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New York Yankees starting pitcher Gerrit Cole reacts during the first inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium as we look at our Yankees vs. Mets player props.
New York Yankees starting pitcher Gerrit Cole reacts during the first inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium. Photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports.

The struggling New York Yankees will take on their resurging crosstown rivals, the Mets, on Tuesday. We are analyzing the matchup and offering player props based on the latest MLB odds.

One New York team will be playing at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday night at Citi Field on TBS, and they are on fire. Throughout June, they have been dominating their opponents with a 13-6 record, including a seven-game winning streak.

The Yankees are the other team.

Although the team has a strong lineup with several MLB MVP contenders and Gerrit Cole returning to the mound on Tuesday, the New York club is currently struggling. They have lost six of their last eight games, and their lead in the AL East has been reduced to just two games.

Which path will continue on Tuesday when the Subway Series picks up again?

Check out our top player props and MLB picks for the Yankees vs. Mets matchup!

Yankees vs. Mets player props

Check out the odds on our top MLB betting sites and rate your confidence with a 1 to 5-star scale.

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Yankees vs. Mets expert picks

Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Certainly, choosing to fade Gerrit Cole in any capacity can be an anxiety-inducing decision. He is the reigning AL Cy Young winner and has come close to winning the award multiple times. Questioning his ability to rack up strikeouts on a given night can be particularly nerve-wracking.

Cole is undeniably a living, breathing human being. Despite his appearance as a batter-demolishing cyborg, it is important to remember that he is indeed human. Just like anyone else, he may need time to regain his full form after a prolonged absence due to injury.

Cole made his second appearance after being on the injured list for an elbow problem. He was only allowed to throw 62 pitches during his first game back in 2024, which lasted four innings. Despite finishing with five strikeouts, he stayed under the 5.5 strikeout total.

An increase in workload is anticipated for Tuesday, but Cole is not expected to be at full strength, making it challenging to achieve his typical low strikeout total. Additionally, the Mets have proven to be difficult to strike out, ranking eighth in the MLB for fewest strikeouts. With Cole’s solid but not dominant 9.6 K/9 in 2023, this upcoming game presents one of the rare occasions this season where betting the under on his strikeouts is the prudent choice.

Pinnacle and its top trading team have determined that the book is valuing the Under at -128, making the +106 option from Caesars a valuable choice. Placing a $10 bet at those odds would result in a $20.60 payout, with an implied probability of 48.54%.

Top odds: +106 at Caesars Palace

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Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It is evident that there is a correlation between Cole falling below his strikeout prop.

However, Jeff McNeil, the disciplined Mets infielder, is in a good position to avoid striking out even if Cole leaves the game early. Although the Yankees’ relievers are intimidating overall with their sixth-ranked bullpen ERA, they are not dominating the opposition as they sit 21st among bullpens in strikeouts.

McNeil continues to showcase his exceptional patience at the plate, maintaining a keen eye for the strike zone. Despite a slight increase in his strikeout rate in 2024, he still only strikes out in 11.7% of his plate appearances, ranking him in the top 2% of MLB hitters according to Baseball Savant.

Placing a $10 bet with -145 odds on bet365 could result in a $16.90 payout if successful, with a 59.18% implied probability.

Bet365 offers the best odds at -145.

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Harrison Bader Under 0.5 total bases⭐⭐⭐

Only a select few of our top sportsbooks provide the Under option on total bases, and Harrison Bader’s recent difficulties make it a tempting choice to go against him.

Bader’s recent performance has been lackluster, with a batting average of only .167 and an OPS of .564 over the past week. He has gone hitless in three consecutive games and was taken out late in two of them. Additionally, his platoon status is contributing to his struggles.

Bader’s challenges persist throughout June. Despite showing some power with a .771 OPS, an improvement from .640 in March and April, his batting average has dropped from .277 to .255 over the course of the season.

At these odds, you have a 48.78% chance of winning and would receive a $20.50 return on your $10 bet.

Top odds: +105 offered by DraftKings

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Yankees vs. Mets odds & game info

  • When: Tuesday, June 25
  • First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field, New York
  • How to watch: TBS
  • Favorite: Yankees (-140 via bet365)

Player props for the Yankees vs. Mets game were established on Tuesday at 10 a.m. ET.

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