NFL Player Props & Best Bets Week 13: Can Denver Tame Red-Hot Stroud?
As we analyze the NFL schedule for Week 13, we are excited about the high-profile games and key matchups that will guide our NFL player props and top bets. We are using the top NFL odds available on our preferred sports betting apps.
In Week 13, the Philadelphia Eagles are set to make history as the fourth home underdog since 2004 with a remarkable record of 10-1 or better. They will face off against the Super Bowl favorite San Francisco 49ers in what promises to be Sunday’s most anticipated matchup.
Furthermore, the New England Patriots under Bill Belichick have not been considered underdogs at home against a team with a losing record since 2001. The Patriots will be hosting the Los Angeles Chargers.
It is recommended to place your bets on the Super Bowl odds before Sunday’s games begin, as this week’s results are likely to have a significant impact on the overall picture.
In addition to our Week 13 NFL predictions, we are providing NFL player props, best bets, and picks for the week. Be sure to check out Stewart Serena’s NFL player props for Week 13, with odds sourced from our top NFL betting sites. Confidence in picks is rated on a 1 to 5-star scale.
NFL best bets: Week 13
- C.J. Stroud Under 263.5 passing yards vs. Broncos (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Najee Harris anytime touchdown scorer vs. Cardinals (+120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Chargers-Patriots Under 40.5 (-110 via FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jaguars ML/Panthers +5.5 parlay (+139 via BetMGM, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This content is not meant for MAAffiliate Disclosure: Underscoreg Review may earn advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook.
Week 13 NFL schedule and odds
(Odds via DraftKings)
- Miami Dolphins (-8.5) vs. Washington Commanders
- Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5) vs. New England Patriots
- Detroit Lions (-4.5) vs. New Orleans Saints
- Arizona Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)
- Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans (-3)
- Atlanta Falcons (-2) vs. New York Jets
- Indianapolis Colts (-1) vs. Tennessee Titans
- Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5)
- San Francisco 49ers (-3) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Cleveland Browns vs. Los Angeles Rams (-4)
- Kansas City Chiefs (-6) vs. Green Bay Packers
- Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-9.5)
NFL player props for Week 13
C.J. Stroud Under 263.5 passing yards vs. Broncos (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
C.J. Stroud, the quarterback for the Houston Texans, has been lighting up the field in 2023. Making history, he became the first rookie in NFL history to achieve 300-plus passing yards in four consecutive games after his impressive 304-yard performance in Week 12.
Despite ranking in the top six among all quarterbacks in passing yards, yards per attempt, and passer rating, Stroud’s passing yards total for Week 13 are surprisingly low compared to his recent performances. This is due to the strong pass defense of the Denver Broncos, who rank in the top six in passer rating and adjusted completion rate allowed since Week 7, as well as in the top seven in yards per attempt allowed since Week 5.
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
In the last seven games, only one quarterback has thrown for multiple touchdowns against the Broncos, and it wasn’t Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen despite their limited success. Additionally, Denver has allowed the third-lowest completion percentage when pressuring the quarterback during this stretch, as reported by Sharp Football Analysis.
We are feeling discouraged about Stroud, particularly following Jacksonville’s Josh Allen and Travon Walker recording three sacks and 11 quarterback pressures in Week 12 against Houston.
Bet365 offers the best odds of less than -115 to bet on the Under, surpassing FanDuel which has a total set at 261.5.
Be sure to check out Morgan Xaviero’s C.J. Stroud NFL player props for additional insight on the top pick for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Najee Harris anytime touchdown scorer vs. Cardinals (+120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Even though this game has one of the lowest projected totals in Week 13, we have confidence in Najee Harris scoring a touchdown with a four-star rating. This decision is based on the strong performance of the Pittsburgh Steelers offense last week and the success of Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams against the Arizona Cardinals’ defense in Week 12.
