5 wins, DeBoer’s team will need to defeat either Georgia, Missouri, or LSU. Both LSU and Missouri are seen as teams with mixed opinions.

LSU, under Brian Kelly, will need to fill the void left by Heisman winner Jayden Daniels and star WRs Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. from last year’s nine-win team. Meanwhile, Missouri, led by Eliah Drinkwitz, lost three star defenders and All-American RB Cody Schrader to the NFL but still appears strong on paper with QB Brady Cook and WR Luther Burden III returning and new additions from the transfer portal.

Notre Dame win total odds

TeamDraftKingsFanDuelCaesarsbet365
Notre Dame10 (+100)/(-120)10.5 (+138)/(-170)10.5 (+115)/(-145)10.5 (+140)/(-170)

Out of the three remaining independents in college football, UConn and UMass only won a total of six games last season, which is less than Notre Dame’s total. Under Marcus Freeman’s leadership, the Fighting Irish have shown improvement in each of his two seasons as head coach, and are predicted to make it to the 12-team playoff this year.

After winning nine regular-season games last year, it will be a challenge for Freeman to lead Notre Dame to two more wins this season, especially after losing key players to the NFL. However, Notre Dame’s schedule is not too daunting. The team will face Texas A&M at Kyle Field under new head coach Mike Elko. Other challenging games include Louisville and Florida State at home, as well as a road game against USC.

After QB Sam Hartman’s departure, the Irish may have improved with the addition of Duke transfer Riley Leonard. The defense is the true standout, led by stars Benjamin Morrison, Xavier Watts, and Howard Cross III. Coach Freeman also strengthened the pass rush by bringing in Leonard’s former teammate, RJ Oben.

How to bet college football Over/Under win totals

When betting on college football win totals, it’s important to consider the roster changes that occur each year due to graduation, NFL declarations, and the transfer portal. To improve your chances of success, it’s recommended to concentrate on a select few programs and thoroughly research how they performed in the previous season and which players are returning.

Two important metrics to consider are SP+ rankings from the previous season’s bowl games and the returning production of players. It is also valuable to track the movement of top players in the transfer portal and assess how coaching changes may affect certain teams for the upcoming season.

After selecting a few teams, review their schedules. Although most of a college football team’s schedule consists of conference games, some teams may face top opponents in their non-conference matchups (such as Texas and Michigan this year). Additionally, being in the same conference does not guarantee that two teams will play each other annually.

Keep in mind that team win totals are considered futures bets and will only be paid out at the end of the regular season. Take into account the length of time before placing a bet in this market.

Final 2023 college football playoff ranking

RankingTeamRecord
1Michigan15-0
2Washington14-1
3Texas12-2
4Georgia13-1
5Alabama12-2
6Florida State13-1
7Oregon12-2
8Missouri11-2
9Ole Miss11-2
10Ohio State11-2
11Arizona10-3
12LSU10-3
13Penn State10-3
14Notre Dame10-3
15Oklahoma10-3
16Oklahoma State10-4
17Tennessee 9-4
18Kansas State9-4
19Louisville10-4
20Clemson9-4
21NC State9-4
22SMU11-3
23Kansas9-4
24Iowa10-4
25Liberty13-1

College football odds pages

Here are our best college football betting sites:

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