Dolphins vs. Chiefs NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions
Our top player prop predictions for the Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Week 9 matchup in Germany are supported by the best NFL odds on offer.
The Miami Dolphins are currently averaging 453.3 total yards per game. However, despite their impressive offensive performance, they have struggled against teams with winning records, scoring only 37 points in those matchups.
The Kansas City Chiefs are currently regrouping following a lackluster team showing against the Denver Broncos. The game was marred by five turnovers and a lack of offensive touchdowns, while their defense also struggled, giving up 24 points. The Chiefs face significant challenges on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball as they work to bounce back from this disappointing performance.
Here are our top player props for the Dolphins vs. Chiefs game, including a special focus on Tyreek Hill. Check out the odds from our recommended NFL betting sites and assess your confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Dolphins vs. Chiefs NFL player props: Week 9
Raheem Mostert Over 11.5 rushing attempts (-108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
In eight games, Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert has rushed the ball 97 times, averaging just over 12 carries per game. However, his rushing attempts have varied greatly, with four games featuring 10 or fewer carries and four games with 13 or more carries.
Opposing teams are averaging 25.1 rushing attempts per game against the Chiefs, which is very close to the Dolphins’ average of 25.8 rushing attempts per game. However, we are particularly interested in betting the Over Prop because Mostert is currently the primary running back. While Dolphins’ running back Jeff Wilson Jr. is healthy, he has only carried the ball five times in two games.
Mostert will play a crucial role in helping the Dolphins maintain possession and limiting Patrick Mahomes’ time on the field. As the league leaders in rushing yards per game, the Dolphins will rely on Mostert to help them continue this trend in the upcoming week.
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Isaiah Pacheco Under 58.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Right now, only FanDuel among our top sportsbooks is offering a total of 58.5. The other four major sportsbooks all have the total listed at 57.5, with each of them setting the price for the Under at -115 or higher. While we initially favored the Under 57.5, the price for an additional yard is very appealing.
Pacheco has failed to surpass 58.5 yards in three of his last four games. In the one game where he did exceed this mark, he rushed for 62 yards on 16 carries. Pacheco’s performance has been inconsistent, and he faces a challenging opponent this week.
The Dolphins struggled against the run in Week 1 against the Los Angeles Chargers, leading to the belief that they were unable to defend against the run. However, they have improved significantly in recent games, now allowing only 107.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 16th in the NFL. Furthermore, when considering their yards per attempt numbers, the defense actually moves up to 12th in the league, showing their effectiveness regardless of game situations.
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Travis Kelce to record two-plus touchdowns (+475 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has not scored multiple touchdowns in a single game yet, but that streak will end this week. Following a disappointing performance against the Denver Broncos last week, Mahomes and the Chiefs offense are expected to bounce back with a big game against Miami.
The Chiefs’ passing game may look good on paper, but the presence of Miami cornerback Xavien Howard and safety Jalen Ramsey on the field together poses a challenge for Kansas City’s receivers. However, this is a favorable situation for Kelce.
We recommend considering Kelce’s Over props this week, with scoring two touchdowns offering the most value. Kelce has four touchdown receptions this season and is a top red-zone option for Mahomes in what is expected to be a high-scoring game. This prop is available on DraftKings and can be found at other sportsbooks for between +300 and +425. Finding the best price is crucial for maximizing the value of this prop bet.
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Player props for the Dolphins vs. Chiefs game were established on Friday at 12:43 p.m. ET.
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