Dodgers vs. Phillies Player Prop Predictions, Odds: Expert Picks for Wednesday
First round – Philadelphia Phillies.
The Phillies dominated the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first game of their series, showcasing their status as two of the top teams in the National League. The two teams will face off again on Wednesday, and we provide our top player prop predictions for the Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup using MLB odds from reputable sports betting sites.
For the second game in a row, the Phillies are favored to win as the home team at Citizens Bank Park, with the game set to start at 7:05 p.m. ET. This marks the seventh time this season that the Dodgers are considered underdogs, having a 2-4 record in that position so far.
The Phillies have been the fifth most profitable team on the moneyline this season, with backers earning +8.3 units by consistently betting on them in every game, including their recent 10-1 victory.
Dodgers vs. Phillies player props
Check out the MLB odds on our top MLB betting sites and choose your picks with confidence using our 1 to 5-star rating scale.
- Gavin Stone Under 4.5 strikeouts (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Cristopher Sanchez to record a win (+170 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Teoscar Hernandez Over 1.5 total bases (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dodgers vs. Phillies expert picks
Gavin Stone Under 4.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐
Stone was widely regarded as one of the top National League All-Star omissions and has excelled away from home this year, boasting the second-lowest road ERA (2.30) among NL pitchers with a minimum of 40 innings pitched. Despite his strong performance, the rookie may be experiencing some fatigue after throwing the first complete game shutout by a Dodgers rookie since 2013, as evidenced by his brief three-inning outing in his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Stone has recorded six or more strikeouts in five out of his last seven starts, but is considered to be overrated in this upcoming road game. This is because his last two away games were against the Chicago White Sox and Colorado Rockies, both of which have the lowest winning percentages in baseball.
The chance of the Under winning is around 54.95% with FanDuel’s odds of -122. However, we can find a better value at BetMGM, where a $10 bet pays $18.70 and a profit of $8.70 can be made.
Top odds: -115 at BetMGM | Probability: 53.49%
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Cristopher Sanchez to record a win ⭐⭐⭐
Sanchez has significant differences in his performance at home versus on the road this season. In nine home starts, he has a 1.35 ERA and .213 OBA, winning five of those games. In contrast, in eight road starts, he has a 5.54 ERA and .310 OBA, with only one win. The Phillies pitcher has been particularly impressive at Citizens Bank Park, allowing just two earned runs in his last 29 innings pitched there. In this streak, he has faced tough opponents like the Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres, and Milwaukee Brewers, all of whom have strong numbers against left-handed pitching.
If the Dodgers were not dominating left-handed starting pitchers with a MLB-best 24-9 record, this play would be rated higher than three stars. However, they have only managed to win one-third of their games as underdogs, which is a concerning statistic.
The risk of a $10 winning wager with a $27 payout is justified by the 37.04% implied probability, especially when considering the Phillies’ 58.33% chance of winning based on bet365’s -140 moneyline odds.
Top odds: +170 on bet365 | Probability of winning: 37.04%
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Tesocar Hernandez Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Hernandez has earned his second All-Star nomination with impressive performances against left-handed pitchers, boasting the team’s second-highest OPS (.936) in that split with a minimum of 25 at-bats. Additionally, he currently ranks 11th among all players with a 1.429 OPS in road games against southpaws since the beginning of June.
With a .571 ISO in that specific split, he is poised to exceed his total bases prop for the fourth time in the past seven games. This is further supported by his impressive six-game hitting streak and hitting safely in eight of the nine games leading up to yesterday’s series opener.
At some of our top sports betting apps, Hernandez’s chances of winning on the Over reach as high as -115. FanDuel offers the best value, giving $0.82 more on a $10 winning bet compared to Caesars ($19.52 at FanDuel versus $18.70 at Caesars).
FanDuel offers the best odds at -105, which implies a probability of 51.22%.
This offer is exclusive to new customers. Simply deposit a minimum of $5 and place your first bet of $5 or more. If your bet is successful within 72 hours, you will receive $200 in Bonus Bets.
Dodgers vs. Phillies odds & game info
- When: Wednesday, July 10
- First pitch: 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Phillies (-140 odds via bet365)
Player props for the Dodgers-Phillies game were established on Wednesday at 7:36 a.m. ET.
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- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
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- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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