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Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 18: Will ATS Woes Continue for Kansas City?

Lopez Julia

Updated most recently on January 7, 2023 at 7:12 AM EST. Read time: 2 minutes and 36 seconds. For additional information, visit our Twitter and Google News links.

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs scrambles and runs the ball during the first quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium on Dec. 12, 2021. Jamie Squire/Getty Images/AFP.
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs scrambles and runs the ball during the first quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium on Dec. 12, 2021. Jamie Squire/Getty Images/AFP.

Despite their impressive 13-3 record, the Kansas City Chiefs have struggled to cover the spread in recent games. Will they be able to cover the spread against the Las Vegas Raiders? Keep reading for our top pick based on the latest odds for the Chiefs-Raiders NFL game.

By Saturday, the Chiefs (13-3) will have a clear understanding of their upcoming game, as the uncertainty surrounding the Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals postponement is expected to be resolved soon. Regardless of the NFL’s decision on the matter, Kansas City should be driven to secure the top winning percentage in the AFC by defeating their rival.

The Raiders (6-10) put a scare into the San Francisco 49ers with Jarrett Stidham at the helm. Will the career backup be able to deliver another strong performance against a team headed to the playoffs?

Below is our top pick for the Week 18 matchup between the Chiefs and Raiders in the NFL, with odds provided by Caesars. Our confidence level in this pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Take a look at our top NFL bets.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Game Info

When: Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 4:30 p.m. Eastern TimeChannel: ESPNWhere: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NVWeather: Indoors (dome)

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds Analysis

The Chiefs were initially favored by 10 points on the road but the line has since shifted to between -9 and -9.5 at most sportsbooks. Kansas City has received 56% of the total cash bet and 54% of the tickets wagered.

The initial total was set at 50.5 and has since increased to 52.5. The Over remains the favored choice, with 61% of the money and 77% of the bets placed on it.

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Pick

Raiders +9.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While there may not be much at stake in Vegas this week, it is worth mentioning that the Raiders have a 5-2 record against the spread in home games this season. Despite a quarterback change from Derek Carr to Jarrett Stidham, they showed they are still competitive last week in a surprising overtime loss to the 49ers in Week 17.

The Raiders have struggled in recent years against their rival, losing 16 of the last 19 meetings. With this in mind, there is no doubt about their motivation going into this game. Although they lost the first meeting this season at Arrowhead Stadium, Las Vegas managed to cover the spread in a close 30-29 defeat.

I am leaning towards the Raiders in this matchup, as the point spread seems too high, especially considering that four of the Chiefs’ last five games have been decided by one score. Kansas City has struggled against the spread this season with a 5-10-1 record, tying them for the second-worst in the league. The Chiefs are 3-5 ATS on the road and have a 2-3 record when favored by double-digits.

While the Chiefs have the potential to make a Super Bowl run, they have consistently underperformed against weaker opponents this season. The Raiders are showing resilience as they strive to keep Davante Adams and impending free agent Josh Jacobs engaged, despite uncertainty at the quarterback position in the future.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Best Odds

Caesars (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
+9 (-110)+9.5 (-115)+8 (-110)+9.5 (-110)+8.5 (-110)

The spread has shifted on Saturday, with Caesars offering the best odds at +9.5. In comparison, BetMGM has a -110 vig with a spread 1.5 points lower at +8. This highlights the significance of shopping around for the best odds and lines, as the disparity between our top-rated shops is evident.

Pick for Chiefs-Raiders game was made on January 5, 2023 at 4:45 p.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Lopez Julia
Since graduating from the University of Missouri in 2016, Lopez Julia has covered the St. Louis Cardinals and Blues hockey as a writer for KMOV in St. Louis. He also co-hosts ‘The Big Show’ on KTGR radio in Columbia, Missouri. The show airs in afternoon drive, weekdays from 4-6 p.m. Brenden has contributed to SBR since 2021, providing insights on NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NBA. You can download his daily baseball podcast, B-Schaeff Daily, on Spotify or Apple podcasts, and you can find Brenden across social media @bschaeffer12.