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Matthew Stafford NFL Player Props, Odds Week 16: Predictions for Saints vs. Rams

Scott Justin

Updated on December 21, 2023 at 8:01 PM EST • Read time: 2 minutes and 47 seconds. Click here for the Twitter link and Google News link.

Head coach Sean McVay of the Los Angeles Rams celebrates with Matthew Stafford as we get into our favorite Stafford player props for Saints vs. Rams on TNF.
Head coach Sean McVay of the Los Angeles Rams celebrates with Matthew Stafford at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getting Images North America via AFP.

Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams has been performing exceptionally well in the past month. We are confident that he will continue his impressive streak against the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football. Our Matthew Stafford NFL player prop predictions are based on the top NFL odds.

In the past few weeks, Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford has been on fire, reminding fans of the player who led the team to a Super Bowl just two years ago. In the last five games, Stafford has thrown for 1,250 yards and 13 touchdowns, helping the Rams to a 4-1 record and keeping their slim chances of winning the Super Bowl alive.

Stafford’s exceptional play has propelled the Rams to the No. 7 seed in the NFC with a 7-7 record. However, they must secure a victory against the New Orleans Saints to stay in the playoff race. The big question is whether Stafford will lead Los Angeles to victory on Thursday Night Football.

Here are our top Matthew Stafford NFL player prop predictions for the Week 16 matchup between the Saints and Rams, in addition to our Saints vs. Rams prediction and player props. Our confidence in each pick is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale, with odds sourced from our top NFL betting sites.

Matthew Stafford NFL player prop predictions for Week 16

  • SGP: Matthew Stafford 200-plus passing yards and Rams ML (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Matthew Stafford Under 0.5 interceptions (+106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Matthew Stafford player props

SGP: Matthew Stafford 200-plus passing yards and Rams ML (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

To kick things off in an entertaining way for Thursday Night Football, consider a same-game parlay at -120 odds on FanDuel or -130 odds on DraftKings if you have confidence in the Rams and Stafford’s current performance.

Many of our top sports betting apps are offering Stafford’s passing prop in the high 240s, aligning closely with his projected performance. With a -350 value for throwing over 200 passing yards, there is a 77.8% implied probability, making it the safer choice in this scenario.

Stafford’s ability to pass for at least 200 yards in four straight games and accomplishing this feat 11 times this season showcases his dependability. Despite facing a tough Saints defense ranked fourth in PFF coverage grade, Stafford’s recent strong showing against the Ravens’ top-ranked coverage defense gives hope for success against New Orleans.

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Matthew Stafford Under 0.5 interceptions (+106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I have to admit, I’ve poked fun at Stafford’s gunslinger attitude in the past, especially when it resulted in costly interceptions. However, it’s important to acknowledge that this season, Stafford has shown improved ball security compared to many other quarterbacks.

Stafford has managed to avoid throwing any interceptions in his last three games, even against tough defenses like the Cleveland Browns and Ravens. According to PFF, he has only had nine turnover-worthy plays all year, putting him ahead of 27 other quarterbacks in the league in terms of protecting the ball.

We are receiving favorable odds because the Saints have a strong defense and there is doubt surrounding Stafford’s ability to overcome his reputation. However, I do not believe the likelihood of an interception is greater than 50%, despite what the current odds suggest.

Player prop picks for Matthew Stafford were made at 3:20 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

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Written By:
Scott Justin
After graduating with a journalism degree from the University of Kansas in 2017, Scott Justin covered college sports for a few years before moving to Las Vegas to pursue a career in sports betting. He created sports betting content for WynnBET and served as a sports gambling content director for Bet Chicago Sports. Shane’s favorite sports to watch and bet on are NFL, college football, college basketball, NBA, WNBA, and golf. Follow Shane on Twitter (@SJacksonBET) to get access to all of his betting analysis.