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Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction, Pick & Odds Week 17: In Mahomes we Trust

Green Finnian

Updated as of December 31, 2023 at 2:54 PM EST. Read time: 2 minutes and 54 seconds. Links to Twitter and Google News provided.

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs feels the pressure ahead of our Week 17 NFL predictions for Bengals vs. Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs is pressured by Maxx Crosby #98 of the Las Vegas Raiders during the third quarter at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on December 25, 2023 in Kansas City, Missouri. Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images/AFP

In Week 17 of the NFL season, the Cincinnati Bengals will be traveling to face the Kansas City Chiefs. Our predictions for the Bengals vs. Chiefs match-up are based on the latest NFL odds available on the top sports betting apps.

In Week 16, the Pittsburgh Steelers dominated the Cincinnati Bengals, ending the Bengals’ three-game winning streak. Despite scoring 27 or more points in their previous three games, the Bengals were only able to score 11 points in Week 16.

The Kansas City Chiefs have not secured the AFC West or a playoff spot with two weeks left, as they have lost three of their last four games. A win on Sunday would guarantee their spot in the postseason.

Alongside our NFL Week 17 picks and player props for the Bengals vs. Chiefs matchup, we present our top prediction for the game and our expert NFL selections (odds sourced from leading NFL betting platforms; confidence levels rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars).

Bengals vs. Chiefs prediction

Chiefs -6.5 (-112 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Chiefs have faced offensive challenges throughout the season, but their struggles have intensified in the past four weeks. Scoring fewer than 20 points in three of their last four games, they also had two turnovers in their 14-point game against the Las Vegas Raiders last week.

However, the Chiefs are poised to secure a playoff spot with a dominant win this week. The Bengals rank fifth-worst in pass defense in the NFL, as evidenced by their struggle against third-string quarterback Mason Rudolph of the Steelers last Thursday. Allowing an average of 256.1 passing yards per game, the Bengals present the perfect opportunity for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense to bounce back.

Meanwhile, Bengals quarterback Jake Browning is expected to face a tough challenge for the second consecutive week when he goes up against the Chiefs and their formidable second-ranked pass defense. Despite throwing for 335 yards in his last game, Browning also struggled with three interceptions, bringing his total for the season to six.

The Chiefs may not be as dominant as they have been in the past, but being favored by less than a touchdown against a backup quarterback and weak secondary seems like an overreaction. They should have no trouble winning at home and ending the Bengals’ season.

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Bengals vs. Chiefs best odds

DraftKings (-112)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
-6.5-7-7-7-7
-112-110-105-110-110

DraftKings is the top sports betting site with a spread of less than seven points, making it the most popular choice for wagering despite having the lowest odds. The price of -112 is only slightly worse than the -110 offered by three out of the four top sportsbooks. While the -105 at BetMGM is tempting, we would prefer to take this at 6.5, allowing the Chiefs to win by a touchdown and still cover.

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Bengals vs. Chiefs odds

Bengals vs. Chiefs odds analysis

Four out of five top sports betting apps have the Chiefs as seven-point favorites, with only DraftKings offering a spread below seven points. A significant 55% of bettors are favoring the Bengals to cover the spread, suggesting that any movement before kickoff will likely be in favor of the Bengals.

The initial total of 43.5 has increased to 44 or 44.5 at four out of five top sports betting sites. Currently, only FanDuel has the total remaining at 43.5, but the Over price is -115, suggesting that it will likely increase there as well. If you prefer the Under, it may be best to wait until closer to the start of the game to place your bet.

Bengals vs. Chiefs game info

  • When: Sunday, December 31 at 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • How to watch: CBS
  • Weather: 35 degrees, 9-mph wind, 1% chance of precipitation

Prediction for Bengals vs. Chiefs made on Friday at 10:57 a.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Green Finnian
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Underscoreg Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick ‘Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn’t make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don’t. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he’s also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.