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NFL Player Props & Best Bets Week 15: Can Beckham Jr. Stay Hot vs. Jaguars?

Allen Byron

Updated as of December 17, 2023 at 1:48 PM EST with a 4 minute and 60 second read. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

NFL best bets
NFL best bets

The NFL schedule spans the weekend with three games on Saturday. We provide our top NFL player props and best bets for Week 15 using the most favorable NFL odds available on leading sports betting apps.

During Week 14, the underdogs were howling with success in the NFL. They went 10-4-1 against the spread, winning eight games outright and earning 9.5 units on the moneyline, as reported by BetMGM’s John Ewing. The top six moneyline favorites had four losses, causing a shakeup in the playoff standings for both conferences.

Could there be additional surprises in store for this week?

Here are our NFL player props, best bets, and picks for Week 15 to complement our NFL predictions and prop picks. Odds are sourced from our top NFL betting sites, and our confidence level in each pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

NFL best bets: Week 15

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Week 15 NFL schedule and odds

(Odds via DraftKings)

NFL player props for Week 15

Odell Beckham Jr. Over 37.5 receiving yards vs. Jaguars (-110 via BetMGM, DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In the Week 15 Sunday Night Football game, the Jacksonville Jaguars will face off against the Baltimore Ravens in a showdown of strength vs. strength. The Ravens lead the NFL with 157.1 rushing yards per game, while the Jaguars have the fourth-best rush defense, allowing only 92.2 rushing yards per game. Despite this, Lamar Jackson could still have a successful day running the ball, as the Jaguars allowed 47 rushing yards to C.J. Stroud in Week 12.

Nevertheless, we are optimistic about Jackson’s progress as a quarterback with the strongest group of receivers he has ever had, and we anticipate Odell Beckham Jr. continuing to thrive.

Beckham’s target percentage has increased from 21% to 38% in his last five games, the highest in the NFL among players who have run at least 50 routes during that span. In his first six outings of 2023, he averaged 27.0 yards per game and did not score any touchdowns.

Beckham has maintained an average of 68.6 receiving yards per game and three touchdowns. We anticipate him keeping up this pace, especially if Baltimore struggles to run the ball against Jacksonville’s strong defensive line.

Bettors have a variety of options to choose from among the top sportsbooks for this bet, with Caesars being the only one that charges a higher juice (-115) for a total of 37.5 receiving yards.

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James Cook anytime touchdown scorer vs. Cowboys (+180 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Since the Buffalo Bills replaced offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey with Joe Brady, James Cook has significantly benefited. In the first 10 games of the season, Cook only scored a touchdown twice, but with Brady as the play-caller, he has found the end zone in two out of three matchups. Additionally, Cook has scored 19 or more fantasy points twice in the past three weeks and has finished as a top-12 running back in all three games.

Cook has been consistently involved in the offense with over 20 touches in each of the three games played with Brady. He is the first Bills running back since LeSean McCoy in 2016 to achieve over 100 scrimmage yards in four consecutive games. Despite Buffalo’s struggling offensive line, they will be up against the formidable Dallas Cowboys pass rush, which pressures quarterbacks on a league-leading 39% of dropbacks. This means that Cook may have just as good of a chance to score through the air as he does on the ground, especially if Allen is forced to make quick check-down throws to evade pressure.

We are finding excellent value with the +180 odds at FanDuel, especially considering that DraftKings is offering odds as low as +110.

Editor’s note: Prepare for the introduction of Vermont sports betting with our top Vermont sportsbook promotions, and make sure to download the top Vermont sports betting apps! Must be 21+ and located in Vermont. If you have a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

D.K. Metcalf anytime touchdown scorer vs. Eagles (+187 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

D.K. Metcalf’s anytime touchdown scorer odds may not be easily found because of the uncertain status of quarterback Geno Smith. However, we can seize the opportunity to bet on these favorable odds at bet365 before they potentially decrease if Smith plays. Even if Drew Lock is the quarterback, there is still good reason to believe Metcalf will score a touchdown.

In the past two games, Metcalf has scored four receiving touchdowns. He is now up against an Eagles defense that gives up the most fantasy points and receiving touchdowns to wide receivers. Six different receivers have surpassed 100 yards against the Eagles. Metcalf currently holds a strong 23% target share and 43% of his team’s air yards.

By Week 14, Philadelphia was ranked in the bottom three for both passer rating and passing touchdowns allowed since Week 8. However, Dak Prescott continued his impressive streak with seven games in a row with multiple passing touchdowns and six games with a passer rating of 99.4 or better during that timeframe.

According to Sharp Football Analysis, the Eagles rank 28th or lower in touchdown rate (6.1%) and receptions (9.2) to outside receivers in 2023, making this a highly recommended play at our top sportsbooks with a four-star rating.

NFL game picks for Week 15

Steelers +1.5 vs. Colts (-110 via BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts are set to face off on Saturday afternoon in a game with significant playoff implications in the AFC. Both teams are part of a group of six 7-6 teams competing for wild-card spots. Pittsburgh has the best moneyline odds at Caesars, with +110 being the highest among our recommended sports betting sites. We are comfortable taking the 1.5 extra points at the standard juice of -110.

Good news for Pittsburgh as T.J. Watt was able to practice in full on Wednesday after recovering from a concussion suffered in Week 14. Watt has been a key player on the field for 86% of the team’s defensive snaps in 2023, with the Steelers’ defense performing significantly better with him on the field, allowing a 38 QBR and a 38% third-down percentage. In contrast, when Watt is not playing, the Steelers have given up a 64 QBR and a 63% third-down percentage, according to NFL Next Gen Stats.

In three out of the Colts’ last four games, quarterback Gardner Minshew has thrown an interception. Facing the Steelers defense with 21 takeaways, including an NFL-best seven in the red zone, Minshew may find it difficult to succeed. Although Pittsburgh has not covered the spread in any of its five road games in 2023, we anticipate that this trend will change when they play against Indianapolis.

The top NFL wagers placed on 12/14/2023 at 4:06 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Allen Byron
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he’s especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike’s a big advocate of “fading the public” and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that “there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas.” When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He’s tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”