Chiefs vs. Jets Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 4: Sunday Night Football
Although Aaron Rodgers’ absence may have dampened the anticipation for the upcoming Sunday Night Football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and New York Jets, rest assured that we have you covered with our predictions for the game. We will be basing our predictions on the top NFL odds currently available.
Last week, the Kansas City Chiefs dominated the Chicago Bears with a score of 41-10, securing Andy Reid’s ninth win by 30 or more points in his 11 seasons as head coach. This victory propelled Reid past Tom Landry for fourth place on the all-time wins list, including playoffs.
The New York Jets suffered their 15th straight loss to the New England Patriots, dropping to 0-5 against quarterback Mac Jones. Jets QB Zach Wilson is facing intense criticism from the New York media after losing five games in a row, with an average of 8.6 points per game in those defeats.
Below is our top prediction for the Chiefs vs. Jets matchup on Sunday Night Football, with odds provided by our trusted NFL betting sites. Our confidence level in this pick is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Chiefs vs. Jets prediction: Sunday Night Football
Under 42.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Chiefs’ offensive struggles have been largely overlooked, with their impressive performance in Week 3 overshadowing their lackluster start to the season. Despite scoring more points in Week 3 than in the first two games combined, there are still concerns about the team’s lack of a dominant wide receiver and inconsistencies in the running game. While their recent success is encouraging, it’s important to remember that there are still areas that need improvement for Kansas City.
New York’s offense has only managed to score three touchdowns this season and has failed to surpass 22 points in nine consecutive games, a feat not seen since 1984-85. Wilson’s performance has been lacking, with a QBR of 27 and an on-target percentage of 38.0%, worse than in previous years. His completion percentage of 52.4% is the lowest in the NFL, and he has thrown 21 interceptions compared to just 16 touchdowns, resulting in a disappointing 8-16 record in 24 career starts.
The Jets are facing a tough challenge in scoring against Kansas City’s fourth-ranked defense, especially considering their offensive line struggled in Week 3, with three players playing out of position and allowing pressure on 44% of dropbacks, the highest in the NFL.
According to NFL on CBS, Wilson has the worst passer rating among quarterbacks with 20 or more starts since 2010. If you believe that Jets offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett will come up with a strategy to increase involvement for wide receiver Garrett Wilson, keep in mind that Chiefs cornerback Trent McDuffie has the highest coverage grade from Pro Football Focus among cornerbacks with 75 or more coverage snaps this season. McDuffie has not allowed any touchdowns and has held opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 73.9 when targeted.
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Chiefs vs. Jets best odds
bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.5 | 42.5 | 42.5 | 42.5 | 42.5 |
| Over (-110)/Under (-110) | Over (-110)/Under (-110) | Over (-110)/Under (-110) | Over (-110)/Under (-110) | Over (-110)/Under (-110) |
There is no variation in the Over/Under and odds among the top sports betting apps, all set at 42.5 and -110 respectively. The Under has won in all of New York’s last nine games against AFC opponents. Bettors interested in the total have no discrepancies to consider.
Chiefs vs. Jets odds for Sunday Night Football
Chiefs vs. Jets odds analysis
The total started at 43.5 on Sunday night after Week 3 games, but decreased due to Under backers. DraftKings dropped to 41.5 on Monday, but Over backers raised it back up. There has been balanced betting on the total, with 53% favoring the Over.
All the top sports betting sites are in consensus with the 9.5-point spread for the Chiefs. FanDuel initially had the Chiefs as 8.5-point favorites on Sunday night, while BetMGM, DraftKings, and Caesars opened at -9, but they all now offer the same number. Early betting splits are currently 2/1 in favor of KC.
Sunday Night Football game info
- When: Sunday, Oct. 1 at 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- How to watch: NBC
- Weather: 58 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, 5-mph N wind
Prediction for Chiefs vs Jets made on September 26, 2023 at 8:38 p.m. Eastern Time.
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