Wimbledon Odds & Favorites 2024: Alcaraz, Rybakina the Favorites as Sinner Ousted in Quarterfinals
Carlos Alcaraz made an impressive comeback on Tuesday to reach his sixth semifinal in the last seven Grand Slams, reclaiming the top spot in the Wimbledon odds as the favorite over Novak Djokovic.
Jannik Sinner, the former favorite and top seed, was defeated by Daniil Medvedev. Medvedev will now face Alcaraz in a rematch of the 2023 semifinal for a chance to advance to the final.
Elena Rybakina, set to face Elina Svitolina in the quarterfinals on Wednesday, is still the top choice among our top sports betting sites for the women’s tournament, especially with Donna Vekic and Jasmine Paolini moving into the semifinals.
On Wednesday, Jeļena Ostapenko will face off against Barbora Krejčíková in the women’s quarterfinal match.
In the men’s competition, Djokovic secured a spot in the semifinals when Australian player Alex de Minaur withdrew. Meanwhile, American Taylor Fritz is facing off against first-time quarterfinalist Lorenzo Musetti.
Wimbledon odds 2024 – Men
Updated Wimbledon odds from our top sports betting apps as of July 9: best odds = ❄️ worst odds
| Name | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | +110 | +105 ❄️ | +120 | +110 | +120 |
| Novak Djokovic | +140 ❄️ | +155 | +150 | +150 | +160 |
| Taylor Fritz | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 ❄️ | +1100 | +1100 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +600 | +650 | +550 | +550 | +550 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | +5000 | +5000 | +3300 ❄️ | +5000 | +5000 |
Wimbledon odds 2024 – Women
Wimbledon odds as of July 9th from our top sports betting apps: best odds = ⭐️, worst odds = ❄️
| Name | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | +105 | +100 | +105 | +100 | +100 |
| Jasmine Paolini | +350 | +320 | +300 | +320 | +300 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | +650 | +600 | +600 | +550 ❄️ | +600 |
| Donna Vekic | +550 | +650 | +550 | +550 | +650 |
| Elina Svitolina | +1200 | +1300 | +1100 | +1200 | +900 ❄️ |
| Barbora Krejčíková | +1600 | +1900 | +1600 | +1600 | +1800 |
2024 Wimbledon favorites
Carlos Alcaraz (+120)
Alcaraz’s career path has followed the predictions made by analysts when he burst onto the scene a few years ago. The young prodigy has the potential to reach the same level as top players like Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer, and Djokovic.
In the past six majors, Alcaraz has emerged victorious three times, claiming his first Grand Slam title at the 2022 US Open. He then went on to win his first Wimbledon championship in 2023 and secured the 2024 French Open title at Roland-Garros.
Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul in four sets on Tuesday, securing his sixth semifinal appearance in the last seven Grand Slams. With an impressive track record against Daniil Medvedev, whom he will face in the upcoming semifinal, Alcaraz has emerged as the clear favorite having won four out of their six previous encounters, including four of the last five.
Alcaraz swept Medvedev in straight sets during the 2023 Wimbledon semifinal, and the market is favoring his chances to advance once more on Friday.
Top odds: +120 on bet365 | Probability: 45.45%
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Novak Djokovic (+160)
Djokovic has dominated at Wimbledon, winning four out of the last five titles. He had a remarkable streak of 34 consecutive victories at the All England Club and 45 on center court until Alcaraz defeated him in the 2023 final. It would be unwise to bet against this exceptional player, as he excels at Wimbledon with his superior skills, often outclassing his opponents.
As the top serve defender in the world, particularly on grass, Djokovic showcases remarkable agility and seemingly endless stamina, even at the age of 36. With just one Wimbledon title separating him from tying Federer’s record of eight, Djokovic is sure to be even more driven and motivated.
The Djoker easily defeated No. 15 seed Holger Rune in the Round of 16, winning in straight sets. Although the world No. 2 showed some discomfort in his abdomen at one point, his knee, which was operated on seven weeks ago, seems to be in good shape, posing a threat to his competitors.
