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Best bets today from around the NBA.
Best bets today from around the NBA.

We are examining our top picks for NBA player props and the most favorable bets for Tuesday, utilizing the top NBA odds.

Monday was an exciting day for fans of assists as we went 2-0 in our NBA best bets. Karl-Anthony Towns and Kyle Kuzma both surpassed their assists prop, resulting in a 2.02 unit win with two successful picks.

Happy NBA In-Season Tournament day to everyone who is celebrating!

I am keeping a close eye on the NBA In-Season Tournament game between the Phoenix Suns and the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday. I have bet on the Suns to win the tournament at odds of +3200, so I am hoping they can improve their point differential against the Trail Blazers.

Is the increasing significance of point differential during the tournament impacting player props?

Below are our top NBA player props and betting picks for Tuesday, with odds provided by our recommended NBA betting sites. Confidence level is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Tuesday’s NBA schedule and odds

(Odds via BetMGM)

Tuesday’s NBA best bets

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Tuesday’s NBA player props

Jalen Suggs Over 2.5 assists vs. Raptors (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If you don’t know much about Suggs’ playing style, it’s worth noting that he has excelled as a defender at the point of attack this season. This is crucial in the upcoming game, as Suggs’ defensive skills will be essential in stopping Dennis Schroder, the primary playmaker for the Toronto Raptors. As a result, it seems likely that Suggs will see significant playing time on Tuesday, as the Orlando Magic will rely on him to disrupt Schroder’s offensive rhythm.

His strong defense against Schroder will help secure his playing time, especially with the NBA In-Season Tournament approaching on Tuesday. The Orlando Magic are still in contention in their group, and they need to boost their point differential. This means that Suggs should expect to see significant playing time, even if the team is winning by a comfortable margin of 15 points or more.

Another factor to consider with Suggs is his motivation against the Raptors. Despite being a favorite to be drafted by Toronto in the 2021 NBA Draft, they chose Scottie Barnes instead. This has fueled Suggs and he always seems to play with extra determination against them.

It is projected that Suggs will have 3.1 assists against the Raptors on Tuesday. This suggests that the Over 2.5 assists bet at -140 has value, especially since it is available at -110 on BetMGM. With this projection, the bet is showing a positive expected value of 11%.

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Keyonte George Under 6.5 assists vs. Lakers (+114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

George has been racking up assists as the starting point guard for the Utah Jazz, but I question whether his impressive totals are sustainable.

Since George entered the starting lineup, he has been averaging 12.2 potential assists per game and converting them into 8.8 actual assists. This is an unusually high conversion rate compared to the typical 45-55% conversion rate we see with potential assists.

The Jazz are scheduled to play in Portland on Wednesday night, marking the front end of a back-to-back for the team. With this in mind, it may be a good opportunity for George to have fewer minutes on the court. Talen Horton-Tucker, who backs up George, is likely eager for the game against the Lakers and could benefit from more playing time.

George is expected to have 6.2 assists against the Lakers on Tuesday. The Under 6.5 assists can be bet at -136, but FanDuel is offering it at +114. It is recommended to place this bet at FanDuel in order to take advantage of the increased edge. This unique +114 price greatly enhances your chances of winning and makes it worth betting on the Under. Only Caesars and FanDuel are offering the Under at plus money, so it is important to act quickly to maximize your potential earnings.

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Best NBA bets for November 21, 2023 were made at 6:30 a.m. ET.

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