Oscars Best Actress Predictions 2026: Lily Gladstone Overtakes Emma Stone as Favorite
After Emma Stone’s victory at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, Lily Gladstone is now the frontrunner over Stone at the best Oscars Odds on our top sports betting sites.
According to our Oscars odds, the winners for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress are already determined. However, the race for Best Actress is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in years.
Emma Stone was initially leading in this category with odds around -250. However, Lily Gladstone’s win at the SAGs has leveled the playing field, with both actresses now trading at similar prices. Stone has fallen behind with odds reaching 2/1.
Who will emerge victorious when the Academy makes its decision?
These are the top odds for the 2026 Best Actress winner as provided by our top sports betting apps.
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Best Lead Actress odds 2026
The odds as of March 7th.
| Actress (Film) | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) | -250 | -210 | -250 | -250 | -225 |
| Emma Stone (Poor Things) | +165 | +140 ❄️ | +155 | +190 | +162 |
| Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall) | +2500 | +3400 | +2500 | +4000 | +1200 ❄️ |
| Carey Mulligan (Maestro) | +6500 | +3700 ❄️ | +6600 | +5000 | +6600 |
| Annette Bening (Nyad) | +5000 | +4500 ❄️ | +6600 | +5000 | +6600 |
Best Actress predictions 2026
Lily Gladstone (-210 via FanDuel)
Gladstone’s victory at the SAGs has caused a major shift in the race. She was initially at +175 odds before the show, but her win has now made her the favorite at our top sportsbooks.
Typically, the SAGs serve as a strong predictor of Oscar winners, so winning this award could bode well for her chances at the Oscars with an implied probability of victory at nearly 68%.
Emma Stone (+190 via Caesars)
Stone appeared to be the frontrunner, but her loss at the SAGs has thrown the competition wide open, creating a thrilling race.
Stone has received numerous awards before the SAGs, increasing her chances of winning at the Oscars. Although I am leaning towards placing a bet on Stone at +190, it seems likely that Gladstone will come out on top on Sunday.
Oscars betting odds pages
| Oscars odds and predictions | Best Supporting Actor predictions | Best Original Score |
| Best Picture predictions | Best Supporting Actress predictions | Best Original Song |
| Best Director predictions | Best Original Screenplay | |
| Best Lead Actor predictions | Best Adapted Screenplay | |
| Best Lead Actress predictions | Best Animated Feature |
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