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Ludvig Aberg lines up a putt on the 3rd hole as we breakdown the U.S. Open Round 3 odds heading into the weekend.
Ludvig Aberg lines up a putt on the 3rd hole during the second round of the U.S. Open golf tournament at Pinehurst No. 2. Photo Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports.

The odds for Round 3 of the 2024 U.S. Open have shifted significantly from the pre-tournament predictions on our top golf betting sites. Evans Kayla shares his top picks for Saturday’s action.

Ludvig Aberg remains a popular choice among the U.S. Open odds after the first two rounds of the tournament. He is currently the frontrunner in live betting, leading the leaderboard at 5-under as he heads into Saturday.

Despite barely making the cut at plus-5, Scottie Scheffler, the top-ranked player in the world and a popular choice among sports bettors, continues to command respect from our top betting sites after two rounds at Pinehurst No. 2. His impressive track record of five PGA Tour victories and $24 million in earnings by mid-June certainly helps.

Bryson DeChambeau is currently 4-under and Rory McIlroy is 3-under, making them the closest contenders to Aberg on the U.S. Open oddsboard as Round 3 approaches.

Live U.S. Open Round 3 odds

The latest odds from our top sports betting websites, rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars for confidence, were last updated on Saturday at 8:10 a.m. ET.

NameDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Ludvig Aberg+350+330+320 ❄️+333+350 
Bryson DeChambeau+400+400+400+400+425 
Rory McIlroy+400+400+450 +400+425
Patrick Cantlay+900+900+900+900+1000 
Xander Schauffele+1100 +1100+1200+1100+1200
Tony Finau+1400+1400+1200 ❄️+1400+1600 
Hideki Matsuyama+1400+1400+1600+1400+1600
Thomas Detry+1800+1800+2000 +1800+2000
Tyrrell Hatton+3500 ❄️+4000+4000+4000+4000
Matthieu Pavon+4000+4500+4000+4500+4500 

U.S. Open Round 3 picks

Bryson DeChambeau to shoot 69 or lower in Round 3 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

DeChambeau has consistently been near the top of the leaderboard at the first two majors of the season, so it’s no shock to see him in a strong position at T-2 going into Round 3.

DeChambeau was in the top ten for strokes gained: putting, ranked 14th for SG: approach, and sixth in driving distance on Friday. His combination of power hitting and finesse around the greens has been key in keeping his score under par in both rounds.

We are offering even odds at BetMGM for DeChambeau to finish Round 3 at 1-under or lower, which seems like a steal. Despite missing fairways and only hitting nine of 17 greens in regulation on Friday, he has already achieved this in Round 1 (minus-3) and Round 2 (minus-1).

DeChambeau has shown he can succeed through both difficult and easier methods, as demonstrated in Friday’s performance and his Round 1 showing. With odds of +100, it’s an opportunity too good to ignore. It is suggested to place a one-unit bet on this player prop for Saturday.

Top odds: +100 at BetMGM

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Ludvig Åberg bogey free in Round 3 ⭐⭐⭐

We are placing a risky bet on Ludvig Åberg, the current leader, to complete Round 3 without a bogey. Despite the challenging conditions at Pinehurst No. 2, Åberg’s history of playing clean, error-free golf makes this prop worth considering. At 22-1 odds on DraftKings, it could be a long shot worth taking.

During the first round, Åberg scored 4-under despite making two bogeys, both of which were the result of missed putts from less than 10 feet. Overall, Åberg is currently ranked fifth in strokes gained putting, 16th in strokes gained approach, and first in fairways hit and greens in regulation. Additionally, the Swede is leading in strokes gained off-the-tee.

So far, the only area where he has shown weakness is in his SG: short game, which could be the deciding factor between winning and losing at Pinehurst this week. Going into Round 3 as the clear leader at 5-under-par, it is suggested to place a 0.25 unit bet at 22-1 odds on Åberg to have a bogey-free Round 3, considering his momentum and confidence.

Top odds: +2200 on DraftKings

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How to bet on golf

If you want to bet on the U.S. Open golf tournament, it is important to have a good grasp of the specific challenges posed by the course and weather conditions, particularly when the tournament is taking place at Pinehurst No. 2. To assist you in getting started, here is a helpful guide.

Before placing any bets, take the time to learn about the various types of bets that are offered. One popular option is the outright winner bet, where you choose the golfer you believe will win the tournament. For instance, you may come across odds of +300 for a top contender like Scottie Scheffler, indicating that a $10 wager could result in a $30 profit if he emerges victorious.

Another popular form of betting is head-to-head matchups, where you choose which of two golfers will have the superior score in the tournament. For example, you could wager on Xander Schauffele at -120 to outperform Rory McIlroy at +100, risking $12 to potentially win $10 if Schauffele scores lower. Prop bets, on the other hand, center on specific events during the tournament, such as predicting if there will be a hole-in-one or the performance of a specific golfer on a particular hole.

Pinehurst No. 2 is renowned for its tough greens and thick roughs that can greatly affect how players perform. To increase your chances of success when placing bets on the U.S. Open at Pinehurst, focus on golfers with exceptional accuracy and putting skills. It’s also wise to examine their recent form and past results at courses with similar challenges.

Conduct a thorough analysis of the players, focusing on their recent tournament results, past performances at the course, and any injuries or changes in form. Take into consideration factors such as a golfer’s success on challenging greens when selecting players for Pinehurst No. 2. Additionally, consider how weather conditions may impact gameplay, as they can have a significant effect on outcomes.

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