A.J. Brown NFL Player Props, Odds Monday Night Football: Predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs
A.J. Brown and the Philadelphia Eagles will take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football in a showdown between the top teams in each conference, a rematch of Super Bowl LVII. Check out our A.J. Brown player prop predictions based on the latest NFL odds.
The Philadelphia Eagles have achieved a notable accomplishment by being the first team since the 2005-06 Indianapolis Colts to start two consecutive seasons with a record of 8-1 or better. They solidified their dominance with a 28-23 victory over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9, extending their home winning streak to seven games, including playoffs.
The Eagles have made an impressive start to the season by securing a flawless 3-0 record against NFC East rivals, a feat they haven’t accomplished since 2017. Their success is highlighted by the fact that six out of their eight wins have been by nine points or fewer, showcasing their knack for securing close victories in fiercely competitive games.
The Kansas City Chiefs moved to 7-2 after defeating the Miami Dolphins 21-14 in Frankfurt, Germany during Week 9. This victory marked Andy Reid’s 124th win as head coach, tying him with Hank Stram for the most regular season wins in Chiefs history. Furthermore, the Chiefs have now won nine consecutive games following a regular season loss since 2021. Additionally, Patrick Mahomes has an impressive record of 24 wins in 30 starts with eight or more days of rest.
Before the Super Bowl rematch begins, make sure to review our top selections including player props for Eagles vs. Chiefs, expert picks for Eagles vs. Chiefs, Jalen Hurts player props, Patrick Mahomes player props, Travis Kelce player props, and a parlay for Eagles vs. Chiefs.
Don’t forget to check out our prediction for the Eagles vs. Chiefs game, as well as our top A.J. Brown player prop picks for their Week 11 matchup. Our predictions are based on odds from reputable NFL betting sites and are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale for confidence.
A.J. Brown NFL player prop predictions for Week 11
- A.J. Brown Under 85.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- A.J. Brown anytime touchdown scorer (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- A.J. Brown Under 6.5 receptions (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
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A.J. Brown player props
A.J. Brown Under 86.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
In his debut season with the Eagles, A.J. Brown set a franchise record with 1,496 receiving yards. He and quarterback Jalen Hurts connected for the most completions of 25-plus yards downfield (11) of any quarterback-wide receiver duo. Hurts had a 61.5% completion rate and an impressive 11-2 TD-INT ratio when targeting Brown.
This season, Brown achieved a remarkable NFL record by surpassing 125 receiving yards in six consecutive games. However, this streak came to an end before the bye week in a game against the Dallas Cowboys, where he was held to just 66 yards on seven receptions. Despite averaging 111.7 receiving yards per game this year, Brown is expected to fall short of that mark against Kansas City, as they have only allowed two players to exceed 100 receiving yards.
This game is rated four stars, as the Chiefs have just successfully contained the NFL’s top receiver, Tyreek Hill, holding him to just 62 yards, with his longest catch being 19 yards. With a full week to strategize against Philadelphia’s offense and plenty of game footage to analyze from the Super Bowl, we anticipate the Kansas City coaching staff to focus on stopping Brown and reducing his impact on the game.
Despite the line dropping from an opening number of 90.5 at most of our preferred sports betting apps, we are still supporting this Under. Bet365 is the only one among our top sportsbooks offering odds lower than -114 to back the Under.
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Eagles vs. Chiefs bonus codes
A.J. Brown anytime touchdown scorer (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Brown has found the end zone four times in the last three games and has scored at least one touchdown in four out of six games. Even if the Chiefs are successful in limiting his big plays on defense, Brown’s exceptional physical abilities make him a strong candidate for red zone opportunities. For instance, he could be targeted with a back-shoulder fade in short yardage situations, as he is particularly effective against man coverage.
According to Sharp Football Analysis, Brown has the highest target share against man coverage in the NFL at 48.1% and averages 3.88 yards per route run in that situation. This suggests that the Eagles can find ways to utilize Brown effectively in the red zone, even if he is facing tougher coverage in other parts of the field.
Brown’s anytime touchdown odds are as low as +115 at BetMGM, making the +150 price at bet365 appear to be a great deal. Make sure to use our bet365 bonus code, SBRBONUS, to maximize your advantage.
A.J. Brown Under 6.5 receptions (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Undoubtedly, Brown’s performance is impressive, with seven or more receptions in four straight games and seven out of nine this season. Next Gen Stats show that Brown should continue to receive plenty of targets, leading the NFL with a +292 receiving yards over expected. He is also on track to be the first player since 2016 to lead in recYOE, yards after the catch over expected, and receptions over expected.
Nevertheless, this estimated figure indicates that oddsmakers are aware of a potential quiet day ahead, possibly due to Kansas City’s strong ability to control the clock and limit the Eagles’ offensive opportunities. The Chiefs lead the league with an average of 7.6 yards per play on third down, as reported by Sharp Football Analysis, while also allowing a league-low 3.0 yards per play on third down. This points to a potential advantage for Kansas City in the time of possession battle.
We are capitalizing on the favorable -105 odds at BetMGM for betting on the Under, as our other preferred sports betting sites have odds of -110 or greater.
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Player prop picks by A.J. Brown were made on November 20, 2023, at 6:13 a.m. Eastern Time.
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