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Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills throws a pass against the Cincinnati Bengals, and we offer our top Bills vs. Chargers prediction based on the best NFL odds.
Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills throws a pass against the Cincinnati Bengals. Photo by Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images via AFP.

The Buffalo Bills remain the top pick in the AFC East, but the competition is fierce with several major offseason moves in the division. Get our top Buffalo Bills futures picks with the latest NFL odds.

After winning their third consecutive AFC East title, the Buffalo Bills seemed poised to secure a fourth. However, the arrival of a new starting quarterback in the division may complicate their path to victory.

Will Buffalo be able to maintain their dominance, or will they be overshadowed by a divisional rival?

Take a look at our 2026 Buffalo Bills betting preview featuring odds from top NFL betting sites, and rate your confidence on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Buffalo Bills betting preview 2026

Buffalo Bills to win Under 10.5 games (+130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

As of Tuesday, August 29th, the odds are…

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Over 10.5 wins-150-144-140 -145-150
Under 10.5 wins+130 +118+115 ❄️+125+120

In the past three seasons, the Bills have exceeded this total, but with Aaron Rodgers joining the New York Jets, the competition in the division has become stronger. Buffalo will face a challenging schedule ahead.

Buffalo is expected to start the season strong, beginning with a road game against the Jets and then facing a series of winnable games. The Bills could potentially have a 7-1 record by Week 9 when they play the Bengals. However, their schedule gets tougher after that, with road games against the Eagles, Chiefs, Chargers, and Dolphins, as well as challenging home games against the Jets and Cowboys.

We will switch to DraftKings’ +130 offering on the Under since Caesars’ +140 option is no longer available. However, if the price settles around +120, like at our other top sports betting apps, we will probably steer clear of this market.

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Buffalo Bills to finish 2nd in AFC East (+210 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

The odds are current as of Tuesday, August 29th.

MarketDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
To win Super Bowl+900+900+900+900+850 ❄️
To win AFC+500+450+500+475+475
To win AFC East+120+120+120+125 +120

And with that being said, let’s talk about this bet. I don’t have a preference on whether the Jets or Dolphins will win the AFC East. However, I find it difficult to believe that the Bills can win the division if they only win 10 or fewer games.

Not only are the Bills facing a tough schedule, but their division rivals are also getting stronger. While the Jets have made a big quarterback addition, the Dolphins and Patriots are coming off successful seasons. With the AFC East becoming more competitive, now is a good time to bet against the favorites.

Josh Allen Over 4,150.5 passing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The odds are current as of Tuesday, August 29th.

DraftKingsFanDuelCaesarsbet365
Over 4350.5 (+100)Over 4150.5 (-112)Over 4300.5 (-115)Over 4350.5 (+100)
Under 4350.5 (-120)Under 4150.5 (-112)Under 4300.5 (-115)Under 4350.5 (-125)

Futures betting highlights the importance of shopping for the best odds, and among our top sportsbooks, FanDuel provides the best line and odds for betting on Josh Allen’s passing yardage Over.

FanDuel has about 100 yards less than DraftKings and Caesars, but the juice to play its Over isn’t much higher.

NumberFire predicts that Allen will end the season with 4,555.30 passing yards, making a case for playing DraftKings’ prediction. On the other hand, ESPN’s Mike Clay forecasts Allen to have 4,179 passing yards. NumberFire’s estimate is on the higher side, while Clay’s model is more conservative, suggesting FanDuel’s prediction may be the best choice.

Allen has surpassed this number for the past three years. In 2026, he fell short of the totals at DraftKings and Caesars for the season. This gives us some flexibility if he throws for just under 4,300 yards once more.

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Stefon Diggs Over 1,150.5 receiving yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

As of Tuesday, August 29, the odds are…

DraftKingsFanDuelCaesarsbet365
Over 1125.5 (-115)Over 1150.5 (-112)Over 1150.5 (-115)Over 1125.5 (-115)
Under 1125.5 (-105)Under 1150.5 (-112)Under 1150.5 (-115)Under 1125.5 (-105)

If you’re hesitant about this number, consider placing a bet on Over 1,125.5 at minus money at bet365. But for our top bet on Stefon Diggs, Caesars is the place to go.

Diggs has exceeded this total for the past three seasons after transferring from the Minnesota Vikings to the Bills, surpassing it by over 200 yards last year.

NumberFire predicts that Diggs will reach an impressive 1,455.31 yards this season, although this projection may be a bit inflated. Mike Clay also forecasts Diggs to surpass 1,203 yards, offering even odds on a total that a more conservative model believes will be surpassed.

Diggs continues to be Allen’s top target, and is expected to receive over 150 targets again in what should be another impressive season for him.

James Cook Over 3.5 rushing touchdowns (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Updated odds as of Tuesday, August 29th.

DraftKingsFanDuel
Over 3.5 rushing touchdowns (+100)Over 3.5 rushing touchdowns (+104)
Under 3.5 rushing touchdowns (-120)Under 3.5 rushing touchdowns (-130)

Will James Cook be given a chance to shine in his second season with the Bills? Despite the additions of Damien Harris and Latavius Murray to improve the running game after Devin Singletary’s departure, Cook is expected to be the primary back and future franchise running back. Projections indicate he will surpass his rushing touchdown total.

NumberFire predicts Cook will end the season with 4.27 touchdowns, while Mike Clay also projects him to finish with four. Both models also anticipate Harris scoring at least four rushing touchdowns, so Cook’s success is tied to Harris’ performance. If the Bills choose to rely more on Cook, we will have an even stronger advantage.

NFL Betting Previews

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