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NBA Player Props & Best Bets Today: Schedule, Picks for Wednesday

Smith Gracelynn

Updated on April 10, 2024 at 2:08 PM EDT • Read time: 4 minutes and 1 second. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Damian Lillard #0 of the Milwaukee Bucks reacts as we look at our NBA Best Bets and player props for Wednesday
Damian Lillard #0 of the Milwaukee Bucks reacts after fouling out of a game against the Toronto Raptors at Fiserv Forum on April 05, 2024. Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images via AFP.

As the NBA season winds down, new possibilities have emerged, and we are here to provide you with an exciting lineup of NBA player props and top bets for Wednesday’s games, all based on the most favorable NBA odds available.

Following a hectic 14-game schedule on Tuesday, Wednesday’s NBA matchups will be more relaxed with only eight games on tap. We have prepared four player props for you to consider as always.

Cam Thomas is set up for success with a great matchup against the Toronto Raptors, who struggle defensively. Without Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard will have a bigger offensive responsibility for the Milwaukee Bucks against the Orlando Magic.

Chet Holmgren and the Oklahoma City Thunder are looking to secure a victory against the depleted San Antonio Spurs, while our attention turns to Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets as they face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in a Western Conference matchup.

Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Wednesday’s Mavericks vs. Heat game, based on odds from our top NBA betting sites and rated on a 1-to-5-star scale for pick confidence.

Wednesday’s NBA best bets

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Wednesday’s NBA schedule and odds

(Odds via DraftKings)

Wednesday’s NBA player props

Cam Thomas Over 24.5 points vs. Raptors (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Toronto has been the team to give up the most points per game since the All-Star break, allowing a staggering 121.4 points. Thomas has been on fire in his last 15 games, averaging 26.5 points and scoring at least 25 in nine of them. This means he has hit the Over on this number in 60% of those games. Given his recent performances, we would expect the odds to be -150, but we are getting a great deal at DraftKings.

Thomas has exceeded the Over in 26 out of 63 games this season, scoring an average of 23.3 points at home and 21.3 points on the road. Given these stats, we are confident in taking the Over in this favorable matchup.

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Damian Lillard Over 29.5 points vs. Magic (+145 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Giannis Antetokounmpo experienced a non-contact injury during Tuesday’s victory against Boston. Although the MRI showed no Achilles damage, it is likely that he will be sidelined for Wednesday’s game as part of Milwaukee’s back-to-back schedule.

Lillard has excelled in six games without Giannis, scoring 30+ points in five of them. He has only achieved this feat in 20 games this season, so the odds are favorable. With his strong performance in the absence of Antetokounmpo, betting on another high-scoring game and taking the Over on this alternate line seems like a smart choice. A $10 bet on this proposition could result in a profit of $14.50.

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Chet Holmgren Over 25.5 points + rebounds + assists vs. Spurs (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Holmgren has struggled in the past three weeks, but he has shown improvement in his last five games. During this stretch, the rookie has averaged 16.5 points and 8.2 rebounds and exceeded the expected outcome on this prop twice. Throughout the season, Holmgren has surpassed the expected outcome in 34 out of 79 games, representing a 43% success rate. However, the implied probability of these odds is 54.6%, prompting the question of why we should place a bet on this particular outcome.

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Holmgren has exceeded the Over in his past two matchups against the Spurs, putting up impressive stats against fellow Rookie of the Year candidate Victor Wembanyama. Wembanyama is uncertain for tonight’s game and may be rested for the second half of San Antonio’s back-to-back games. This is great news for Holmgren, as he is already in a favorable matchup and won’t have to go up against Wembanyama, a strong Defensive Player of the Year contender. We are confident in taking the Over and the slightly juiced odds in this scenario.

Nikola Jokic Over 40.5 points + rebounds vs. Timberwolves (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In five of his last six games, Jokic has exceeded the Over, with one standout performance being a 32-point, 10-rebound game against Minnesota on March 29. Throughout three games against the Wolves this season, Jokic has averaged 30.7 points and 12 rebounds, surpassing the Over twice. Following the All-Star break, Jokic has averaged 40.5 points + rebounds and has exceeded the Over in 13 out of 23 games.

Denver, Oklahoma City, and Minnesota are all competing for the top seed in the West, so Joker is expected to perform at his best in this important game. Despite the implied probability of 52.4% with our -110 odds, Jokic has surpassed expectations in 56.5% of games since the break, making this a valuable wager.

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The NBA’s top betting picks for April 10, 2024 were placed at 9:45 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Smith Gracelynn
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Underscoreg Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.