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Browns vs. Commanders Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 17: Will Cleveland Extend NFL’s Longest Under Streak?

Lopez Julia

Updated as of January 1, 2026 at 5:45 AM EST • Read time: 2 minutes and 23 seconds. Stay informed with the latest updates on Twitter and Google News.

Jordan Poyer of the Buffalo Bills tackles Nick Chubb of the Cleveland Browns.
Jordan Poyer of the Buffalo Bills tackles Nick Chubb of the Cleveland Browns. Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images/AFP.

Since his return to the field with the Cleveland Browns, Deshaun Watson has been facing challenges. The Washington Commanders may have an opportunity to capitalize on the rusty quarterback as they aim for a playoff spot. Check out our top picks for the Commanders-Browns NFL game, taking into account the latest odds.

The Browns (6-9) have been eliminated from playoff contention after failing to maintain momentum before Watson joined the team late in the season.

Watson’s recent performance has been lackluster, potentially giving the Commanders (7-7-1) an edge this Sunday. Washington is in need of a victory to improve its chances of securing a wild card spot in a competitive NFC race.

Our top pick for the Browns-Commanders NFL game in Week 17 is based on odds from DraftKings and our confidence level is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Explore our top NFL picks and best bets for Week 17 in the NFL.

Browns vs. Commanders Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 1, 2026, 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: FOX
  • Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
  • Weather: 50 Degrees, 0% Precipitation, 5-mph winds

Browns vs. Commanders Odds

Browns vs. Commanders Odds Analysis

The Commanders started as two-point favorites at home, but the public is showing more support for the Browns. Currently, 59% of the spread bets are on Cleveland. The spread varies between Washington -1.5 to -2.5 at our top sportsbooks.

The initial total of 42 points has dropped to between 40.5 and 41 points. Currently, 63% of bets are on the Under.

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Browns vs. Commanders Pick

Under 41.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Browns come into Sunday’s game with a streak of five consecutive Unders, the longest in the NFL. The Over hasn’t hit in any game involving Cleveland since Watson replaced Brissett as the starting quarterback. Nick Chubb has struggled to find running room, and he may continue to face challenges against Washington’s 11th-ranked rush defense.

Under bettors in this matchup may be worried about Cleveland’s defense, which is ranked 21st in the league in scoring average and allows 22.9 points per game. However, the Browns have been performing better recently, only allowing an average of 14.3 points in their last three games. Carson Wentz is making his return for the Commanders, who have only scored an average of 17.4 points in games with him as quarterback.

The Browns have not scored more than 41 points in a game since November 20th. Additionally, the home and road trends for both teams in this matchup suggest that the Under is likely to hit. The Browns have gone over the total in 2 out of 6 road games, while the Commanders have gone over in 2 out of 7 home games.

The number has dropped to just under 40 this week, but anything over 40 points should still provide good value considering the uncertain offenses in play.

Take a look at our NFL Week 17 picks for players likely to score a touchdown.

Browns vs. Commanders Best Odds

DraftKings, BetMGM: Under 41 (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
4140.54140.540.5
-110-110-110-110-110

DraftKings and BetMGM are offering the total at 41 points with standard -110 odds on the Under, which is a better line compared to FanDuel, Caesars, and PointsBet who have the number half a point lower.

Although the line movement from 42 slightly decreases the pick’s value, choosing the line at 41 instead of 40.5 ensures a push on final scores such as 21-20, 24-17, or 27-14.

Take a look at our predictions for surprising upsets in Week 17 of the NFL.

The Browns-Commanders selection was made on December 31, 2026, at 12:45 p.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Lopez Julia
Since graduating from the University of Missouri in 2016, Lopez Julia has covered the St. Louis Cardinals and Blues hockey as a writer for KMOV in St. Louis. He also co-hosts ‘The Big Show’ on KTGR radio in Columbia, Missouri. The show airs in afternoon drive, weekdays from 4-6 p.m. Brenden has contributed to SBR since 2021, providing insights on NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NBA. You can download his daily baseball podcast, B-Schaeff Daily, on Spotify or Apple podcasts, and you can find Brenden across social media @bschaeffer12.