Purdue vs. UConn Parlay: SGP Odds, Prediction for the Men’s National Championship
Our top March Madness prediction for the Purdue vs. UConn parlay in Monday’s men’s national championship game is based on the best odds available.
The NCAA Tournament field has been narrowed down from 68 teams to only two, with the Purdue Boilermakers (34-4) and UConn Huskies (36-3) set to compete on Monday to determine the champion of March Madness.
The game will begin at 9:20 p.m. ET on TBS, with UConn favored by 6.5 to 7.5 points according to top sports betting sites. After defeating the Alabama Crimson Tide in the Final Four, the Huskies are aiming for their second consecutive national championship. They will be focused on containing Zach Edey, a favorite in the March Madness MVP odds.
This is our top Purdue vs. UConn parlay prediction, with odds sourced from our top March Madness betting sites. Our confidence level is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Be sure to take a look at our predictions for the Purdue vs. UConn game, player props for Purdue vs. UConn and Zach Edey, as well as our expert picks for the men’s national championship.
Purdue vs. UConn parlay for the men’s national championship
(Odds via FanDuel)
- UConn -6.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
- Tristen Newton Over 6.5 assists (+108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Zach Edey Under 12.5 points (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
The combined odds are +457 on FanDuel.
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SGP predictions for Purdue vs. UConn
UConn -6.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
We have chosen FanDuel for this SGP primarily because it is the only one among our top five sports betting apps that still offers the Huskies at -6.5. Our other preferred books now have UConn at -7 to -7.5, but we believe that Dan Hurley’s team, which has dominated its last 11 NCAA Tournament games, is a strong pick at the current odds.
Despite being 6.5-point underdogs in the national championship game against the favorite for the Wooden Award, UConn has proven to be the top team in the country for more than a year. The Huskies rank first in college basketball in adjusted offensive efficiency and fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to KenPom.
UConn’s depth, featuring seven players who contribute significantly, is what makes them such a formidable team. Leading the pack are All-American Tristen Newton and defensive stalwart Donovan Clingan. Clingan’s imposing 7-foot-2, 280-pound stature gives UConn a unique advantage in handling Edey, who has exploited smaller opponents in the tournament.
Since last season’s national championship victory, UConn has consistently dominated NCAA Tournament opponents, winning by an average of 22.2 points. The closest game was a 13-point victory against the Miami Hurricanes in the Final Four. According to our odds calculator, the -115 odds suggest a 53.49% chance that UConn will cover the spread.
Tristen Newton Over 6.5 assists (+108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Another advantage of choosing FanDuel for this Same Game Parlay (SGP) is that they have set Newton’s assists line at 6.5 with +108 odds. Other top live betting sites have his assists at 5.5 with lower odds, but we are confident in taking the Over on 6.5 to increase the odds of our SGP.
Newton is the only player from UConn to be named an All-American. Although he has had difficulty scoring in the NCAA Tournament, he has excelled as a top playmaker. He is currently averaging 7.2 assists per game during March Madness and has dished out at least eight assists in three out of five games, with nine assists against Alabama in the Final Four. Purdue’s defense is ranked 12th in adjusted efficiency, but it allows the second highest number of assists per game in the country at 14.1.
Zach Edey Under 12.5 rebounds (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
To conclude our SGP, we are going against Edey, despite his impressive performance in the NCAA Tournament. Although he has been averaging 15.4 rebounds per game in March Madness, it seems he has benefited from playing against smaller teams. In the game against NC State, he only managed to grab 12 rebounds, slightly below his season average of 12.2, as he faced challenges from the size of Mohamed Diarra and D.J. Burns.
In contrast to their previous opponents in the NCAA Tournament, UConn boasts a formidable presence in the form of Clingan. The Huskies’ center has established himself as a dominant force in the paint, leading the nation in DBPR according to EvanMiya. With an impressive average of 7.4 rebounds per game (rising to 9.0 in the NCAA Tournament), Clingan has helped UConn limit opponents to the seventh fewest rebounds overall (30.2) and the third fewest defensive rebounds (20.3).
The odds of -120 at FanDuel indicate a 54.55% chance of the Under hitting, resulting in an extended SGP of +457. A $10 bet on the +457 odds would yield a $45.70 profit if each leg of the SGP were successful.
Purdue-UConn SGP selections were made on Monday at 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
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