Greatest chance of winning: +160 odds on bet365 | Probability of winning: 38.46%
Elena Rybakina (+105)
After Putintseva’s surprising victory over Swiatek on Saturday, Rybakina became the favorite on the women’s oddsboard. She has only lost one set so far and easily defeated Carolina Wozniacki on Saturday.
Following an effortless opening victory against Elena-Gabriela Ruse of Romania at Wimbledon, Rybakina faced a tougher challenge in the second round against Laura Siegemund of Germany, losing a set but ultimately rallying to secure a spot in the third round.
Rybakina is now in a strong position to claim her second Wimbledon title in three years after defeating Elina Svitolina in straight sets during the fourth round at the French Open. The next challenge for Rybakina is facing Svitolina again in the quarterfinals on Wednesday.
Top odds: +105 at BetMGM | Probability: 48.78%
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Jasmine Paolini (+350)
Jasmine Paolini is having a breakout season, exceeding expectations after previously struggling to advance past the second round in 16 Grand Slam appearances. She has now reached her second consecutive major semifinal, following her impressive performance as a runner-up at the French Open.
At the beginning of the year, she made it to the fourth round of the Australian Open. Paolini is fortunate to have a favorable semifinal matchup, as she will not have to face Rybakina or Svitolina. Her opponent is Donna Vekic, the 37th seed, who is appearing in the semifinals of a Grand Slam for the first time in 43 tries.
Paolini’s electrifying play and growing confidence could lead to a second consecutive Grand Slam final appearance. Anything can happen in a high-stakes match like this.
Top odds: +350 at bet365 | Probability: 22.22%
My Wimbledon player to watch
Taylor Fritz (+1200)
Taylor Fritz is on an eight-match winning streak as he advances to the quarterfinals. Despite never making it past this stage at Wimbledon, he has a strong opportunity to do so against first-time quarterfinalist Lorenzo Musetti.
Should Fritz emerge victorious, he will probably go up against Djokovic in the semifinals, a player he has not defeated in nine previous encounters. However, there is a possibility that Djokovic could be feeling tired going into the match.
Top odds: +1200 on DraftKings | Probability of winning: 7.69%
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Wimbledon 2024 men’s semifinal odds
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon 2024 women’s semifinal odds
Jasmine Paolini vs. Donna Vekic
Wimbledon 2024 power rankings
The power rankings have been updated ahead of Wednesday’s games.
Men’s power rankings
| Player | Ranking | Previous ranking | World Ranking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 6 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | 7 | 7 | |
| Taylor Fritz | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Novak Djokovic | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Women’s power rankings
| Player | Ranking | Previous ranking | World Ranking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barbora Krejčíková | 6 | 7 | 32 |
| Donna Vekić | 5 | 8 | 37 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| Elina Svitolina | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| Elena Rybakina | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Wimbledon Open odds over time
Men
| Player | Jan. 29, 2024 | April 7, 2024 | April 23, 2024 | June 30, 2024 | July 8, 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | +175 | +175 | +175 | +250 | +260 |
| Novak Djokovic | +175 | +190 | +190 | +350 | +275 |
| Jannik Sinner | +350 | +330 | +330 | +175 | +162 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +1100 | +1200 | +1200 | +4000 | +3400 |
| Rafael Nadal | +1200 | +1600 | +1600 | OFF | OFF |
| Holger Rune | +2500 | +3000 | +3000 | +4000 | OFF |
| Taylor Fritz | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +5000 | +1200 |
| Nick Kyrgios | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | OFF | OFF |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +6500 | OFF |
| Alexander Zverev | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +1800 | OFF |
Women
| Player | Jan. 29, 2024 | April 7, 2024 | April 23, 2024 | June 30, 2024 | July 8, 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +350 | +300 | +300 | +320 | OFF |
| Iga Swiatek | +330 | +350 | +350 | +450 | OFF |
| Elena Rybakina | +600 | +500 | +500 | +650 | +110 |
| Coco Gauff | +800 | +800 | +800 | +750 | OFF |
| Naomi Osaka | OFF | +1400 | +1400 | +2000 | OFF |
