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Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions looks on in the first quarter as we offer our top Jared Goff NFL player props for Raiders vs. Lions based on the top NFL odds.
Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions looks on in the first quarter of the game against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on October 22, 2023 in Baltimore, Maryland. Greg Fiume/Getty Images/AFP

In Week 8, the Detroit Lions will be facing off against the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football. We have analyzed the NFL odds and are ready to make our top Jared Goff player prop predictions for the game.

During the Detroit Lions’ Week 7 defeat against the Baltimore Ravens, quarterback Jared Goff completed 33 out of 53 passes for 284 yards. This marked season highs in both completions and attempts for Goff, who was under pressure to throw the ball more frequently in a game where the Lions were behind for the entire duration.

In three home games, Goff has thrown seven touchdowns and two interceptions, with a completion rate of at least 66.7% in each game.

Here are our top Jared Goff NFL player prop predictions for the Las Vegas Raiders vs. Detroit Lions Week 8 matchup, along with our Raiders vs. Lions player props and prediction. These picks are based on odds from our top NFL betting sites and confidence levels rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Jared Goff NFL player prop predictions for Week 8

Jared Goff player props

Jared Goff Under 264.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Goff excels in home games, but he tends to only meet the expectations placed on him. In three home games this season, he surpassed 264.5 yards only once, which was in a game that the Lions ended up losing to the Seattle Seahawks. The Lions emerged victorious in the other two games, with Goff throwing for less than 250 yards in each.

Even against subpar quarterbacks, the Raiders’ pass defense is impressively holding opponents to an average of just 187.4 yards per game through seven games.

Even though Goff is expected to perform well, the Lions are likely to exploit the Raiders’ vulnerable run defense, which is currently giving up 129 rushing yards per game. If the Lions manage to take an early lead as predicted by the spread, Goff may only surpass 200 passing yards by a slim margin.

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Jared Goff Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

In 14 of his last 16 home games, Goff has thrown for a minimum of two touchdown passes. This season, he has already thrown seven touchdown passes at home, despite only throwing one in the Lions’ 20-6 victory over the Atlanta Falcons. Despite this, his performance at Ford Field has been exceptional, making this a top-rated play.

The Raiders have allowed an average of 1.3 touchdown passes per game, which ranks them 15th in the NFL. However, their statistics have been boosted by the quality of quarterbacks they have faced in recent games. In their last three matchups, they have played against Tyson Bagent of the Chicago Bears, Mac Jones of the New England Patriots, and Jordan Love of the Green Bay Packers. These three quarterbacks only managed to throw a total of one touchdown pass against the Raiders.

Earlier this season, the Raiders defense struggled against quarterbacks Russell Wilson, Josh Allen, and Kenny Pickett, allowing each of them to throw at least two touchdown passes in three consecutive weeks. At home, Goff might outperform all three of those quarterbacks. DraftKings is currently offering the best odds, with some sportsbooks listing the price at -175.

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Jared Goff Under 23.5 pass completions (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Although Goff’s passing yards under is considered a three-star play, our confidence in this Under is even higher. Goff has only completed more than 23.5 passes in three games this season. In two of those games, the Lions lost, and in the third game, they were essentially without a running back.

In Lions victories, particularly those that are decisive, Goff typically completes 22 passes or less. In the team’s four consecutive wins by 14 points or more, he threw 22 or fewer passes in three out of four games. He only surpassed that number when the rushing offense was significantly weakened.

The Lions may not dominate the Raiders, but they should focus more on running the ball, as it is the Raiders’ weakness. Combined with the fact that the Lions are selective with their passes, this strategy should work well.

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Player prop picks for Jared Goff were made on October 30, 2023 at 10:07 a.m. Eastern Time.

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