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2024 U.S. Open Round 4 Odds & Picks: DeChambeau Takes Lead into Sunday as Favorite

Evans Kayla

Updated on June 16, 2024 at 7:46 AM EDT. Read time: 3 minutes and 32 seconds. For more information, visit our Twitter and Google News links.

Bryson DeChambeau hits from the tee box as we look at the U.S. Open Round 4 odds
Bryson DeChambeau hits from the tee box during the third round of the U.S. Open golf tournament. Photo Credit: Katie Goodale-USA TODAY Sports.

Heading into Sunday at Pinehurst No. 2, Bryson DeChambeau holds a 3-stroke lead as the 54-hole leader in the U.S. Open, according to the Round 4 odds from our top golf betting sites.

Despite battling hip issues, Bryson DeChambeau took control of the 2024 U.S. Open leaderboard at Pinehurst No. 2. The 2020 champion leads the third major of the year by three strokes, sitting at minus-7 after 54 holes.

DeChambeau will be playing in the final group on Sunday with Matthieu Pavon, who is at minus-4. Rory McIlroy and Patrick Cantlay are also tied at minus-4, creating a three-way tie for second place.

After leading for 36 holes and being the favorite to win the tournament, Ludvig Aberg had a tough day on Saturday and fell to minus-2. He now finds himself tied for fifth place with Hideki Matsuyama going into Sunday’s final round.

Live U.S. Open Round 4 odds

Below are the current U.S. Open odds and our top picks for Sunday, determined by analyzing the odds from our top sports betting sites. The confidence rating for each pick is based on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

NameDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Bryson DeChambeau-110-110-120-130 ❄️-110
Rory McIlroy+320+320+333+350 +320
Patrick Cantlay+700+750+700+800 +750
Ludvig Aberg+1600+1800+1600+1800+1800
Matthieu Pavon+1600+1800+1600+1800+1800
Hideki Matsuyama+1600 ❄️+2000+2000+2000+2000
Tyrrell Hatton+4500 ❄️+6000+5000+6000+6000
Collin Morikawa+4500 ❄️+5000+6600 +5000+5000
Tony Finau+5000+6000+5000+6000+6000
Xander Schauffele+8000 ❄️+11000+12500 +11000+11000

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U.S. Open Round 4 picks

Patrick Cantlay to birdie any par 3 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Even though he is three strokes behind the leader, Patrick Cantlay is currently tied for second place on the leaderboard as he enters Round 4.

Cantlay maintained his position at 4-under by balancing two birdies and two bogeys on Saturday. His final birdie on the 17th hole, where he hit a tee shot within 20 feet, allowed him to make a crucial birdie putt and regain momentum for Sunday’s final round.

Cantlay has consistently scored a birdie on a par 3 in each of his three rounds played, making the +188 odds at BetMGM a great value for this prop bet. It is recommended to place a one-unit wager to potentially earn a profit of $18.80 on a winning $10 bet.

Top odds: +188 offered by BetMGM

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Collin Morikawa Over 3.5 birdies or better in Round 4 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Following a disappointing Round 2, where he recorded just one birdie and five bogeys, Collin Morikawa made a strong comeback on Saturday with a flawless round, converting four birdies.

Morikawa had a mixed performance in Round 1, double bogeying two par 3s but ending on a high note with consecutive birdies on the last two holes to finish at even par. With five birdies in Round 1 and four in Round 3, Morikawa is currently tied for 9th on the leaderboard, suggesting he may have another strong finish on Sunday.

Morikawa is currently at even par, placing him seven strokes behind the leader. With lower expectations and not in the final pairing like last week at Muirfield Village Golf Club with Scottie Scheffler, we can anticipate Morikawa to make at least four more birdies on Sunday. He has achieved this twice before at Pinehurst No. 2.

It is suggested to place an additional one-unit bet on Morikawa’s Over 3.5 birdies or better prop for Round 4.

The most favorable odds are +125 on DraftKings.

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How to bet on golf

If you’re looking to place bets on the U.S. Open golf tournament, it’s important to familiarize yourself with the specific challenges of the course and conditions, particularly when the event is at Pinehurst No. 2. Here is a helpful guide to help you begin.

To begin, acquaint yourself with the various betting options. One popular choice is the outright winner bet, where you select the golfer you believe will win the tournament. For instance, odds of +300 may be offered for a top contender like Scottie Scheffler, indicating that a $10 wager could result in a $30 profit if he emerges victorious.

Another popular type of bet is head-to-head matchups, where you choose which of two golfers will have a better score in the tournament. For instance, you could place a bet on Xander Schauffele at -120 to outperform Rory McIlroy at +100, which means you would risk $12 to win $10 if Schauffele scores lower. Prop bets, on the other hand, center on specific events during the tournament, like predicting if there will be a hole-in-one or how a certain golfer will perform on a specific hole.

Pinehurst No. 2 is renowned for its tough greens and thick rough, making it crucial to choose players wisely when wagering on the U.S. Open. Focus on golfers with strong accuracy and putting skills, as well as those who have shown good recent form and success at comparable courses.

Before making any bets, conduct thorough research on the players. Look into their recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form. Take note of any trends that may indicate future success, such as a strong track record at courses with difficult greens. Keep in mind the weather conditions, as they can have a significant impact on gameplay. For instance, a golfer who excels in windy conditions may have an edge at a course like Pinehurst No. 2.

Here are our best golf betting sites:

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Written By:
Evans Kayla
Evans Kayla has handicapped golf, the NFL, NCAAF, and NHL since joining the sports betting industry as a writer in 2020. He’s worked for several prominent sites, recently expanding his coverage to include sports betting news and the regulatory industry. Bringing a background in communications and writing, earning a Masters Degree in Organizational Communication from Ohio University, Matt has co-hosted a fantasy football and sports betting podcast, while continuously refining his handicapping methods. This includes identifying recent trends, head-to-head statistics, and comparing individual and team strengths and weaknesses to accurately predict the outcome in certain betting markets before a game or event. He’s a daily bettor and tends to wager on FanDuel, with DraftKings and Hard Rock Bet as preferred sports betting app alternatives. An avid researcher, writer, editor, and podcaster, Matt is eager to dig into matchups to offer readers and subscribers value on his picks. He’s a big proponent of building bankroll by avoiding poor betting habits and tendencies, like chasing losses, placing too many wagers, and managing bankroll. His worst beats to date both came on two separate NFL parlays, losing due to Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown dropping passes. NRFIs have quickly become one of Matt’s favorite betting markets, recently diving into MLB game props.