NFL Player Prop Bets: Our Best Futures for the 2026 Season

The Underscoreg Review team has had a jam-packed summer of making NFL picks and predictions. As the regular season approaches, we are excited to reveal our top player prop bets using the most up-to-date NFL odds from our trusted sports betting apps.

NFL player prop bets

As summer comes to a close, we are eagerly anticipating the start of the 2026 NFL season. Our comprehensive NFL betting guide is packed with team and division previews, futures odds and picks, Super Bowl odds, team and player props bets, and so much more.

Here is a breakdown of the best player prop bets for each team in the upcoming year.

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Arizona Cardinals best player prop bet

James Conner Over 5.5 rushing touchdowns (-130 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Conner may not be known for his straight-line speed or ability to create space, but the 6-foot-1, 235-pound running back excels at moving defenders backwards in close quarters.

In 2026, he scored seven times in just 13 games, following a season where he recorded 15 touchdowns to finish tied for second, despite having a lackluster rushing season with only 752 yards on an average of 3.7 yards per carry. In 2021, Conner received 50.9% of the team’s carries inside the 10-yard line, which decreased to 44.1% in 2026.

Kelly Irvin is a writer who can be found on the SBR website and Twitter at the handle @X.

Atlanta Falcons best player prop bet

Desmond Ridder Over 2,500.5 passing touchdowns (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

The Atlanta Falcons are generating a lot of excitement as the 2026 NFL season approaches, and I predict Ridder will throw for 2,817 passing yards. I am offering odds of -215 for the Over 2,500.5 yards, which gives a positive expected value of 29% compared to FanDuel’s odds.

Stewart Serena is also known as SBR on Twitter.

Baltimore Ravens best player prop bet

Lamar Jackson Over 725.5 regular-season rushing yards (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jackson has surpassed this mark in all four seasons since becoming Baltimore’s full-season starting quarterback in 2019, including 2021 (767 rushing yards) and 2026 (764 rushing yards), despite only playing in twelve games each season.

Mike Clay from ESPN predicts that Jackson will rush for 933 yards in 15 games, which seems reasonable given that he surpassed 1,000 rushing yards in both 2019 and 2020.

The total is significantly higher at some of our top sports betting sites, such as Caesars with a line of 785.5. Therefore, we will gladly accept DraftKings’ modest 725.5 total at +100 while it is still available.

Scott Justin can be found on SBR and Twitter/X.

Buffalo Bills best player prop bet

James Cook Over 3.5 rushing touchdowns (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Will the Bills give Cook more opportunities in his second season? Buffalo made moves in the offseason by adding Damien Harris and Latavius Murray to improve their running game after Devin Singletary left. Despite the additions, it is likely that Cook will be the primary running back and future of the franchise, with projections indicating he will exceed his rushing touchdown total.

NumberFire predicts Cook will end the season with 4.27 touchdowns, while Mike Clay also projects him to finish with four. Both projection models also anticipate Harris to have at least four rushing touchdowns, which is factored into Cook’s total. This means that if the Bills do choose to rely more on Cook, we will be in a favorable position.

King Orson, as seen on SBR and Twitter/X

Carolina Panthers best player prop bet

Miles Sanders Over 5.5 rushing touchdowns (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After a standout season with the Eagles where he played all 17 games and scored 11 rushing touchdowns on 1,269 yards from 259 attempts, Sanders is now making a move to the Panthers. While this may seem like a step back, his experience as a dependable veteran will be valuable behind rookie quarterback Bryce Young. This partnership is expected to boost Sanders’ performance, particularly in the early part of the season when he is in peak physical condition.

Reich and Young are likely to rely on Sanders in the red zone. Last season, Sanders had 44 rushing attempts in the red zone, which was the third highest among all running backs, resulting in 10 touchdowns.

Evans Santiago is also known as SBR on Twitter.

