Joe Burrow NFL Player Props, Odds Thursday Night Football: Predictions for Bengals vs. Ravens
The Cincinnati Bengals visit the Baltimore Ravens, and we offer our top Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions using the latest NFL odds.
The Houston Texans delivered a surprising blow to the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, halting their four-game winning streak and dropping them to a 5-4 record. During the game, Burrow threw for 347 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions.
In the past five games, Burrow has thrown for over 300 yards three times and has thrown multiple touchdown passes in each of the last five games. In his previous matchup against the Baltimore Ravens this season, he finished with 222 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.
Here are our top Joe Burrow player prop predictions for the Bengals vs. Ravens game, in addition to our Bengals-Ravens props, Bengals-Ravens SGP, Ja’Marr Chase props, and Lamar Jackson props. These predictions are based on odds from our recommended NFL betting sites and are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale for confidence.
Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions for Week 11
- Joe Burrow Over 256.5 passing yards (-101 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 24.5 passing completions (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 1.5 touchdown passes (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Joe Burrow player props
Joe Burrow Over 256.5 passing yards (-101 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
As of now, FanDuel lists Burrow’s total at 252.5 with -114 odds for the Over. However, we think there is better value in placing this bet at Caesars. Although the total is higher, the opportunity to bet on an extra four yards at nearly +100 odds makes it more appealing.
In his previous two games, Burrow has passed for 347 and 348 yards. Three weeks ago, in the Bengals’ 31-17 victory over the San Francisco 49ers, he threw for 283 yards. Despite the absence of Tee Higgins once more this week, we expect him to deliver another impressive yardage performance.
Despite the Ravens allowing just 173.1 passing yards per game, they had trouble defending Burrow in Week 2 even though he was not at full health. The Bengals will continue to rely on their passing game if they face early difficulties, leading Burrow to likely surpass 300 yards regardless of the game’s outcome.
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Joe Burrow Over 24.5 passing completions (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Burrow has successfully completed 24 or more passes in his last five games, with at least 27 completions in each of the last three. Although he has attempted 40 or more passes in consecutive games, we feel more confident betting on his completions to go Over rather than his attempts due to his impressive accuracy.
Burrow has maintained a completion rate of at least 66.7% in six straight games, with three of his last five performances exceeding 70%. The Bengals have the second-lowest rushing attempts per game in the NFL, indicating Burrow will likely throw frequently tonight. If he attempts at least 36 passes and completes two-thirds of them, he is projected to finish the game with 24 completions.
Given his recent performances, that is the worst possible outcome for him.
Joe Burrow Over 1.5 touchdown passes (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The price for this prop is surprisingly high. While other top sports betting apps are offering Over 1.5 touchdown passes for -113 or -115, FanDuel has it listed at +102. It’s always a bonus to get a bet at +100 or better, but it’s even more valuable when you’re backing a trend that has occurred five times in a row.
The Bengals’ offense heavily relies on the passing game, which has led to Burrow posting impressive numbers in recent weeks. Even in the red zone, they prefer to pass the ball rather than run it. The team averages less than 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game but 1.6 passing touchdowns.
Despite facing a strong pass defense from the Ravens in Week 2, Burrow managed to throw for two touchdowns while dealing with a calf injury. Now fully healthy, we anticipate him to maintain his streak of throwing for two or more touchdowns this week.
Joe Burrow’s player prop picks were made on November 16, 2023, at 9:15 a.m. ET.
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