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Kevin Harvick features in our Cook Out 400 picks.
Kevin Harvick, driver of the #4 Rheem Ford, drives during practice for the NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway on July 29, 2023 in Richmond, Virginia. Sean Gardner/Getty Images/AFP

Kevin Harvick is aiming to secure a back-to-back victory at the Cook Out 400. Check out our Cook Out 400 predictions and picks, based on the top odds from our recommended sports betting sites.

Following an intense race at Pocono last weekend, the possibilities are endless as the NASCAR Cup Series gears up for Richmond Raceway on Sunday afternoon. The Cook Out 400 will be the series’ last visit to Richmond this season.

Kyle Larson emerged victorious in the spring race this year and is likely fueled by his recent altercation with Denny Hamlin. Kevin Harvick claimed victory in this race last year, highlighting the absence of Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota drivers as recent winners at Richmond. This is unexpected considering JGR’s previous dominance at this track.

Richmond is the sole track on the NASCAR circuit measuring 0.75 miles in length, featuring a D-shaped oval with slight banking. This track tends to favor drivers with strong talent and teams, particularly those who perform well on flatter layouts. The recent race at New Hampshire may serve as valuable information for bettors looking to assess potential outcomes at Richmond.

Below are our top selections and predictions for the 2023 Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway on Sunday, with odds provided by PointsBet and SuperBook. Our confidence in each pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Cook Out 400 picks

  • Outright winner: Kevin Harvick (+650 via PointsBet) ⭐
  • Group B Matchup: Chase Elliott (+355 via SuperBook) vs. Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch and William Byron ⭐⭐
  • Group C matchup: Tyler Reddick (+220 via SuperBook) vs. Ross Chastain, Brad Keselowski and Ryan Blaney ⭐⭐⭐

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Cook Out 400 odds

DriverDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Martin Truex Jr.+400+400+400+400+400
Denny Hamlin+550+550+500+500+525
Kevin Harvick+550+550+600+550+650
Kyle Busch+750+750+900 +600 ❄️+800
Kyle Larson+800+800+800+700+650 ❄️
William Byron+900+900+600 ❄️+850+750
Chase Elliott+1600 +1600+1000 ❄️+1500+1200
Tyler Reddick+1600+1600+1200 ❄️+1400+1700
Christopher Bell+1800 +1600+1000 ❄️+1200OFF
Joey Logano+2200+2200+1600+2000+1300 ❄️

Cook Out 400 predictions

Outright winner: Kevin Harvick (+650 via PointsBet) ⭐

It is highly likely that Harvick will come out victorious in a race during his last season of a legendary NASCAR Cup Series career. Despite not being the top betting choice for the upcoming Cook Out 400 on Sunday, he is expected to be a strong contender to defend his title as the race winner.

As mentioned earlier, Richmond Raceway is a low-banked track where Harvick has consistently performed well. His impressive track record at Richmond goes beyond just his win last year, showcasing his expertise in this type of racing.

In the past 10 races, Harvick has achieved six top-5 finishes and only one result worse than eighth place. His average finish of 6.6 during this time period ranks third, trailing only Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin. Additionally, his average driver rating of 105.9 in the last six races is the fourth highest among all Cup Series competitors.

Harvick has claimed victory at Richmond on four occasions throughout his Cup Series career. His recent strong performances, finishing fourth in the past two weeks, suggest that a breakthrough win is on the horizon.

In terms of odds, bettors are advised to support “The Closer” at PointsBet. Their price of +650 is unmatched and offers the best value compared to our preferred sportsbooks.

Group B Matchup: Chase Elliott (+355 via SuperBook) vs. Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch and William Byron ⭐⭐

Chase Elliott of Hendrick Motorsports has had a disappointing season so far. Despite recovering from a snowboarding injury that sidelined him for six weeks, he has struggled to achieve strong results. In the last three races, he finished 13th, 12th, and 10th, falling short of his own and HMS’s high expectations.

In addition, Elliott has been performing much poorer than his three Group B competitors. His recent performances are likely why he is considered a long shot with odds of +355 to win the race. Despite his lackluster performance in the 2023 season, it is difficult to ignore a driver as skilled as Elliott at such a low price.

When looking at historical statistics at Richmond, Elliott has shown remarkable consistency. In his last nine starts, he has achieved five top-5 finishes and never placed worse than 15th. Three of those top-5 finishes occurred in his five most recent starts, including a fifth-place finish in the same race last year.

Naturally, redeeming this ticket will be quite challenging for Elliott. He must outperform Harvick (+185), the reigning Cook Out 400 champion and favorite in the group that we just praised. Additionally, he must surpass Kyle Busch (+295), who boasts impressive statistics at this track, and William Byron (+295), who has similar Hendrick Motorsports equipment and has already secured four victories this season.

Despite facing tough odds, Elliott’s impressive qualifying performance has earned him the fourth starting position on Sunday’s grid. Being in a must-win situation for his playoff hopes could work in his favor, as it will push him to give his all in every race moving forward.

Group C matchup: Tyler Reddick (+220 via SuperBook) vs. Ross Chastain, Brad Keselowski and Ryan Blaney ⭐⭐⭐

This week, we will remain in our groups for the final selection. SuperBook has chosen Tyler Reddick as the favorite in his Group C matchup. Racing for the JGR-affiliated 23XI Racing team in the No. 45 Toyota, it is likely that he will perform well on Sunday. Reddick has already gained an advantage by securing the pole position in Saturday’s qualifying round.

Despite having a prime starting position for the race, the main issue with betting on Reddick is his lack of past success at Richmond. In six prior Cup Series starts at the track, he has never placed higher than 11th and has finished outside the top-15 three times.

Although he has faced challenges in the past, Reddick impressively finished sixth at New Hampshire two weeks ago, a track with similar characteristics. Out of the three other drivers in Group C, only Brad Keselowski (+290) has a stronger track record here. However, Keselowski has not placed higher than 10th since winning in 2020.

Ross Chastain (+270) and Ryan Blaney (+320) have not had much success at Richmond. Chastain finished fourth here in the spring, but Trackhouse Racing has been struggling lately. Chastain will start 19th on Sunday, while Blaney had a poor qualifying run and will start even further back. Blaney has only three top-10 finishes in his last 10 starts at Richmond, with his best finish being seventh.

Reddick’s pole position makes him the clear favorite to win the group, especially with Keselowski as his main competition. The +220 odds for Reddick offer great value in this matchup.

Cook Out 400 race info

  • Date: Sunday, July 30, 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Richmond Raceway, Richmond, VA
  • TV: USA Network
  • Defending Winner: Kevin Harvick

The selections for the Cook Out 400 were finalized on July 29, 2023 at 10 p.m. Eastern Time.

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