Jackson Holliday Odds & Bets for 2024: Best MLB Futures Props for Baseball’s Top Prospect

The top prospect in Major League Baseball is struggling in his debut with the Baltimore Orioles. Let’s assess Jackson Holliday’s chances and make our predictions for his future success.

On April 10, the Baltimore Orioles made a significant move by promoting Jackson Holliday, the first overall pick of the 2022 MLB Draft and the top prospect in the league. Despite the excitement, Holliday’s transition to the major leagues has been met with challenges.

Baltimore is a top contender in the World Series odds, with rookie Colton Cowser leading the recent offensive surge. Meanwhile, fellow rookie Holliday has only managed one hit in his first 30 professional at-bats.

Holliday strikes out in half of his plate appearances and has only walked in 6.3% of them, which hasn’t helped set the table for the Orioles’ MVP contenders Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman.

Despite being the preseason favorite to win American League Rookie of the Year, the 20-year-old is now ranked fourth on the oddsboard and has much longer odds than Cowser, Evan Carter, and Wyatt Langford.

Let’s examine the MLB Rookie of the Year odds and other futures markets that will be impacted by Holliday’s arrival.

Check out our top Jackson Holliday odds, forecasts, and MLB selections (odds sourced from our top MLB betting platforms; confidence ratings range from 1 to 5 stars).

Jackson Holliday props for 2024

Rookie of the Year odds

As of April 22, here are the odds for the AL Rookie of the Year. Check out our complete analysis of the MLB Rookie of the Year odds.

Holliday was considered the top contender for AL Rookie of the Year before being surpassed by two promising Texas Rangers rookies. This occurred when the Orioles revealed that the first overall pick of the 2022 draft would start the season in Triple-A.

It goes without saying that Holliday dominated minor-league pitching. He boasted a .333/.482/.595 slash line and smacked two home runs in just 56 plate appearances. However, what really stood out in his short Triple-A tenure this season was his remarkable 21.4% walk rate, which surpassed his 14.3% strikeout rate.

Regrettably, Holliday has not been able to translate his exceptional on-base abilities to the major leagues while batting ninth for the Orioles. If he can continue to get on base consistently at the highest level, his chances of winning Rookie of the Year will greatly improve. However, his current performance in the majors after nine games makes him a risky bet for the award.

Orioles 2024 futures odds

World Series odds

As of April 22, the odds for the World Series are…

Although Holliday has performed poorly, the Orioles’ chances of winning the World Series have improved since he joined the team.

If Holliday fulfills his potential this season, Orioles manager Brandon Hyde will have more flexibility in choosing his lineup for the postseason.

Holliday has primarily batted ninth in the lineup, with a few appearances as the eighth hitter. It’s uncertain where he will bat in the future as he adapts to major-league pitching, but the advantage of his early call-up is that there is ample time for him and the Orioles to determine the best placement in the lineup.

The odds have already decreased even without Holliday playing a part, making this the ideal time to purchase before fans and media start crowning the Orioles as the top team in the league.

American League MVP odds

As of April 22, the MLB MVP odds are…

Holliday’s debut in the major leagues doesn’t just impact his own future prospects, but also the futures of two AL MVP candidates he plays alongside. If he can consistently get on base, it could positively influence their MVP campaigns.

Gunnar Henderson is leading off for the Orioles and his RBI opportunities will depend on the performance of the bottom of the order. With Cowser and third baseman Jordan Westburg already contributing, Henderson’s chances are improving. If Holliday can also step up, Henderson may have a shot at catching up to Soto.

Rutschman will see a similar benefit in the No. 2 spot in the team’s lineup, with his lackluster counting stats being a major hindrance in his chances of competing for the 2023 AL MVP title. If the star catcher can pair his top-notch defensive skills with over 100 runs and RBIs, he has the potential to make a significant impact in the league.

American League Cy Young odds

As of April 22, the odds for winning the AL Cy Young Award are…

You might be wondering how Holliday’s arrival could change the Cy Young race for Baltimore’s two top pitchers. Let me explain how.

Corbin Burnes, the top choice in the AL, excels at generating weak contact and ground balls. The previous defender, Urias, has consistently struggled defensively. However, Burnes now has a new, young and athletic second baseman supporting him.

Holliday’s defensive skills, including his range to save potential base hits and ability to turn double plays with Henderson, will benefit the Orioles’ pitchers and help them achieve more wins, especially with his strong offensive capabilities.

Wins are often overlooked when it comes to evaluating Cy Young candidates because they are not necessarily indicative of an individual pitcher’s skill. However, wins can be a deciding factor in a close race for the award.

Currently, Burnes’ main rivals for the Cy Young award seem to be Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers and Cole Ragans of the Kansas City Royals. Ragans, with a 0-2 record in five starts, will likely have difficulty accumulating wins due to the struggling Royals team. Skubal faces a similar challenge, but the Tigers are anticipated to have a stronger performance this season compared to previous years.

The lesson to be learned is that skilled players contribute to the success of the team. Holliday not only benefits himself and his supporters, but also enhances the performance of his teammates.

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