| Ons Jabeur | +1200 | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 | OFF |
| Jessica Pegula | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 | +2000 | OFF |
| Marketa Vondrousova | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 | +5000 | OFF |
| Mirra Andreeva | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 | +3000 | OFF |
| Qinwen Zheng | OFF | +2500 | +2500 | +5000 | OFF |
| Simona Halep | OFF | +2200 | +2200 | OFF | OFF |
| Elina Svitolina | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 | +8000 | +1200 |
| Karolina Muchova | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 | +10000 | OFF |
Past Wimbledon winners
Men
| Year | Player | Odds (Prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Carlos Alcaraz | +340 |
| 2022 | Novak Djokovic | -120 |
| 2021 | Novak Djokovic | -135 |
| 2020 | Canceled | |
| 2019 | Novak Djokovic | +145 |
| 2018 | Novak Djokovic | +600 |
| 2017 | Roger Federer | +225 |
| 2016 | Andy Murray | +330 |
Women
| Year | Player | Odds (Prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Marketa Vondrousova | +10000 |
| 2022 | Elena Rybakina | +10000 |
| 2021 | Ashleigh Barty | +650 |
| 2020 | Canceled | |
| 2019 | Simona Halep | +1800 |
| 2018 | Angelique Kerber | +1200 |
| 2017 | Garbine Muguruza | +1600 |
| 2016 | Serena Williams | +160 |
How to bet on tennis
When betting on tennis, you are predicting the results of different elements of a match or tournament. Let’s take a look at some common betting markets and examples of odds.
- Match winner: In this market, you bet on which player will win the match. For example, if Novak Djokovic is playing against Rafael Nadal and Djokovic has odds of -150 to win, it means you would need to bet $15 to win $10 if he wins. Conversely, if Nadal has odds of +200, a $10 bet on him would yield a profit of $20 if he wins.
- Set betting: This market involves predicting the correct scoreline of sets in a match. For instance, if you believe Djokovic will win 3-1 against Nadal, and the odds for that outcome are +300, a $10 bet would result in a $30 profit if your prediction is correct.
- Over/Under total games: Here, you wager on whether the total number of games played in a match will be Over or Under a set number determined by the sportsbook. If the line is set at 38.5 games and you bet the Over with odds of -110, you would need the match to have 39 or more games to win. Conversely, if you bet the Under with odds of +120, a $10 bet would return $12 in profit if the match has 38 or fewer games.
There are numerous tennis betting markets beyond the ones mentioned here, all of which provide bettors with different chances to leverage their understanding of the game. It is crucial to thoroughly research players, take into account variables such as playing conditions and recent performance, and stay up-to-date on tournament updates in order to make well-informed betting choices.
Wimbledon FAQs
Who are the Wimbledon favorites?
Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite on the men’s side with odds of +120, while Elena Rybakina leads the way for the women with odds of +105.
Who won Wimbledon last year?
Last year, Carlos Alcaraz emerged victorious at Wimbledon by defeating Novak Djokovic in a thrilling five-set final. Meanwhile, Marketa Vondrousova secured the women’s title by defeating Ons Jabeur.
When will Wimbledon be decided?
The dates for Wimbledon are set from Monday, July 1 to Sunday, July 14.
Where will Wimbledon be played?
The All England Club in London will host Wimbledon.
Who has won the most Wimbledon titles?
Roger Federer currently holds the record for the most Wimbledon titles on the men’s side with eight. Djokovic is close behind with seven, tied with the legendary Pete Sampras. Djokovic is determined to surpass Federer’s record before retiring from the sport.
Martina Navratilova holds the record for the most Wimbledon titles on the women’s side with nine wins. Following closely behind are Steffi Graf and Serena Williams, who each have seven titles, and Venus Williams, who has four.
How many Grand Slams are held on grass courts?
Wimbledon is the sole grass-court Grand Slam tournament of the tennis calendar, with the Australian Open and US Open being played on hard courts, the French Open on clay, and Wimbledon on grass.
The grass-court season is the briefest on the tour, kicking off after the conclusion of the French Open and wrapping up at Wimbledon. It lasts for less than six weeks.
Tennis betting odds pages
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| French Open Odds | US Open Odds |
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