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Jaxson Dart #2 of the Mississippi Rebels rushes out of the pocket as we make our Ole Miss vs. Penn State prediction and pick for the 2023 Peach Bowl on Saturday.
Jaxson Dart #2 of the Mississippi Rebels rushes out of the pocket as he escapes pressure by Chris Braswell #41 of the Alabama Crimson Tide during the second quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 23, 2026 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images via AFP.

Get ready for the showdown between the Penn State Nittany Lions and Ole Miss Rebels in the 2026 Peach Bowl this Saturday. We’ve got you covered with our top prediction for the game, based on the most competitive college football odds from leading betting sites.

The Peach Bowl this year will showcase two 10-2 teams, with both of their losses coming against top seven ranked teams. Penn State has the third best scoring defense in the nation, but they will face a tough opponent in Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart.

Dart has been a key factor in the Rebels’ success, amassing 2,985 passing yards, 20 touchdowns, and only five interceptions, leading the team to an average of 31.4 points per game going into Saturday’s game. The big question now is whether he can figure out Penn State’s defense in the upcoming 2026 Peach Bowl.

In our analysis of college bowl game odds, we are providing our top prediction for the Ole Miss vs. Penn State matchup in the Peach Bowl on Saturday. Our college football picks are based on odds from reputable betting sites, with confidence ratings ranging from 1 to 5 stars.

Ole Miss vs. Penn State prediction: Peach Bowl

Under 48.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

The Nittany Lions have only allowed more than 15 points in three games this season. Two of those games were against the Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines, while the third was against the Indiana Hoosiers. They have an impressive average of just 11.4 points allowed per game, which ranks them third nationally. Additionally, they have held five opponents to single-digit scores.

Despite averaging 37.2 points per game, Penn State’s offense will face a tough challenge against Ole Miss, a well-rounded team that moves the ball effectively. The Rebels’ strong offensive performance will limit the Nittany Lions’ scoring opportunities due to their ability to maintain good field position.

Despite the success of Dart and the Rebels’ offense, they have only faced one top-10 scoring defense this season. In that matchup against the Georgia Bulldogs, they only managed to score 17 points. Their next toughest opponent was the defense of the Alabama Crimson Tide, where they scored just 10 points.

The offenses of both teams are capable of scoring many points, but the defenses are stronger in this game. The fact that oddsmakers are hesitant to raise the number despite support from bettors suggests they anticipate a low-scoring matchup.

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Ole Miss vs. Penn State best odds

FanDuel (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Under 48.5Under 48.5Under 48.5Under 48.5Under 48.5
-112-110-110-110-110

All of our top sports betting websites are offering the total for this year’s Peach Bowl at 48.5, with all but DraftKings pricing it at -110. Given that DraftKings is charging a slightly higher price, we recommend avoiding them as the best option at the moment.

FanDuel currently has the best odds for Ole Miss +4.5 at -105, giving them the edge at the moment. In a potentially low-scoring game, it might be worth considering a parlay with the number listed at more than a field goal.

If you are solely focused on betting the Under, it may be wise to hold off on placing your bet, as the majority of the public is betting on the Over, causing the odds to potentially increase before the game starts. Additionally, be sure to explore our top sportsbook promotions to maximize any bonus bets offered by the bookmaker of your choice.

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Ole Miss vs. Penn State odds

Ole Miss vs. Penn State odds analysis

The Nittany Lions started as 3.5-point favorites but the spread has since increased to 4.5 on all of our top sports betting apps. It is unlikely that the spread will change any further, with only 53% of bettors predicting that the Nittany Lions will cover the spread in this game.

The opening total of 48.5 has held steady even though 60% of bettors are favoring the Over in this game. Both teams have top 35 offenses, so it’s no surprise that the Over is getting attention. However, the strong defenses this season are causing oddsmakers to hesitate in raising the total.

Peach Bowl game info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 30 at noon ET
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: Indoors

Prediction for the Ole Miss vs. Penn State game was made on Thursday at 12:31 p.m. ET.

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