Chicago Bears best player prop bet

Justin Fields Over 2,775.5 passing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

I predict Fields will throw for 2,991 passing yards this season. With the offensive improvements and another offseason to get comfortable with Luke Getsy’s system, I believe Fields will have more opportunities to shine through the air. Opposing defenses may challenge Fields to beat them with his arm rather than his legs, as he had a strong rushing performance in 2026. With just a small increase in pass attempts, Fields has the potential to exceed this projection.

The odds on FanDuel for this Over are -225, giving us a positive expected value of 31%.

–– Stewart Serena

Cincinnati Bengals best player prop bet

Ja’Marr Chase Over 10.5 receiving touchdowns (+110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Chase has a knack for quickly scoring touchdowns, accumulating a total of 22 scores in just 29 career games as a two-time Pro Bowler. This mark ranks tied for second among players since he joined the NFL.

Chase is the top pick for leading the league in receiving touchdowns during the preseason with odds of +600 on FanDuel. Over the past three years, the NFL’s receiving touchdown leader has averaged 16 scores per season. This makes the +110 odds very appealing, especially when compared to FanDuel’s -102 on the same Over bet.

 –– Scott Justin

Cleveland Browns best player prop bet

Nick Chubb Over 8.5 rushing touchdowns (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Now that running back Kareem Hunt is no longer on the team, Chubb is poised to have his most successful season yet. This is impressive considering he is widely regarded as one of the top rushers in the NFL after five seasons.

Chubb scored 12 rushing touchdowns last season and has achieved at least eight touchdowns in each of his first five seasons. Throughout his career, he has averaged 0.64 rushing touchdowns per game, with a 0.74 mark in the last three seasons. If these averages continue, he would be on pace for approximately 10.88 and 12.58 touchdowns over a 17-game season.

–– Scott Justin

Dallas Cowboys best player prop bet

CeeDee Lamb most regular season receiving yards (+2500 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite facing constant double teams and top pass defenders, Lamb managed to rack up an impressive 1,359 receiving yards last season. Even with five games of backup QB Cooper Rush, Lamb still excelled. With the addition of wide receiver Brandin Cooks, Lamb should have even more opportunities to shine. Despite not having a single catch of 40-plus yards, Lamb finished sixth in receiving yards last season.

The wide receiver in his fourth year ranked fifth in receiving yards from Week 7 onwards, coinciding with Prescott’s return. With a full season alongside his top quarterback and a veteran receiver to complement him, Lamb has the potential for a breakout year. Ranked as the 11th option to lead the NFL in receiving yards at Caesars, he is definitely a player to watch.

Caesars has created a Lamb dish that is too irresistible to ignore.

Davis Isabela (SBR, Twitter/X)

Denver Broncos best player prop bet

Jerry Jeudy Over 875.5 receiving yards (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

It is difficult to envision the Denver offense not getting better after the disaster of 2026. Jeudy surpassed expectations with 972 receiving yards in 15 games. I predict he will have 952 receiving yards this year, and I would set the Over at -156.

There are several predictions forecasting that Jeudy will reach over 1,000 yards, so I am confident in the advantage that my numbers provide. Compared to the -130 odds offered by DraftKings, we are gaining a positive expected value of 8%. Even more optimistic projections would result in an even greater advantage.

– Stewart Serena

Detroit Lions best player prop bet

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Jahmyr Gibbs (+900 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Lions drafted Gibbs with the 12th overall pick with the intention of using him frequently in his rookie season. There is a shift in the way teams handle running backs, choosing to maximize their usage during their rookie contracts rather than extending them later on. Gibbs is predicted to be a valuable asset for the Lions right from the start, and I truly believe he has a strong chance to win this award.

Perry Odelia can be found on SBR and Twitter/X.

Green Bay Packers best player prop bet

Jordan Love to have 4000+ regular season passing yards (+750 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Love’s passing props offer an enticing edge in the odds due to the low expectations surrounding him in the market. The trading team at DraftKings is notably pessimistic about Love and the Packers for the upcoming season.

If the price of +750 isn’t convincing enough to bet on Love, consider that he is projected to pass for 3,717 yards, putting him much closer to the 4,000-yard mark than the odds suggest.

