Dodgers vs. Phillies Player Prop Predictions, Odds: Expert Picks for Tuesday
In early July, the Philadelphia Phillies will host the Los Angeles Dodgers in what may seem like just another series, but will actually be a highly anticipated matchup between the two top teams in the National League.
On Tuesday, the Phillies are favored to win as the home team at Citizens Bank Park with a 6:40 p.m. ET start time. This will mark the sixth time this season that the Dodgers are considered underdogs, holding a 2-3 record in this position. Check out our Dodgers vs. Phillies player props, which are based on odds from top sports betting sites.
Philadelphia’s NL-best 58-32 record resulted in a franchise-record seven players receiving All-Star nominations. The Phillies rank as the fifth-most profitable moneyline team this season, with backers earning +7.3 units.
After losing back-to-back series to division rivals the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles bounced back with a two out of three wins at home against the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers. The Dodgers will face the Philadelphia Phillies tonight, making them the only NL team they have yet to play this season.
After reviewing our player props for the Dodgers vs. Phillies game, don’t forget to also check out the top home run props for Tuesday.
Dodgers vs. Phillies player props
Check out the MLB odds on our top MLB betting sites and make your pick with confidence using a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Bobby Miller Under 4.5 strikeouts (+116 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Zack Wheeler Over 18.5 outs recorded (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Bryson Stott Over 0.5 runs (+135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dodgers vs. Phillies expert picks
Bobby Miller Under 4.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐
Among Dodgers pitchers who have made at least three starts this season, Miller is the only one with a negative WAR rating. In his six appearances, he has only recorded one quality start and has not surpassed four strikeouts since his first game when he struck out 11 batters.
Miller may soon have to contend with a stronger Phillies lineup as Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are expected to return from their injuries. Before their absence, the Phillies had one of the lowest strikeout rates in the NL. Our MLB player props and expert picks predict that at least one Phillies batter will have success against Miller.
FanDuel is the exclusive provider of a standard line of 4.5 strikeouts, while other competitors have set the line at Miller’s Under of 5.5 with odds as high as -165. With bet365 offering -170 odds, there is a 62.96% implied probability and a $15.88 payout on a successful $10 bet. In comparison, FanDuel offers a higher payout of $21.60.
FanDuel offers the best odds at +145, implying a probability of 46.30%.
Zack Wheeler Over 18.5 outs recorded ⭐⭐⭐
Wheeler has been a reliable pitcher for the Phillies, throwing an average of 99.4 pitches per start, the highest on the team. Despite Philadelphia having a day off on Monday, Wheeler is set to pitch after Michael Mercado, who struggled in his second career start on Sunday, giving up five runs in less than two innings.
Manager Rob Thomson is aware of the power of L.A.’s offense and will likely maximize Wheeler’s performance, especially with the less reliable Cristopher Sanchez scheduled to start tomorrow. If Wheeler can control his walks, he should be able to pitch deep into the game, potentially reaching the seventh inning. However, Wheeler has struggled with walks in eight of his last 10 starts.
Our top sports betting apps offer the same wager, but the highest payout for a winning $10 bet on the Over is at bet365. Bettors would receive $25, resulting in a profit of $15.
Top chance of winning: +150 according to bet365 | Probability of winning: 40.00%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 runs ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Stott has been leading off for the Phillies for the ninth time on Sunday, but it is expected that he will see improved performance by being shifted down in the lineup with Schwarber’s return. In the leadoff spot this season, he has slashed .229/.300/.257. However, in his 10 starts in the No. 7 spot, he has a .333/.488/.433 and has scored 13 runs in 18 games when batting sixth.
Given that Miller has a 9.64 ERA and a .345 OBA in four road starts, there is a strong likelihood that Stott will score at least once against him.
Stott has a low chance of scoring a run, with odds of +110 at FanDuel (implied probability of 47.62%). A winning $10 bet at bet365 would pay out $2.50 more than at FanDuel, with a total of $23.50 compared to $21.
Top odds: +135 at bet365 | Probability of winning: 42.55%
Dodgers vs. Phillies odds & game info
- When: Tuesday, July 9
- First pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- How to watch: TBS
- Favorite: Phillies (-140 via bet365)
Player props for the Dodgers-Phillies game were set on Tuesday at 7:21 a.m. ET.
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