Lions vs. Packers Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 4: Thursday Night Football
The NFC North division lead is up for grabs as the Green Bay Packers take on the Detroit Lions. Check out our top predictions for the Lions vs. Packers game on Thursday Night Football, utilizing the most reliable NFL odds from our recommended sports betting apps.
Detroit has a record of 2-1 following their impressive 20-6 victory against the Atlanta Falcons last week, making it their best start since 2019.
The Packers managed to secure an 18-17 victory against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday by outscoring them 18-0 in the fourth quarter. This win marked the Packers’ 11th consecutive home-opener victory and they now hold a 2-1 record, maintaining a .500 or better record through three games for the ninth consecutive season.
Check out our top prediction for the Lions-Packers game on Thursday Night Football, along with our player props for the Lions vs. Packers matchup in NFL Week 4. Our confidence level is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale using the best NFL betting sites. Be sure not to miss it!
Don’t forget to take a look at our Lions vs. Packers SGP, player props for Jordan Love, touchdown scorer predictions, and player props for Week 4, including a receiver from this game!
Lions vs. Packers prediction: Thursday Night Football
Under 45.5 (-110 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Detroit has managed to score over 20 points in 12 straight games, the longest streak since 1995. Despite this impressive record, the team is facing challenges with injuries in their offensive line and a short week leading up to the game. As a result, we anticipate that this streak will come to an end in what is likely to be a defensive battle.
The Lions were missing key offensive linemen Taylor Decker and Halapoulivaati Vaitai in their game against the Atlanta Falcons. Despite not officially recording a sack, the Falcons were able to register nine quarterback hits on Jared Goff. The situation worsened for Detroit when Matt Nelson and practice squad callup Dan Skipper left the game with ankle and hamstring injuries, leaving rookie Colby Sorsdal to finish the game at guard.
If the offense that finished the 2026 season ranked fifth in scoring, fourth in total offense, and sixth in offensive efficiency cannot protect its quarterback (as evidenced by Green Bay’s four sacks in Week 2, three of which came on third down), it will struggle to replicate those impressive statistics.
In Week 4, Green Bay is dealing with injuries to key players including Aaron Jones, Christian Watson, David Bakhtiari, and Jaire Alexander. They have a short turnaround time to recover before their upcoming game. Watson is projected to have limited playing time on Thursday, while Jones is expected to be in the lineup as well.
The absence of three key offensive players could pose a problem against a tough Detroit defense that shut down the Falcons’ running game and improved their coverage against tight ends. The Lions have shown strong defensive performance in recent games, holding opponents to low scoring averages and continuing their momentum from the previous season.
In their two matchups in 2026, these two teams scored a total of 24 and 36 points, even with Aaron Rodgers leading Green Bay. This is a highly recommended play, as Thursday night games have been starting off slow lately, with first-half Unders in TNF games since 2021 holding a record of 23-12-1.
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Lions vs. Packers best odds
BetRivers (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 45 | 44.5 | 44.5 | 45 |
| Under -110 | Under -110 | Under -110 | Under -110 | Under -110 |
As supporters of the Under, we frequently turn to BetRivers as our top choice because they are the only sportsbook offering a total as high as 45.5, with the added bonus of standard -110 juice. While the slight variation in total points among other top sportsbooks is expected, it is noteworthy that all books are currently offering the standard -110 juice on both sides of the total. As betting activity increases later in the week, we may see adjustments to these prices without necessarily changing the overall line.
Lions vs. Packers odds for Thursday Night Football
Lions vs. Packers odds analysis
The initial lookahead line for this game reached as high as 46.5 at DraftKings, but was typically set at 46. On Sunday afternoon, DraftKings opened the line at 46, towards the end of the 1:00 games, and overnight, Under supporters brought the line down by a full point. In Detroit’s last five games, the Under has hit in 4 out of 5 matchups.
The point spread for this matchup is consistent across the best live betting sites, with DraftKings and BetRivers offering Lions -1 and Caesars at Detroit -2. Early wagers are heavily favoring Detroit. DraftKings has adjusted their line from -1.5 to -1 in the last 24 hours, while Caesars briefly went from -2 to -1.5 before returning to the original number. Detroit has a strong track record against divisional opponents, covering 10 consecutive games and winning 5 out of their last 6 road contests.
Thursday Night Football game info
- When: Thursday, Sept. 28 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 52 degrees, 8% chance of precipitation, 4-mph easterly winds
Prediction for Lions vs. Packers made on September 25, 2026 at 7:22 a.m. Eastern Time.
NFL betting odds pages
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