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Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 18: Will ATS Woes Continue for Kansas City?

Lopez Julia

Updated as of January 7, 2023 at 7:12 AM EST. Read time: 2 minutes and 36 seconds. Links to Twitter and Google News provided.

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs scrambles and runs the ball during the first quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium on Dec. 12, 2021. Jamie Squire/Getty Images/AFP.
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs scrambles and runs the ball during the first quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium on Dec. 12, 2021. Jamie Squire/Getty Images/AFP.

Although the Kansas City Chiefs have an impressive 13-3 record, their recent performance against the spread has been lacking. Can they cover the spread against the Las Vegas Raiders? Find out in our top Chiefs-Raiders NFL pick based on the best odds available.

The Chiefs (13-3) will soon have clarity on the uncertain situation surrounding the postponement of the Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals game, which will determine what they are playing for. Regardless of the NFL’s decision, Kansas City should be determined to secure the AFC’s top winning percentage by defeating their rival.

The Raiders (6-10) made the San Francisco 49ers nervous with Jarrett Stidham at the helm. Will the career backup be able to deliver another strong performance against a team headed to the playoffs?

Below is our top pick for the Chiefs vs. Raiders NFL matchup in Week 18, with odds from Caesars and confidence rating on a 1 to 5 star scale.

Take a look at our top NFL betting picks.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Game Info

The game will take place on Saturday, January 7, 2023, at 4:30 p.m. ET, and will be broadcasted on ESPN. It will be held at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV, where the weather is expected to be indoors with a dome covering the stadium.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds Analysis

The Chiefs started as 10-point favorites on the road and have since shifted to between -9 and -9.5 at many sportsbooks. K.C. has received 56% of the money and 54% of the bets.

The opening total of 50.5 has risen to 52.5. The majority of bets are on the Over, with 61% of the money and 77% of the tickets placed on that outcome.

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Pick

Raiders +9.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Even though the Raiders don’t have much at stake in their game in Vegas this week, it’s worth mentioning their impressive 5-2 record against the spread in home games this season. They showed their competitiveness last week despite the quarterback switch from Derek Carr to Jarrett Stidham, with an unexpected overtime loss to the 49ers in Week 17.

In recent years, the Raiders have been dominated in this rivalry, losing 16 out of the last 19 meetings. Therefore, any doubts about the Raiders’ motivation can be dismissed. Despite losing the first meeting this season at Arrowhead Stadium, Las Vegas managed to cover the spread in a close 30-29 defeat.

I am leaning towards the Raiders in this matchup, as the point spread seems too high considering that four of Kansas City’s last five games have been close. The Chiefs have not been reliable for bettors this season, with a 5-10-1 against the spread record, which is tied for second-worst in the league. When playing on the road, the Chiefs are 3-5 against the spread and are 2-3 when favored by double digits.

While the Chiefs have the potential to make a Super Bowl push, they have consistently underperformed against weaker opponents this season. The Raiders are showing resilience as they aim to keep Davante Adams and impending free agent Josh Jacobs motivated, especially with uncertainty surrounding the quarterback situation.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Best Odds

Caesars (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
+9 (-110)+9.5 (-115)+8 (-110)+9.5 (-110)+8.5 (-110)

The spread for this game has been changing throughout Saturday, with Caesars currently offering the most favorable odds at +9.5. In comparison, BetMGM has a lower spread of +8 but charges the same vig of -110. This highlights the importance of comparing odds and lines from different sportsbooks, as the difference in spreads between our top-rated shops is significant.

The Chiefs-Raiders selection was made on January 5th, 2023 at 4:45 p.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Lopez Julia
Since graduating from the University of Missouri in 2016, Lopez Julia has covered the St. Louis Cardinals and Blues hockey as a writer for KMOV in St. Louis. He also co-hosts ‘The Big Show’ on KTGR radio in Columbia, Missouri. The show airs in afternoon drive, weekdays from 4-6 p.m. Brenden has contributed to SBR since 2021, providing insights on NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NBA. You can download his daily baseball podcast, B-Schaeff Daily, on Spotify or Apple podcasts, and you can find Brenden across social media @bschaeffer12.