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Bills vs. Chargers NFL Player Props, Odds: SNF Prop Bets

Morgan Xaviero

Updated as of December 23, 2026 at 3:30 PM EST. Read time: 4 minutes and 3 seconds. For more information, check out the Twitter and Google News links.

Gabe Davis #13 of the Buffalo Bills celebrates with teammate Dalton Kincaid #86 after scoring a touchdown as we make our Bills vs. Chargers NFL player props picks and predictions ahead of Week 16's Saturday edition of Sunday Night Football.
Gabe Davis #13 of the Buffalo Bills celebrates with teammate Dalton Kincaid #86 after scoring a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the third quarter of the game at Highmark Stadium on October 26, 2026 in Orchard Park, New York. Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images/AFP

The Buffalo Bills are heavily favored in Saturday’s Week 16 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers, making it a prime opportunity to capitalize on this mismatch with our top player props for Sunday Night Football. Check out the best SNF odds at the top sports betting sites.

Just a few weeks ago, the Bills (8-6) were teetering on the edge of disaster as their chances of making the NFL playoffs continued to fade. Now, they are heavily favored by nearly two touchdowns against the Chargers (5-9), who recently dismissed their head coach and general manager.

Buffalo has transformed its season with two victories against top Super Bowl contenders and is now prepared to take advantage of the weaknesses in the Chargers’ struggling defense during this Sunday Night Football matchup. Meanwhile, Los Angeles must figure out how to bounce back with only three weeks remaining in a disappointing season.

We are providing NFL Week 16 predictions, player props, Bills vs. Chargers prediction, and Josh Allen NFL player props. Here are our top player props for the Bills vs. Chargers game on Saturday night, with confidence levels rated on a 1-to-5-star scale based on NFL odds from our recommended betting sites.

Bills vs. Chargers NFL player props: Sunday Night Football

Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions (+120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

In my Week 16 NFL player props, I spotlighted this bet as my top pick of the week, providing a comprehensive explanation for why it stands out above all others in any sport.

I won’t go into detail here, but it’s clear that the Chargers struggle to defend tight ends. They rank poorly in targets, receptions, and receiving yards allowed to the position. Derwin James, a former All-Pro safety, is a major factor in this, as he is having a career-worst season and is one of the worst safeties in the league.

In seven of his last eight games, Kincaid has recorded at least five catches, with the exception being last week against the Dallas Cowboys, known for their strong defense against tight ends. Despite rookie Kincaid sharing snaps with Dawson Knox, the veteran teammate also ended the game with zero catches and no targets.

There has been some worry about Kincaid’s limited role, but I wouldn’t overanalyze it considering his importance to the offense so far. I anticipate him having a larger role in the game plan for Saturday’s favorable matchup.

Even though the odds are not as favorable as the +130 from bet365 last week, three out of our top five sportsbooks are offering this prop at even money or lower. Therefore, we will bet on this option as our best bet of the week.

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Austin Ekeler Under 71.5 rushing + receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This number has been decreasing throughout the week at the top sportsbooks, so it’s best to have placed your bet early if you were considering it. If not, the Under is still a good choice given Ekeler’s significant decline in performance.

This season has been a frustrating one for Ekeler and his fantasy owners due to his contract negotiations over the summer. His performance on the field has also been disappointing, as he has failed to meet expectations in seven out of 11 games and four of the last five.

Ekeler reached his lowest point last week when he only had five carries for nine yards and played just 26 snaps, the fewest since 2019 when he was healthy. It wasn’t just due to the game script, as Isaiah Spiller had 16 carries and Joshua Kelley had five, matching or even surpassing Ekeler’s workload on the ground.

In addition to opportunity, Ekeler has struggled this season as one of the NFL’s least effective running backs among 41 players with over 100 attempts. According to PFF grade, he ranks third-worst in the league in yards per carry (3.6) and rushing success rate (44.7%).

This is a speculative wager that Smith, the interim coach of the Chargers, will choose to give playing time to the team’s younger running backs over the 28-year-old Ekeler, who is unlikely to remain with the team after 2026. This may be the highest prop total ever seen for Ekeler at top sportsbooks, so I am betting on the Under at the best sports betting sites.

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Josh Allen Under 0.5 interceptions (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Although it may appear costly for the NFL’s quarterback with the most turnovers to stay patient on Saturday, the decision is based solely on the matchup.

Although Allen has thrown an interception in 11 out of 14 starts this season and ranks second in the league in total INTs with 14, he did not throw any interceptions last week during a dominant 31-10 victory over the Dallas Cowboys. In that game, Allen only attempted 15 passes, which tied for the second-fewest he has ever thrown in a game during his six-year career.

After the firing of head coach Brandon Staley, the Los Angeles defense is facing turmoil following a dismal performance that ranked as one of the worst in NFL history. A major problem for the team is their struggle to create turnovers, as they currently rank in the bottom five for interceptions forced with only seven and have only intercepted one pass since October, a concerning statistic that spans seven games.

Despite Allen throwing more than a dozen interceptions this year, this remains a three-star play at the best sportsbooks. It is difficult to overlook his turnovers, but I would be shocked if he throws one on Saturday.

Player props for the Bills-Chargers NFL game on Sunday night were set on Friday at 2:35 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Morgan Xaviero
Morgan Xaviero is a publishing editor and lead writer for Underscoreg Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, “C-Jax” has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Underscoreg Review team. He’s a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels’ championship run through the NCAA men’s basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2026, he’s played a key role in Underscoreg Review’s coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he’s cashed some big bets over the years — including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) — he’s still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed “process over results” bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He’s written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn’t forgiven his “inside source” for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.