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Players celebrate Philadelphia Eagles' wide receiver A.J. Brown's touchdown during Super Bowl LVII as we give our best A.J. Brown player props for Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 11 Monday Night Football
Players celebrate Philadelphia Eagles’ wide receiver A.J. Brown’s touchdown during Super Bowl LVII between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, on February 12, 2023. Photo by Angela Weiss via AFP.

The Philadelphia Eagles and A.J. Brown take on the Kansas City Chiefs in a highly anticipated Monday Night Football matchup between the top teams in each conference. This game is a rematch of Super Bowl LVII, and we are here to provide you with our A.J. Brown player prop predictions using the latest NFL odds.

The Philadelphia Eagles have achieved a remarkable feat by being the first team since the 2005-06 Indianapolis Colts to begin consecutive seasons with an 8-1 or better record. Their recent 28-23 victory over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9 extended their home winning streak to seven games, including playoffs.

The Eagles have made history by going 3-0 against NFC East rivals for the first time since 2017. While their success is impressive, it’s worth noting that six of their eight wins this season have been by nine points or less, showcasing their knack for pulling out close victories in tough games.

The Kansas City Chiefs moved to 7-2 after defeating the Miami Dolphins 21-14 in Frankfurt, Germany during Week 9. This victory marked Andy Reid’s 124th win as head coach, tying him with Hank Stram for the most regular season wins in Chiefs history. The team has now won nine consecutive games following a regular season loss since 2021. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has an impressive record of 24 wins in 30 starts with eight or more days of rest.

To see our top selections for the Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs, be sure to explore our player props for Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes, expert picks for the game, and parlay options before the game starts.

Be sure to check out our prediction for the Eagles vs. Chiefs game, as well as our top A.J. Brown NFL player prop bets for their Week 11 matchup. Odds are sourced from our recommended NFL betting sites, with pick confidence rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.

A.J. Brown NFL player prop predictions for Week 11

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A.J. Brown player props

A.J. Brown Under 86.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In his debut season with the Eagles, A.J. Brown set a franchise record with 1,496 receiving yards. Teaming up with quarterback Jalen Hurts, they connected for the most completions of 25-plus yards downfield (11) of any quarterback-wide receiver duo. When throwing to Brown, Hurts had an impressive 61.5% completion rate and a stellar 11-2 touchdown-interception ratio.

Brown set a new NFL record this season by achieving six straight games with 125 or more receiving yards. However, this streak came to an end in the game against the Dallas Cowboys before the bye week, where he only managed 66 yards on seven receptions. Despite averaging 111.7 receiving yards per game this year, Brown is expected to fall short of this mark against Kansas City, as they have only allowed two players to surpass 100 receiving yards.

This game is rated four stars, as the Chiefs have just contained Tyreek Hill, the NFL’s top receiver, to 62 yards, with his longest catch being 19 yards. With an entire week to strategize for Philadelphia’s offense and ample Super Bowl game footage to analyze, we anticipate the Kansas City coaching staff will prioritize stopping Brown and minimizing his impact on the game.

We continue to support the Under, despite the line dropping from an initial 90.5 at our top sports betting apps. Bet365 is the only one offering odds lower than -114 to back the Under.

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A.J. Brown anytime touchdown scorer (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Brown has found the end zone four times in the last three games and has scored at least one touchdown in four out of six games. Despite the Chiefs possibly limiting his big plays on defense, Brown’s athleticism makes him a top receiver in the sport. He is likely to receive opportunities in the red zone, such as on back-shoulder fades in short yardage situations, where he excels against man coverage.

According to Sharp Football Analysis, Brown has the highest target share against man coverage in the NFL at 48.1% and has averaged 3.88 yards per route run in that situation. This means that the Eagles have opportunities to score with Brown even if he is facing tougher defenses in other parts of the field.

Brown’s anytime touchdown odds are as low as +115 at BetMGM, making the +150 price at bet365 a great deal. Don’t forget to use our bet365 bonus code, SBRBONUS, to maximize your winnings.

A.J. Brown Under 6.5 receptions (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

This line is quite intriguing, with Brown having caught seven or more passes in four straight games and seven out of nine this season. Next Gen Stats strongly support the idea of targeting Brown heavily, as he leads the NFL with +292 receiving yards over expected. He is also on track to become the first player since 2016 to lead the league in recYOE, yards after the catch over expected, and receptions over expected.

Nevertheless, the projected number also indicates that oddsmakers anticipate a subdued game, possibly due to Kansas City effectively controlling the clock and limiting the Eagles’ offensive opportunities. The Chiefs excel in gaining 7.6 yards per play on third down, the highest in the league according to Sharp Football Analysis. Additionally, they only allow 3.0 yards per play on third down, the lowest in the league, indicating that they may dominate the time of possession battle.

We are capitalizing on the favorable -105 odds at BetMGM for betting on the Under, as our other top sports betting sites have odds of -110 or higher.

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Player prop picks for A.J. Brown were made on 11/20/2023 at 6:13 a.m. ET.

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