Eagles vs. Chiefs Expert Picks Week 11: Best Bets for MNF
Join us as we analyze the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs matchup for Monday Night Football with insights from our expert betting analysts at Underscoreg Review. Get the latest NFL odds and expert picks for this game.
The Philadelphia Eagles will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch of Super Bowl LVII on Monday night.
The Eagles are entering this game on a hot streak with three consecutive wins and are looking for redemption after losing in the previous year’s Super Bowl.
The Chiefs have relied on their strong defense this season, and now they must try to stop Philadelphia’s high-powered offense. Will Kansas City be able to contain Jalen Hurts and the Eagles, or will Philadelphia’s attack be too overwhelming?
To read our complete analysis of the highly anticipated Monday Night Football game, visit our preview featuring player props for Eagles vs. Chiefs, Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and a parlay option before the game starts.
Here are our expert picks for the Eagles vs. Chiefs game in Week 11 of Monday Night Football, based on a 1-to-5-star confidence scale. Check out the odds from our top NFL betting sites to make your prediction.
Eagles vs. Chiefs expert picks
| Allen Byron | Lopez Julia | Phil Wood | Stewart Serena |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce Over 73.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Jalen Hurts Over 8.5 rushing attempts (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | AJ Brown Under 84.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Jerick McKinnon Over 11.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐ |
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Eagles vs. Chiefs top picks
Travis Kelce Over 73.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Travis Kelce will be up against a Philadelphia Eagles pass defense that has been one of the worst in the league in passer rating, yards per game, and touchdowns allowed since Week 5.
Philadelphia’s defense has struggled against the pass overall, but they have been particularly weak when it comes to defending tight ends. The Eagles have given up a 98 QBR to opposing teams when targeting tight ends, ranking them last in the league. Additionally, quarterbacks have completed 78% of their passes for an average of eight yards per attempt when targeting tight ends against Philadelphia, which puts them fifth-worst in the league in both categories.
In the Super Bowl LVII win over a formidable Eagles defense, Kelce recorded six receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown. His performance showcased his dominance as one of the top tight ends in the league, consistently ranking among the top two in receptions, receiving yards, and targets. With such impressive stats, Kelce’s potential for success is always exceptionally high.
FanDuel’s over/under is slightly lower than the other top sports betting apps, with the total set one yard higher.
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– Allen Byron (SBR on Twitter)
Jalen Hurts Over 8.5 rushing attempts (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Whether you call it the “tush push” or the “Brotherly Shove,” the fact remains that this play has consistently resulted in first downs for the Eagles in short-yardage situations. It has also been beneficial for Jalen Hurts’ rushing attempts this season, providing a reliable baseline for his carry totals.
Hurts has averaged 8.5 rushing attempts per game in our top sportsbooks for Monday night. In seven out of nine games this season, he has had nine or more carries. In his last matchup against the Chiefs, Hurts ran 15 times for 70 yards and three touchdowns. With this upcoming important game for the Eagles, Hurts will likely be motivated to make a significant impact on the game, possibly resulting in another high number of rushing attempts.
Hurts’ rushing attempts line is set at 8.5 by FanDuel, with -112 odds on the Over. Bettors can get slightly better value at bet365, where the Over 8.5 rushing attempts is offered at -110 odds.
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Julia Lopez (SBR | Twitter/X)
Eagles vs. Chiefs bonus codes
AJ Brown Under 84.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
In his most recent game, AJ Brown had seven catches for 66 yards. Prior to that, he had surpassed 100 receiving yards in six straight games. While he has the potential to reach the century mark again on Monday night, the Chiefs’ defense has been effective in containing top wide receivers.
Just two weeks ago in Germany, the Chiefs limited Tyreek Hill to only 62 yards on eight receptions. Prior to that, they held Keenan Allen to just 55 yards. The Chiefs have only allowed two 100-yard receivers all season, with only one being a top target. While Hurts and the Eagles’ offense have been impressive, the Chiefs’ defense has been superior throughout the year.
Out of our top five sports betting sites, four have the prop set at 84.5. The best prices for the Under are at BetMGM and bet365. While you could also consider taking under 85.5 at FanDuel, the better value is at bet365 with a price of -114.
Phil Wood is active on both SBR and Twitter, where he goes by the handle “X”.
Jerick McKinnon Over 11.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Running back Jerick McKinnon of the Chiefs has a receiving yardage line of 15.5 on various live betting sites, making it a good opportunity to bet on him going over 11.5 yards on FanDuel.
I hold the Pinnacle NFL trading team in high regard as a top industry leader in pricing player props, and they currently have McKinnon listed at 15.5.
After calculating a projected 17.7 receiving yards for McKinnon in the upcoming game against the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football, I would set the Over at -156. Comparing this to the -114 price at FanDuel, there is a positive expected value of 14% based on the difference in numbers.
McKinnon is a key part of the Kansas City offense, known for his reliable pass-catching abilities. He has surpassed this total in four out of the last five games and in six out of nine games this season.
Stewart Serena can be found on SBR and Twitter/X.
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