Jared Goff NFL Player Props, Odds Week 11: Predictions for Bears vs. Lions
In Week 11, the Detroit Lions will face off against the Chicago Bears. Our Jared Goff NFL player prop predictions are influenced by the latest NFL odds from the top NFL prop betting sites.
Goff had a standout game with 23 of 33 passes completed for 333 yards and two touchdowns in the recent 41-38 win against the Los Angeles Chargers. He finished the game with three consecutive scoring drives, entering Week 11 with a lot of momentum.
This week, Goff is up against the Bears’ 26th-ranked pass defense in a favorable matchup. What should we expect from him in this NFC North showdown, and how are the odds looking in top sportsbooks?
Take a look at our NFL Week 11 picks and top bets, as well as our player prop predictions for Jared Goff in the Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions game. We have also included a variety of NFL props for Week 11. Odds are provided by our recommended NFL betting sites and confidence levels are rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Jared Goff NFL player prop predictions for Week 11
- Jared Goff Over 36.5 yard longest completion (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jared Goff Under 24.5 passing completions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jared Goff Over 3+ Touchdown Passes (+195 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
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Jared Goff player props
Jared Goff longest completion Over 36.5 yards (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Goff has completed a pass of 44 yards or more in three of the Lions’ last four games, with the exception being the game against the Baltimore Ravens, where their tough defense shut down the Lions.
Although the Bears rank low in passing yards allowed per game, they are 14th in yards allowed per completion. They are only allowing 9.8 yards per catch, and that number drops to 8.7 over their last three games.
Despite this, Goff and the Lions have the NFL’s sixth-longest average completion mark this season. They are willing to take deep shots, but also have playmakers who can turn short passes into big gains. In over half of his games this season, Goff has completed a pass of 37 yards or more, so we anticipate he will do so again this week.
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Jared Goff Under 24.5 passing completions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Goff has only completed more than 25 passes in four games this season. Despite throwing for 333 yards and his team scoring 41 points last week, Goff only completed 23 passes.
Having both David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs healthy allows offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to alleviate some of the pressure on his quarterback by utilizing their powerful rushing game. Although the Lions’ rushing attack gained over 200 yards last week, they may not have the same success against the Bears’ formidable second-ranked rush defense. Nevertheless, we anticipate a heavy emphasis on the running game from the Lions in the upcoming matchup.
Although the Under is costly, it is the best choice. There may be a shift in bettors favoring the Over before the game starts, causing the price to decrease. However, the price for the Under is currently at -134 on other top sports betting apps, so it is not advisable to wait for a lower price. We anticipate the number to decrease to 24 or 23.5 soon, so take advantage now using our bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS.
Jared Goff Over 3+ touchdown passes (+195 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
All of our top sports betting sites are offering Goff’s touchdown pass line at Over 1.5 with odds of -190 or higher. This is considered too costly, even with the advantage of playing at home against a defense that typically allows 2.0 touchdown passes per game.
While Goff has thrown for three touchdown passes in two games this season, he has not consistently thrown for multiple touchdowns. Despite the success of the Lions’ offense, Goff has not met the expected levels of touchdown production. In nine games, he has only thrown for 14 touchdown passes, with five games where he had one or fewer touchdown passes.
The Bears’ defense has excelled in stopping the run recently but has struggled against the pass. In their last game, the Lions had difficulty running the ball in the red zone against the Chargers. This week, we anticipate the Lions will focus on passing in the red zone against a Bears team that only allows a fraction of a rushing touchdown per game. Opting for this alternative strategy carries a high potential payoff with minimal risk.
Player prop picks for Jared Goff were made on November 17, 2026 at 8:41 a.m. Eastern Time.
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