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Heat vs. Celtics Player Props & Odds: Sunday’s NBA Playoff Prop Bets

Smith Gracelynn

Updated as of April 21, 2024 at 11:22 AM EDT • Read time: 3 minutes and 6 seconds. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics drives against Caleb Martin #16 of the Miami Heat as we look at our Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 NBA player props
Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics drives against Caleb Martin #16 of the Miami Heat during the first quarter of the game at Kaseya Center on February 11, 2024. Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images via AFP.

The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics, who are no strangers to facing off in the playoffs, will kick off their Round 1 NBA playoff series at TD Garden. Check out our Heat vs. Celtics player props, which are based on the top NBA odds.

The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics have a fierce rivalry, meeting in the playoffs for the third consecutive season. Although each team has claimed an Eastern Conference Finals victory in their last two matchups, the Heat are now considered significant underdogs in this series.

The Celtics dominated the regular season with a league-leading 64-18 record and are currently healthy. On the other hand, Miami barely made it to the playoffs as the No. 8 seed, but will be missing their star player, Jimmy Butler, for an extended period.

As we prepare for the 2024 NBA Playoffs, we offer our top player props and picks for the Heat vs. Celtics matchup. Our selections are based on odds from leading NBA betting sites, with confidence levels rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 player props

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Heat vs. Celtics prop bet predictions for Sunday

Tyler Herro Over 33.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Herro has been averaging 31.6 points, rebounds, and assists (PRAs) this season, surpassing his averages of 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 4.5 assists. He dominated the Chicago Bulls in Friday’s game, putting up 43 PRAs after recording 36 against the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday.

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In just 14 out of 42 regular season games, Herro managed to hit the Over. However, he has been successful in four of his last six games while maintaining an average of 35.1. His performance against Boston this season has been impressive, averaging 33.7 points in three games, with a standout 40-point game at TD Garden. With Butler out and Rozier potentially missing another game due to injury, Herro will need to step up and be the hero for the underdog Heat.

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The most favorable odds are -105 on DraftKings.

Jayson Tatum Over 41.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Tatum achieved the Over in 30 out of 74 regular-season games, with an average of 39.9 PRAs. Despite his team’s depth, we trust that Tatum will shine in the playoffs as superstars tend to take control. We have high expectations for Tatum to deliver a stellar performance at home.

In the last two playoff games against Miami, he has played 14 games and averaged 40.5 points, rebounds, and assists. He exceeded expectations in eight of these games, or 57.1%. Our FanDuel odds suggest a 50.5% probability, indicating a valuable play.

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FanDuel has the best odds at -102.

Nikola Jovic Over 1.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐

In his second year, the player has performed admirably this season, averaging 1.4 three-pointers in 19.5 minutes per game. He has started in his last 28 games and has increased his three-point average to 1.7 in those matches. While his playing time has varied as a starter or substitute, in the 13 games where he has played at least 25 minutes, he has averaged 2.5 three-pointers, surpassing the Over seven times.

Jovic played 27 minutes in Friday’s victory and is expected to receive significant playing time again on Sunday due to Butler’s absence. Rozier’s possible return is not likely to impact Jovic’s minutes much as they play different positions. The implied odds of this scenario are 41.7%, and a $10 bet could result in a $14 return. Considering Jovic’s past success with increased playing time, this bet offers good value.

Top odds: +140 on bet365

Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 info & odds

  • When: Sunday, April 21, 2024
  • Tip-off: 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: TD Garden, Boston, Mass.
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Favorite: Celtics -13 (Odds via DraftKings)

Player props for the Heat-Celtics game were created on Saturday at 7:30 a.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Smith Gracelynn
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Underscoreg Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.