According to UnderdogNFL, Harris leads the league with 11 rushes for 15-plus yards. He should remain a key part of the offense, which broke a 58-game streak without 400 total yards after firing offensive coordinator Matt Canada. The Steelers offense is expected to improve, as they only scored one touchdown on four red-zone drives in Week 12 and have a red-zone touchdown percentage of 43% in 2023 (28th in the league).
According to Next Gen Stats, Williams became the first Ram since Todd Gurley in 2018 to achieve over 200 scrimmage yards and multiple touchdowns. Additionally, his 71 rushing yards over expected was the highest by a Rams player since 2018.
Arizona’s run defense has been weak throughout the season, giving up over 100 yards to six players and at least one rushing touchdown to 12 different players. Two running backs have even scored multiple rushing touchdowns against them. As a result, the odds for Harris to score a touchdown are very favorable, especially when compared to Caesars, which has set the odds at -120.
Check out our Google News page and hit the “Follow” button (⭐) to stay updated on the newest odds, picks, and news!
NFL game picks for Week 13
Chargers-Patriots Under 40.5 (-110 via FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
In Week 12, the Los Angeles Chargers faced the Baltimore Ravens following a season plagued by allowing the most pass plays of 25-plus yards in the NFL. Notably, five quarterbacks (Mahomes, Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, Zach Wilson, Tyson Bagent) achieved their season-high passing yards against the Chargers.
Despite the Rams’ impressive defensive performance against the Ravens, limiting them to just 164 passing yards and 4.8 yards per attempt, their efforts were ultimately undermined by four turnovers. Los Angeles still managed to thrive despite this setback.
A leaky pass defense should not have trouble against either of Bill Belichick’s quarterbacks, whether it be Mac Jones or Bailey Zappe. The Patriots have scored on a league-low 21.6% of their offensive possessions, as reported by Sharp Football Analysis.
This offer is exclusive to new customers. Simply deposit a minimum of $5 and place your first bet of $5 or more. If your bet wins within 72 hours, you will receive $200 in Bonus Bets.
During a four-game losing streak, New England has only been able to average 11.8 points per game. Despite the offensive struggles, the team’s defense has remained strong. For the first time since 1993, the team has lost two consecutive games while allowing 10 or fewer points.
This line is very precise, with DraftKings and BetRivers also providing an Over/Under of 40.5, but with higher juice at -112 and -114. As a result, bettors have the option of selecting from four top sportsbooks that have the Under at the standard -110 juice.
Jaguars ML/Panthers +5.5 parlay (+139 via BetMGM, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
In the past 25 years, the Cincinnati Bengals have only managed to win one of their 26 road or neutral site night games, with a streak of 16 consecutive losses. Head coach Zac Taylor’s record without Joe Burrow as his starting quarterback is just 4-20 straight up. Given these statistics, there is little confidence in the Bengals defeating the 8-3 Jaguars, who are off to their best start since 2007. Cincinnati’s recent defensive performance, allowing the Steelers to accumulate over 400 yards for the first time in 58 games, further dampens hopes for a Bengals victory.
Bonus bets must be used within 7 days of receipt. This offer is only valid for new customers. Please refer to additional terms and conditions for more details.
In the meantime, we anticipate that Carolina will benefit from a coaching change this week following the departure of Frank Reich. Historical data also suggests that teams tend to perform well the week after firing a head coach, with a record of 20-16 against the spread and 17 straight-up wins.
The Under has a 4-1 record in Tampa Bay’s home games in 2023, with an average of 32.2 points scored in those matchups. As a result, we are confident in taking the points in what is expected to be a defensive battle.
When it comes to placing this bet, we rely on BetMGM and bet365. These two sportsbooks offer the standard -110 juice for a spread of +5.5, which is the same as Caesars. However, Caesars has higher moneyline odds for the Jaguars at -435, while BetMGM and bet365 have it at -400.
Best NFL bets placed on 11/30/2023 at 4:18 p.m. ET.
NFL betting odds pages
Check out our best NFL betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
You must be 21 or older to gamble. If you have a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Bonuses are not available in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Underscoreg Promos (U.S. only)
Related Articles
