Patrick Mahomes NFL Player Props, Odds Week 3: Predictions for Bears vs. Chiefs
Our top NFL player prop predictions for Patrick Mahomes are centered around the most favorable NFL odds for Sunday’s Bears-Chiefs game. Will Mahomes deliver another signature performance, or will his lackluster start to the 2023 season persist?
Critiquing a two-time NFL MVP is never easy, but Patrick Mahomes, quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs, hasn’t been displaying the same level of excitement that we have come to expect since becoming the starting QB in 2018.
He is set to face the winless Chicago Bears in Week 3, a favorable matchup for him. Will he finally have a breakout performance and put up big numbers on Sunday?
Check out our top Patrick Mahomes NFL player prop bets for the Bears-Chiefs Week 3 game, with odds from our recommended NFL betting sites. Confidence level rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Patrick Mahomes NFL player prop predictions for Week 3
- Patrick Mahomes Over 284.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Patrick Mahomes Under 25.5 completions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+124 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
Patrick Mahomes player props
Patrick Mahomes Over 284.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Although the Chiefs may not necessarily require Mahomes to throw for a high yardage total, he is likely to do so as we analyze our NFL Week 3 predictions. Despite only throwing for 226 yards in Week 1, this total was impacted by his receivers dropping four catchable balls. These drops prevented Mahomes from accumulating additional yardage, so it is important not to place too much emphasis on that particular game.
Having tight end Travis Kelce back on the field gave a significant boost to the Chiefs’ offense last week, despite only scoring 17 points. Mahomes connected with 11 different receivers, showing signs of growing chemistry with the team.
The Bears’ defense has struggled in 2023, giving up 245 passing yards to Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love and 317 yards to Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield. The Chiefs are looking for a dominant victory and this game presents the perfect opportunity. We anticipate Chiefs head coach Andy Reid will keep the pressure on, and Mahomes is likely to have another 300-yard passing game.
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Patrick Mahomes Under 25.5 completions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Mahomes had 21 completions in Week 1 and 29 in Week 2. Looking back to last season, he has thrown over 25 completions in 10 out of his last 22 games. Seven of those 10 games were decided by one score.
This meeting is not expected to be a close game, so it is likely that Mahomes will have less than 26 completions. Despite potentially accumulating a high number of passing yards, Mahomes will likely achieve this with fewer completions, as his receivers are expected to make big plays against a vulnerable secondary.
Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+124 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
The Chiefs have scored four touchdowns this season, all of which were passing TDs from Mahomes. Their rushing game has had difficulties at the beginning of the season, and with running back Isiah Pacheco dealing with an injury, it may continue to struggle.
The Bears have only allowed four passing touchdowns this season, with three of them occurring in Week 1 against Love. Despite Kansas City’s offense not performing at their peak, Mahomes’ statistics are still impressive compared to the rest of the league. The Chiefs may not score many points in this game, but most of their scoring will likely come from Mahomes’ passing abilities.
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Patrick Mahomes’ player prop selections were made on September 23, 2023 at 10:02 a.m. Eastern Time.
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