NFL Best Bets Week 9: Will Burrow Continue Resurgence vs. Bills?
After the recent NFL trade deadline, many players will be sporting new uniforms. Along with our Week 9 NFL predictions, we are offering our top bets for the week, all based on the most favorable NFL odds.
NFL players and fans are accustomed to games in London, but there is a new development as the league will head to Germany for a regular-season game for the second year in a row, showing a growing international presence.
Halfway through the regular season this weekend, eight out of the 13 games played on Sunday and Monday have point spreads of a field goal or less. This indicates that we can expect some competitive football in these matchups.
Explore our NFL Week 9 predictions, top bets, and props to enhance your betting experience. We offer expert analysis and confidence ratings on our picks, all based on odds from the best NFL betting sites.
NFL best bets: Week 9
- Jalen Hurts Under 30.5 rushing yards vs. Cowboys (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 1.5 passing touchdowns vs. Bills (-155 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Breece Hall Over 16.5 receiving yards vs. Chargers (-133 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Giants-Raiders Over 37 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Week 9 NFL schedule and odds
(Odds via Caesars)
- Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
- Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons (-5)
- Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns (-8)
- Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers (-3)
- Washington Commanders vs. New England Patriots (-3.5)
- Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints (-7.5)
- Seattle Seahawks vs. Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans (-2.5)
- Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) vs. Carolina Panthers
- New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders (-2)
- Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-3)
- Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)
- Los Angeles Chargers (-3) vs. New York Jets
NFL predictions for Week 9
Jalen Hurts Under 30.5 rushing yards vs. Cowboys (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jalen Hurts, the quarterback for the Philadelphia Eagles, has been highly successful in division games for the past two seasons. He leads in total QBR with a score of 74, has the second-best touchdown-to-interception ratio (15-2), ranks fourth in yards per attempt with 7.7, and is tied for the second-best win/loss record (6-1) among quarterbacks who have started at least five division games.
Even though Hurts led all quarterbacks with 99 designed rushes last season under Shane Steichen (now the Indianapolis Colts head coach), we anticipate he will find success passing the ball against the Dallas Cowboys. This is due to his apparent struggles with a leg injury that required him to wear a brace during the previous week.
The key to Dallas pulling off an upset will be their rush defense. In their five wins, the Cowboys allowed only 370 rush yards, an average of 74.0 yards per game, 3.2 yards per rush, and one touchdown. However, in their two losses, Dallas gave up 392 yards, with an average of 5.5 yards per rush, and four touchdowns.
The Eagles ran for a combined 223 yards in two games against the Cowboys last season. However, Hurts has only gained 27 rushing yards in the past two weeks and is unlikely to play a significant role in the running game, except on specific “Brotherly Shove” plays.
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The number of rushing yards for our top sports betting apps is currently dropping to an O/U of 29.5. We recommend taking advantage of the best odds available at DraftKings before they decrease even more due to potential injury news surrounding Hurts.
Joe Burrow Over 1.5 passing touchdowns vs. Bills (-155 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
During Weeks 1 to 4, Joe Burrow, the quarterback for the Cincinnati Bengals, lost three out of four starts and had a completion rate of 58%. He had a total QBR of 35 and a TD-INT ratio of 2-2. In contrast, from Weeks 5 to 8, Burrow won all three starts, completed 78% of his passes, and had a total QBR of 68. His TD-INT ratio improved to 8-2, ranking in the top six in the NFL for these statistics.
Burrow’s current total QBR of 50, which ranks 18th in the league, is expected to improve as he continues to play at a high level. This is especially true considering the Bengals’ impressive ranking as third in the NFL in offensive EPA in 11 personnel over the past four weeks.
Buffalo acquired cornerback Rasul Douglas from the Green Bay Packers, however, it is unlikely he will have an immediate impact as he adjusts to the Bills’ defensive scheme. On the other hand, Von Miller, a formidable pass-rusher, has played fewer than 26 snaps (or less than 36% of the team’s defensive snaps) in each of the last four games. Allowing Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow time to throw the ball is risky due to the speed and talent of his receivers such as Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.
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The odds for betting on the Over are significantly better at BetMGM compared to DraftKings and FanDuel, with a lower juice of -180.
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Breece Hall Over 16.5 receiving yards vs. Chargers (-133 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Last week, the Los Angeles Chargers’ defense had a chance to bounce back against Tyson Bagent and the Chicago Bears at home. Despite this opportunity, it is clear that their defense has struggled, ranking 31st or worse in several key categories including yards per game, passing yards per game, passing yards per play, fourth-down percentage, and third-down conversions in the fourth quarter.
Even with Dalvin Cook joining the team in the offseason, Breece Hall has been getting the majority of backfield touches in recent games, with his share increasing from 71.4% to 77.3% to 81.8% over the past three games. New York may have to rely on their third-string center once again, potentially making it challenging to run between the tackles. Furthermore, the Chargers’ defense excels at stopping the run, as they are among the top ten teams in yards per carry allowed to running backs (3.66).
Furthermore, Hall has been unable to gain yardage on 26.9% of his carries, which is the third-lowest among qualified running backs, according to Sharp Football Analysis. Due to this inefficiency, the Jets are likely to utilize other methods to get the ball into Hall’s hands, especially considering Los Angeles ranks third-lowest in points allowed to running backs in receiving situations.
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While the line has remained the same, the vig for betting on the Over has risen from an initial -120, with Caesars currently offering -133 odds compared to DraftKings’ -135 odds.
Giants-Raiders Over 37 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Our top oddsmakers were able to take advantage of the public perception of these two teams coming into the week, based on what happened last week. The New York Giants had a rough outing against the New York Jets, punting on 13 of their 17 possessions and recording just minus-9 passing yards, the lowest since 2000. However, the heavy rain and an early injury to Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor played a significant role in their offensive struggles. The team also opted not to rely on backup quarterback Tommy Devito to throw deep passes, as they were in the lead for most of the game.
The firing of head coach Josh McDaniels by the Las Vegas Raiders may have some skeptical about how they will perform under interim head coach Antonio Pierce. However, considering the team’s offensive struggles under McDaniels this season, it’s hard to imagine they could get much worse. The Raiders ranked poorly in key offensive categories such as points per game, turnovers, yards per game, and total QBR. Therefore, the decision to switch to Aiden O’Connell, who has shown promise in his two games with a 65.4% completion percentage, 313 yards, and a 1-2 TD-INT ratio, should not be seen as a significant downgrade from Jimmy Garoppolo.
The Giants have limited their last three opponents to 14 points or less in a row, a feat not seen since 2004. They are also the first team to score 16 points or less in five consecutive games since the 2018-19 Denver Broncos. With Daniel Jones returning from injury, their offense should improve. Our top oddsmakers intentionally set the line low, anticipating that most would still bet on the Under.
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Bettors have the option to choose from three top sports betting sites – FanDuel with a slightly higher O/U of 37.5, and DraftKings (-112) and BetRivers (-114) offering higher juice for betting on the Over of 37.
NFL top picks placed on 11/2/2025 at 6:39 a.m. ET.
NFL betting odds pages
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- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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