Chargers vs. Patriots NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions
The New England Patriots will face off against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday in a matchup of struggling AFC teams. We have analyzed the best NFL player props for the Chargers vs. Patriots game in Week 13, using the top NFL odds from our preferred sports betting apps.
The Los Angeles Chargers have suffered three consecutive narrow defeats, bringing their season record to 4-7. Nevertheless, they have an opportunity this week to play against a team on a four-game losing streak that concedes an average of 22.5 points per game.
Bailey Zappe will be starting for the New England Patriots in place of Mac Jones, who has recorded 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions this season. Zappe has only seen limited playing time, completing 19 of 39 passes for 158 yards, with no touchdowns and two interceptions.
Here are our top player prop picks for the Chargers vs. Patriots NFL game in Week 13, in addition to our NFL Week 13 predictions and player props. Our confidence levels are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale, with odds provided by the best NFL betting sites.
Chargers vs. Patriots NFL player props: Week 13
Austin Ekeler Over 86.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
This week, the Chargers have the opportunity to release all their pent-up frustrations from this season. As a result, every star player on the team is poised for a standout performance. Despite Keenan Allen being limited in practice, Ekeler is expected to have the most productive game this week.
In the previous week, he only managed to gain 64 yards in total, thanks to the Baltimore Ravens limiting him to 3.2 yards per carry and 6.4 yards per catch. Ekeler has not exceeded 70 yards in a game since facing the Detroit Lions in Week 10. Nonetheless, as the season hangs in the balance, the Chargers must find a way to increase the involvement of one of their main offensive playmakers in a promising matchup, despite the Patriots’ strong defensive statistics.
The Patriots are average in passing yards allowed per game and rank seventh in the league in rushing yards allowed. However, we shouldn’t put too much stock in their season-long stats. Ekeler is primed for a breakout game, especially since he averages almost 18 touches per game. If Allen is limited in any way on Sunday, Ekeler should have an even better performance.
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DeVante Parker Under 34.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Despite limiting Lamar Jackson to just 177 passing yards last week, the Chargers still possess the weakest pass defense in the NFL. However, it is doubtful that the Patriots will exploit this weakness, given their 10th-worst pass offense in the league and the fact that Zappe will be starting.
Parker has only reached 35 yards in a game twice this season. Last week, he had three catches for 42 yards, but his performance was lackluster. In eight games, he has only 18 catches for 200 yards despite receiving just 30 targets. Even in a favorable matchup, he will likely have difficulty producing.
Out of our top sports betting apps, four have Parker’s total at 34.5 while only FanDuel differs with a prop listed at 33.5. We choose to go with bet365 for the best price at 34.5 for this pick.
Justin Herbert Over 1.5 touchdown passes (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Herbert’s performance against the Ravens last week was lackluster, as he only managed to throw one touchdown. This came after a strong showing in his previous two games, where he combined for six touchdowns. Throughout the season, Herbert has struggled to consistently throw touchdown passes, with five games where he has thrown one or fewer.
The Patriots’ defense has been strong, allowing just 1.2 touchdown passes per game. However, their success may be attributed to facing teams with lower touchdown pass numbers in recent weeks. On the other hand, the Chargers are ranked fifth in the league in touchdown passes per game. Despite any potential struggles Herbert may face in gaining yards through the air, the Patriots are prone to turnovers, giving him favorable field position to work with.
FanDuel is the only one among our top sportsbooks that is pricing this prop at a higher rate, offering Over 1.5 for -122. The rest of our top live betting sites have prices set at -115 or lower, with BetMGM offering the most favorable odds.
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Player props for the Chargers vs. Patriots game were set on December 1, 2023 at 9:45 a.m. ET.
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