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Quinn Ewers of the Texas Longhorns warms up before playing against the TCU Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Nov. 11 as we look at our Oklahoma State-Texas prediction.
Quinn Ewers of the Texas Longhorns warms up before playing against the TCU Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Nov. 11. Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images/AFP.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are set to face off against the Texas Longhorns in the Big-12 Championship Game this Saturday. Our prediction for the Oklahoma State-Texas matchup is based on the top college football odds available on the top sports betting apps.

The Texas Longhorns, with a record of 11-1, are set to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys, who are 9-3, in the Big 12 Championship game. The Longhorns are hoping to secure a win and remain in contention for a spot in the College Football Playoff.

Texas is facing a challenging situation where even a big win against a lesser opponent may not guarantee them a spot in the CFP. With this in mind, the Longhorns need to focus on performing at their best.

Here is our expert prediction for the Oklahoma State-Texas college football game, along with our CFB player props and top bets. Our picks are based on odds from the best college football betting sites and confidence levels rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas prediction: Big 12 Championship

Over 55 (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Longhorns being favored by more than two touchdowns makes it challenging to bet on them. However, the total score seems more favorable to wager on, as Texas is a strong favorite.

Texas typically scores an average of 35.1 points per game, while Oklahoma State has allowed an average of 28.6 points per game so far in 2023. In their last three games, the Cowboys have given up more than 30 points each time, suggesting that Texas may have an opportunity to score some points in their upcoming matchup.

Oklahoma State is ranked below the top 100 in the FBS for both rushing and passing yards allowed per game. In Week 13, Texas scored 57 points against a Texas Tech defense that is actually more favorable against the run than Oklahoma State.

Although this type of script for the Big 12 Championship Game would make the spread a more reasonable bet, it exemplifies Texas carrying the total without significant assistance from the opposing team.

Nevertheless, the Cowboys are expected to be able to put up enough points. Texas has given up 24 or more points in four of their last seven games, and they will be going up against an Oklahoma State offense that has scored over 40 points in their last two games.

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Oklahoma State vs. Texas best odds

DraftKings (-108)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Over 55Over 55.5Over 55.5Over 55Over 55
-108-110-105-110-110

If you’re an over bettor, it’s best to steer clear of FanDuel for this wager since their 55.5-point total is higher without any better odds compared to other options. BetMGM, on the other hand, offers a 55.5-point total with better odds at -105, giving you an edge.

We continue to favor the total of 55 points as listed by DraftKings, Caesars, and bet365. While Caesars and bet365 provide decent value at -110, we believe that the best value can be found with the -108 odds offered by DraftKings. We recommend taking the Over as a three-star play up to 57.5 points.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas odds

Oklahoma State vs. Texas odds analysis

Texas started as a 13.5-point favorite but has since moved up to -14.5 or -15 in our top sportsbooks. With the increased line, most bets have been placed on the Longhorns.

The initial total of 54.5 has increased to a range of 55 to 55.5 at our top sports betting platforms. The majority of bets have been placed on the Over at our college football betting sites.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas game info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023 at noon ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Weather: Indoors

Prediction for the Oklahoma State vs. Texas game on 11/28/30 at 4:50 p.m. ET.

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