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Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic guards Boston Celtics guard Jrue Holiday during the fourth quarter of Game 3 of the 2024 NBA Finals. We're backing Holiday in our Celtics vs. Mavs Last Minute Predictions.
Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic guards Boston Celtics guard Jrue Holiday during the fourth quarter of Game 3 of the 2024 NBA Finals. Photo by Jerome Miron/USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

The Boston Celtics are on the verge of winning the NBA Finals against the Dallas Mavericks, and we have the top player props for Celtics vs. Mavericks based on today’s Game 4 NBA odds.

Dallas Mavericks fans were briefly hopeful for a comeback against the Boston Celtics in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, but those hopes were dashed when Luka Doncic fouled out. The Celtics now hold a commanding 3-0 series lead as they head into Game 4 tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Even though Boston is heavily favored to win the NBA championship, they are unexpectedly the underdogs by 1 point at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. Historically, no team has ever been able to recover from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA Finals. Additionally, Doncic did not play like a potential NBA Finals MVP in Game 3.

Below are our top player props and NBA picks for Game 4 between the Celtics and Mavericks.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 player props

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Celtics vs. Mavericks prop bet predictions for today

Luka Doncic Under 50.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐

After fouling out with four minutes remaining in Game 3, Doncic faced a surge of criticism unlike anything he had experienced in his career. His unnecessary foul and subsequent outburst at his own team did not help his reputation. Despite his attempt to make amends with a public apology to his teammates, Dallas appears to be in a dire situation.

The Boston defense boasts a strong lineup with Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and Jrue Holiday, all of whom have the ability to challenge Doncic. This talented group should exhaust him on the defensive end as well.

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In the series, he has a three-point shooting percentage of only 32.1% and is averaging below 50.5 points, rebounds, and assists at 44.7. Based on our odds converter, the win probability is calculated at 50.49%, meaning a $10 bet would pay out $19.80.

The most favorable odds are at -102 with DraftKings.

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Derrick White Over 3.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐

Throughout the series, the attention has been on the health of Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tatum, Brown, and Kristaps Porzingis. However, Derrick White has emerged as a secret weapon for the Celtics, particularly in the second half of Game 3 when he made all three of his three-point attempts.

He has not only met expectations as one of the top defensive guards in the NBA, but he has also been deadly accurate from long range. White has consistently sunk crucial three-pointers, taking advantage of the Mavericks’ defensive attention on Tatum and Brown.

He is shooting 40.7% in the playoffs and making an average of 3.5 3-pointers per game, with eight games where he made 4 or more threes. Despite the odds being slightly against him, I believe this bet offers good value. The odds suggest a 41.67% chance of winning, but a $10 bet would result in a $14 profit.

The most favorable odds are +140 as offered by DraftKings.

Jrue Holiday Over 10.5 rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Celtics squad, which has been striving to break through since drafting Tatum in 2017, has seen a significant boost with the addition of Holiday in the offseason. He and White have emerged as key players in the NBA Finals, providing tenacious defense, reliable three-point shooting, grit on the boards, and strong playmaking skills.

If it weren’t for Holiday’s Game 2 performance, Boston might not have a 3-0 lead against the Mavericks. Despite his inconsistent scoring, Holiday has been a reliable facilitator and rebounder for the Celtics, who have a deep roster to rely on.

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Holiday has been consistently getting over 10.5 combined rebounds and assists in his recent games against Dallas, achieving this feat in 10 out of his last 14 games, including six out of his last seven. Based on the odds, there is a 53.05% chance that he will exceed this mark again. Placing a $10 bet would result in an $8.85 profit if he does so.

FanDuel has the best odds at -113.

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 odds

Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 info

  • When: Friday, June 14
  • Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Favorite: Mavericks -1 (-105 via bet365)

Player props for the Celtics-Mavericks game were created on Friday at 11:50 a.m. ET.

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