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Warriors vs. Kings Player Props & Odds: Predictions for Curry, Fox, Sabonis

Richardson Lilliana

Updated as of April 16, 2024 at 6:25 PM EDT • Read time: 4 minutes and 17 seconds. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors attempts a 3-point jump shot in the fourth quarter against Dyson Daniels of the New Orleans Pelicans. We're backing Curry in our Warriors vs. Kings player props.
Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors attempts a 3-point jump shot in the fourth quarter against Dyson Daniels of the New Orleans Pelicans. Photo by Kavin Mistry/Getty Images via AFP.

The Golden State Warriors will face off against the Sacramento Kings in the NBA Play-In Tournament on Tuesday, with a playoff spot at stake. We have compiled our top player props for the Warriors vs. Kings matchup, taking into account the most favorable NBA odds available.

In the second game of the NBA Play-In Tournament, the No. 10 seed Golden State Warriors (46-36) will take on the No. 9 seed Sacramento Kings (46-36) at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif. The game is set to begin at 10 p.m. ET, a year after their memorable duel in the 2023 NBA playoffs.

Even though the Kings have the home-court advantage, the Warriors are the preferred team by 2.5 points on our top sports betting sites due to Stephen Curry’s recent strong performance. The outcome of this game will enhance their chances of winning the NBA championship and secure a game against the loser of the Los Angeles Lakers vs. New Orleans Pelicans play-in game.

We also provide player props & odds for the Lakers vs. Pelicans game and LeBron James NBA player props to cover all your betting needs for that event.

Below are our top player props and NBA picks for the Warriors vs. Kings matchup, with odds provided by our recommended NBA betting sites. Our confidence level for each pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Warriors vs. Kings player props

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Warriors vs. Kings prop bet predictions

Stephen Curry Over 5.5 made 3-pointers (+145 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Despite the Warriors’ struggles, Curry has been instrumental in keeping the team competitive and giving them a chance at making the playoffs. While he may not be considered a frontrunner for the NBA MVP award this season, Curry remains one of the most feared shooters in the league. He led the NBA in made 3-pointers per game during the 2023-24 season, averaging 4.8 per game, which was 0.7 more than the next best player.

Because of his accuracy in shooting from long range, some of our top sports betting apps are providing a line on the number of 3-pointers made by him at 4.5, with odds as low as -160. However, the alternative line at FanDuel offers better value. The -160 odds suggest a 61.54% chance that Curry will make at least five 3-pointers, as per our odds calculator. With the +145 odds, a $10 bet would result in a $14.50 profit if he makes just one more 3-pointer.

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Scoring six 3-pointers may seem like a tall order for most players, but Curry is the greatest shooter in NBA history and has made over 5.5 3-pointers in nearly 40% of his games this season. The upcoming game against the Kings is also favorable for Curry to have a strong performance from behind the arc, as Sacramento has the second-highest 3-point percentage allowed in the league at 38.7%.

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De’Aaron Fox Under 28.5 points (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

De’Aaron Fox has had a tumultuous season, going from leading the Kings towards a potential playoff appearance to a late-season slump that saw Sacramento plummet down the standings in the West. Fox’s inconsistent performance has been a major factor in their decline, and now he faces a tough battle against Golden State with the Kings’ postseason dreams hanging in the balance.

Although Fox is leading the team with an average of 26.6 points per game, his performance has been inconsistent in the 2023-24 season. He has had 14 games with less than 20 points, with 11 of those occurring since January. While he was averaging over 29 points per game in the first three months of the season, Fox’s scoring dropped to 24.6 points per game in the last four months of the campaign.

The Golden State defense may not be intimidating, but they have been effective against point guards this season, limiting them to an average of just 23.9 points per game. This is why we are confident in taking the -108 odds offered by DraftKings, even though other sports betting sites have it at -118. With odds of -118, there is a 54.13% chance that Fox will hit the Under, but at our odds, a $10 bet would payout $19.26.

Domantas Sabonis Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Sacramento has relied on Domantas Sabonis to pick up the slack when Fox is not performing well. Despite being snubbed from the All-Star game in 2024, Sabonis has solidified his place in NBA history by achieving 50 career triple-doubles, making him only the 11th player to do so. With his versatile skills, Sabonis has established himself as a standout player in the league, posing a challenging matchup for any opponent.

Although not recognized as an elite scorer with an average of 19.4 points per game, Sabonis makes a significant impact on the game in other ways. He topped the NBA in rebounds this season with 13.7 per game and ranked sixth in assists with 8.2. Standing at 6-foot-10 and 240 pounds, his combination of size and skill could pose challenges for the Warriors, who lack a player over 6-foot-8 in their main seven-man rotation.

Golden State’s defense has struggled against opposing centers as well, giving up a total of 43.05 points, rebounds, and assists to them in the 2023-24 season. This includes allowing the most assists per game to centers in the NBA at 4.8.

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The prop bet for Sabonis’ points, rebounds, and assists varies among our top NBA betting sites, but we are choosing DraftKings where it is set at 38.5 with shorter odds. We believe Sabonis can exceed 39.5 points, rebounds, and assists in this matchup, and with these odds, a $10 bet could result in a $9.52 profit if he achieves this.

The prop can be found at -115 in another location, suggesting a 53.49% chance that Sabonis will surpass it.

Warriors vs. Kings game info & odds

  • When: Tuesday, April 16
  • Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, Calif.
  • How to watch: TNT
  • Favorite: Warriors -2.5 (-112 via DraftKings)

Player props for the Warriors-Kings game were set on Monday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Richardson Lilliana
Rob is a Publishing Editor at Underscoreg Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining UnderscoregReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.