Fever vs. Mercury Prediction, Expert Picks & WNBA Odds: How to Bet Caitlin Clark and Co.
On Sunday, Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever will face off against the Phoenix Mercury in the ESPN headliner. We provide our top prediction and expert picks for the Fever vs. Mercury matchup, using the most favorable WNBA odds available.
Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever have overcome a sluggish start to the season and are beginning to click as we head into the second month of the WNBA season. They will be in the spotlight this Sunday as they take on the Phoenix Mercury at Footprint Center at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Mercury are favored by 7 points to win against the Fever according to our top sportsbooks. They are one of only five teams with odds shorter than 100/1 to win the WNBA championship, having won six of their first nine games in June.
The Fever are close behind in the title race, but their odds are more than three times higher due to a strong 6-2 start to the month. However, two consecutive losses have made oddsmakers doubt their chances of winning on Sunday.
Fever vs. Mercury expert picks
Choose your confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars when placing bets on our top sports betting sites.
- Mercury -7 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Kahleah Copper Over 21.5 points (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caitlin Clark Over 3.5 threes (+140 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caitlin Clark Over 5.5 rebounds (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
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Fever vs. Mercury predictions for Sunday
Mercury -7 ⭐⭐⭐
Not too long ago, the Fever appeared to be the weakest team in the WNBA, suffering eight losses in their first nine games. However, they turned things around with a series of victories, including a recent win against the Atlanta Dream, allowing them to move up from the bottom of the league standings.
However, despite their recent success, Indiana is not considered a strong team. The team has only won against opponents with losing records this month, and most of their wins were by single digits. In contrast, the Mercury have maintained a 3-0 record this month against teams with winning records, winning by an average of 14 points.
If Phoenix’s shots are not going in, they are at risk of being upset, which is why they are given a three-star endorsement. However, if their shots are falling, the Fever may struggle to keep up with their offense and defense, potentially leading to a one-sided game on the road.
The most favorable odds are -110 on bet365.
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Kahleah Copper Over 21.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Copper may not be the most famous player on a team with Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner, but she has consistently been the top performer for the Mercury throughout the season.
Without A’ja Wilson’s exceptional season, we might be focusing on a potential MVP campaign for Copper, who is currently third in scoring with 22.7 points per game and leads the league in usage rate at 33.3%. In her last seven starts, Copper has scored 24 or more points four times, including a standout performance against the Los Angeles Sparks on Friday.
This could be a sneak peek of her performance on Sunday against the Fever, who have the lowest defensive rating (109.5) by a significant margin. Copper’s projected point total is set at 22.5 on other top sports betting apps, making it a good value at even lower -105 odds.
Top odds: -105 as per bet365
Caitlin Clark player props vs. Mercury
Caitlin Clark Over 3.5 threes ⭐⭐⭐⭐
If you’ve been keeping up with my WNBA predictions this season, you’ll know that I love betting on the Under for Clark’s made threes in Fever games. However, the odds for this bet are just too good to ignore.
Our top live betting sites usually set the total at 2.5 for Clark, but she has surprised everyone by hitting 12 triples in her last three games. Coach Christie Sides has been urging the rookie star to shoot more, which is great news for those betting on the Over.
You can still place a bet on Over 2.5 at -140 through bet365. However, I am opting for the better odds in favor of a big game against the Mercury. They have the highest number of 3-point makes (10) and attempts (27.9) allowed per game. This means that if Clark wants to take shots, she will have the opportunity and space to do so on Sunday.
Top odds: +140 offered at FanDuel
This offer is valid for new customers only. To qualify, deposit a minimum of $5 and place a bet of $5 or more. If your bet wins within 72 hours, you will receive $200 in Bonus Bets.
Caitlin Clark Over 5.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐
I am confident in my prediction for the prop bet mentioned above, but if the sportsbooks offer this total at even odds, I will happily place my bet.
Clark’s rebounding performance this season has been inconsistent, with periods of strong focus on the glass followed by times where she is less engaged. However, she has recently been on a hot streak, grabbing six or more rebounds in four of her last five games, indicating a renewed commitment to rebounding.
This season, the Mercury have struggled with rebounding and prioritize getting back on defense over grabbing defensive rebounds. This benefits Clark, who has a good chance of winning her bet with -115 odds. A successful $10 wager would result in an $8.70 profit.
The most favorable odds are -115 from DraftKings.
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Fever vs. Mercury odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | -7 (-110) | -7 (-110) | -6.5 (-120) | -7 (-110) | -7 (-110) |
| Indiana Fever | +7 (-110) | +7 (-110) | +6.5 (+100) | +7 (-110) | +7 (-110) |
Fever vs. Mercury game info
- When: Sunday, June 30
- Tip-off: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Footprint Center (Phoenix)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Mercury -7 (-110 via bet365)
The Fever-Mercury predictions were made at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday.
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