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Bijan Robinson #7 of the Atlanta Falcons runs with the ball, as we look at our top Bijan Robinson NFL player props
Bijan Robinson #7 of the Atlanta Falcons runs with the ball in the third quarter against the Houston Texans at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 08, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images/AFP

According to our expert Bijan Robinson, we predict a strong performance from the rookie NFL player in the upcoming game between the Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. Our NFL picks are determined by the odds provided by our top sports betting apps.

During Week 5, Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson had his first game of less than 60 total yards in his career, facing the Houston Texans. He only gained 46 rushing yards on 14 carries and had two receptions for 12 yards.

Despite not racking up a lot of yards, Robinson was able to score his first touchdown since Week 1. However, he has yet to score a rushing touchdown. It remains to be seen how the rookie will perform against a Washington Commanders defense that is giving up an average of 133.6 rushing yards per game.

Here are our top Bijan Robinson NFL player prop predictions for the Commanders vs. Falcons Week 6 matchup, in addition to our Commanders vs. Falcons NFL player props and best bets. These odds are sourced from our top NFL betting sites, with pick confidence rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Bijan Robinson NFL player prop predictions for Week 6

Bijan Robinson player props

Bijan Robinson Over 68.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

In Week 5, Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier had more rushing attempts than Robinson for the first time since Week 1 of the season. Robinson has only five more carries than Allgeier so far this season, leading some bettors to worry about the split backfield when betting on the over.

Robinson has been more productive with his rushing attempts compared to Allgeier, averaging 5.4 yards per carry versus Allgeier’s 3.1 yards. Robinson consistently carries the ball at least 10 times in every game, guaranteeing a minimum of 56 rushing yards based on his average attempts.

The Commanders have maintained a strong defense by not allowing a single 100-yard rusher this season. Although Buffalo Bills running back James Cook fell just short with 98 yards on 15 carries, every team they have faced has had at least one player rush for 56 yards or more. In the previous game, Chicago Bears’ Khalil Herbert averaged an impressive 7.6 yards per carry. With his explosive playing style, Robinson has the potential to have a big game running the ball against this defense.

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Bijan Robinson Over 3.5 receptions (+124 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Robinson has caught fewer than four passes only once in the past five weeks, making his Over prop price very attractive this week following his underwhelming performance last week.

What is most concerning about Robinson’s performance last week is that he was only targeted twice throughout the entire game. In comparison, Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts received 11 targets, wide receiver Drake London had nine, and tight end Jonnu Smith had seven. This puts Robinson behind them in season-long targets, despite still being tied for the team lead in receptions. However, we should not dwell too much on last week’s performance. Robinson remains a crucial target for Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder in their offensive scheme. Getting him at +100 or better is a great value, and at +124, it is too good to pass up.

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Bijan Robinson first-half anytime touchdown scorer (+220 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Robinson has only scored two touchdowns this season, making his first-half anytime touchdown prop bet of (-105) or worse at top sports betting apps a poor choice with no real value.

Instead, we are betting on Robinson to score a touchdown in the first half of the game. The Commanders have allowed 87 first-half points this season, with 27 being scored by the Chicago Bears just last Thursday.

Although Robinson has only scored twice this year, he remains a significant threat to score touchdowns. While it is not guaranteed, there is greater value in betting on him to score in the first half rather than at any point in the game.

Player prop picks for Bijan Robinson were made on October 14, 2025 at 10:08 a.m. Eastern Time.

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