Broncos vs. Lions Prediction, Pick & Odds Week 15: Saturday Night Football
Week 15 brings an additional day of excitement with a prime-time matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Detroit Lions. Our top prediction for Saturday Night Football is based on the latest NFL odds from our top sportsbooks.
The Denver Broncos, with a record of 7-6 and firmly in the NFL playoff race, face off against the NFC North-leading Detroit Lions in a special Saturday Night Football game.
Both teams are in a tight race for the playoffs, making this game crucial for their postseason hopes. The Broncos, trying to secure their spot, must take on the division-leading Lions, setting the stage for a high-stakes showdown as both teams fight for a pivotal win.
After rebounding from their defeat to the Houston Texans, the Broncos dominated the Chargers in Los Angeles. Denver has now won six of their last seven games and currently holds the same record as the Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals, Indianapolis Colts, and Texans. The competition in the AFC is intensifying.
The Lions suffered a tough defeat in their previous game against the Bears in Chicago, falling 28-13. Despite the loss, Detroit remains atop the division with a 9-4 record and is looking to bounce back in a crucial primetime matchup at home.
Alongside our NFL Week 15 predictions and player props, including those for the Broncos vs. Lions matchup, we are providing our best prediction for Saturday Night Football. This prediction is based on odds from top NFL betting sites and our confidence level is indicated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Broncos vs. Lions prediction: Saturday Night Football
Jared Goff Over 1.5 rushing yards (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Naturally, our top prediction for Saturday Night Football focuses on the speedy Jared Goff. Despite only gaining 21 rushing yards on 29 attempts, we believe that his rushing yardage total holds more value than his rushing attempts.
Out of the 13 starting quarterbacks who have faced the Broncos this year, 11 have surpassed this number. The only two who did not achieve this feat, Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert, did not even attempt a single carry.
In all nine projection models, Goff is expected to rush for at least 2.3 yards. Seven models project him to run for three or more yards, with five of those predicting over 4.5 yards. NumberFire has the highest projection at 6.83 yards, and Goff’s average rushing yards projection across all models is 4.43.
The odds at bet365 indicate a 50/50 chance, but our projections show a different story. I would be cautious about betting on this if Goff’s average projection was only two yards, but we have a significant advantage in this situation.
This game could get intense if the Lions have the opportunity to take a knee at the end, but the potential value at our top sportsbooks makes it worth the risk.
We also have some Jared Goff player props lined up for our Green Finnian.
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Broncos vs. Lions best odds
bet365 (+100)
DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/A | Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 |
N/A | N/A | (-105) | (-106) | +100 |
Only three of our top sports betting apps have the courage to offer this market, and bet365 is the only one with odds better than negative.
Pinnacle, known for its highly reputable trading team in the betting industry, offers the best price for Over 1.5 at -111, down from the opening line of -105. This indicates significant betting activity on the Over.
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Broncos vs. Lions odds for Saturday Night Football
Broncos vs. Lions odds analysis
The initial spread for the Lions was -4 or -4.5, depending on the sportsbook. It has since been adjusted to -4.5 at all of our top sports betting sites.
Betting on the total has been significantly lopsided, with approximately 61% of bets favoring the Over. The total is currently sitting around 46.5 at the majority of our sites offering the top sportsbook promotions.
Saturday Night Football game info
- When: Saturday, Dec. 16 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
- How to watch: NFL Network
- Weather: Indoors
Prediction for Broncos vs Lions game on December 14, 2023, made at noon Eastern Time.
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