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Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers, and we offer our top Seahawks vs. Cowboys SGP predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers. Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images via AFP.

We analyze the upcoming matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Los Angeles Chargers, focusing on player prop predictions for Dak Prescott and Justin Herbert based on the latest NFL odds.

In Week 5, Dak Prescott struggled against the San Francisco 49ers’ defense, completing just 14 of 24 passes for 153 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. So far this season, Prescott has thrown five touchdowns and four interceptions.

Will Herbert’s production decrease with Austin Ekeler back in the lineup following his 13-of-24 performance for 167 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in the game before the Chargers’ bye week? He did manage to score two touchdowns on the ground in that game.

Here are our top predictions for the Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert player props in the upcoming Cowboys vs. Chargers game in Week 6. We have analyzed the odds from our trusted NFL betting sites and rated our confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert NFL player prop predictions for Week 6

Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert player props

Dak Prescott to finish with more passing yards (+130 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In 2023, Herbert has thrown for 1,106 yards, while Prescott has recorded 1,061. Despite playing one fewer game than Prescott, Herbert’s performance is impressive. However, we predict Prescott will have more passing yards in the upcoming game.

The Chargers’ pass defense ranks as the poorest in football, allowing every opposing quarterback to throw for a minimum of 238 yards. Two quarterbacks have even managed to surpass 367 yards against them. Despite Herbert’s impressive stats, his numbers have been boosted by two standout games, as he has thrown for 229 yards or less in two out of his four games this season.

Additionally, the return of Ekeler to the Chargers’ offense is a positive development for Herbert. However, it may not have a positive impact on his passing statistics. In the one game that Ekeler played this season, Herbert threw for 229 yards on 23-of-33 passing, despite his team scoring 34 points. Considering all of these factors and the favorable price, confidently choose Prescott over Herbert.

Make sure to check out Lopez Julia’s Cowboys vs. Chargers parlay for additional insights on Prescott’s passing total.

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Dak Prescott Under 0.5 interceptions (+108 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Prescott has thrown four interceptions in five games, with a majority occurring in last week’s game against the 49ers where he threw three interceptions. In his other four games, he has only thrown one interception.

The Chargers have recorded three interceptions so far this season, with one interception coming in three of their four games. However, the Cowboys present a more balanced offensive threat compared to the other teams the Chargers have faced. With Tony Pollard providing support in the backfield, quarterback Dak Prescott will not be pressured to throw as frequently as Kirk Cousins or Tua Tagovailoa were before the Miami Dolphins recognized their talent in the backfield.

It is incredibly valuable to have odds better than +100 when Prescott has only thrown interceptions in less than half of his games this season, especially when facing the weakest pass defense in the league.

Justin Herbert Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (+115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Herbert has thrown seven touchdown passes so far this season, but in two out of his four games, he has only thrown one. The return of Ekeler to the lineup has given the Chargers a strong rushing attack in the red zone, which may lead to a decrease in Herbert’s red-zone production.

Furthermore, the Cowboys have only given up five passing touchdowns this season, averaging one per game. However, the majority of these scores came from Brock Purdy, who threw four touchdowns in one game last week.

Herbert has the ability to surpass this number, but the value on the under bet is too good to pass up. It appears that the oddsmakers are expecting the public to overreact to the Cowboys’ performance in Week 5. Judging by the prices, it looks like the public is falling for it.

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Player prop picks for Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert were made on October 16, 2023 at 9:56 a.m. ET.

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