–– Perry Odelia

Houston Texans best player prop bet

Dameon Pierce Over 850.5 rushing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

I predict Pierce will rush for 934 yards this season, slightly less than the 939 yards he ran for in 13 games last year. With odds of -163 for the Over, we have a positive expected value of 17% on FanDuel.

The Texans are expected to rely heavily on their running game, and the addition of Devin Singletary is a valuable asset. Sharing the workload in the backfield will keep both Singletary and Pierce fresh and hopefully injury-free for the season.

 –– Stewart Serena

Indianapolis Colts best player prop bet

Anthony Richardson Over 2,475.5 passing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Richardson, a 21-year-old prospect with raw talent, is set to experience the highs and lows of being a rookie. However, his unmatched athleticism has earned him the Week 1 starting position.

I predict Richardson will throw for 2,783 yards and I would set the Over at -234. This gives us a significant expected value of 33%.

–– Stewart Serena

Jacksonville Jaguars best player prop bet

Calvin Ridley Over 825.5 receiving yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

With Ridley’s return from a year-long gambling ban that sidelined him for the entire 2026 season, it seems like a smart choice to place a bet on him. Ridley has a clean injury record and had an impressive 90 receptions for 1,374 yards during his last full season in 2020.

I predict the rookie Jaguars player will have 933 receiving yards, making the Over bet with odds of -189 a good value with a 24% positive expected return on the FanDuel platform.

  –– Stewart Serena

Kansas City Chiefs best player prop bet

Isiah Pacheco Over 774.5 rushing yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Due to his recovery from offseason surgeries on his hand and shoulder, we are reducing Pacheco’s total. Despite rushing for 830 yards as a rookie in 2026, I predict Pacheco will reach 845 rushing yards this year and have set the Over at -153.

The positive expected value is 15%, providing Pacheco with the flexibility to ease back into work or potentially miss some time and still win the Over bet. I also prefer placing bets on established and high-scoring offenses.

  –– Stewart Serena

Las Vegas Raiders best player prop bet

Maxx Crosby 12+ regular-season sacks (+240 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Crosby has risen to become one of the top edge-rushers in the NFL. He has been selected to the last two Pro Bowls and achieved a career-high of 12.5 sacks in 2026.

Crosby has been actively working to improve his grip strength in order to finish plays and secure sacks that he missed out on in 2026, showing that he is not one to become complacent.

Crosby explained to Ted Nguyen of The Athletic that a significant factor in his success this year is the attention to detail and training, as evidenced by several sacks where he was able to grab a piece of the jersey and pull his opponent in.

Brooks Octavia is a talented artist and can be found on Twitter at @BrooksOctavia.

Los Angeles Chargers best player prop bet

Justin Herbert most regular season passing yards (+650 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

I’ve made a strong argument for Herbert to top the list in our NFL regular-season passing yards leader odds. Herbert has recorded the second-highest passing yards in the past two seasons, with 4,739 yards in 2026, coming in just behind Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chargers are expected to have a strong passing game this season with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore and rookie wide receiver Quentin Johnston. Their goal is to advance past the wild-card round, and quarterback Justin Herbert ticket holders can expect to see big benefits from the team throwing the ball all over the field.

–– Brooks Octavia

Los Angeles Rams best player prop bet

Kupp 100-plus receiving yards in eight-plus regular-season games (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kupp has a natural ability to attract targets, and as long as quarterback Matthew Stafford is healthy, their strong chemistry will ensure that continues. In 2026, Kupp received 10 or more targets in five games, following his league-leading 191 targets in 2021 (the second-highest was 169).

Stafford’s durability greatly affects Kupp in all aspects. However, the transition to his new backup, Stetson Bennett, may not be as drastic as the previous trio of John Wolford, Bryce Perkins, and Baker Mayfield. Regardless of the quarterback, Kupp will benefit from the game scripts favoring him due to the Rams frequently playing from behind.

 –– Kelly Irvin

Miami Dolphins best player prop bet

Tua Tagovailoa Over 3850.5 passing yards (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Tua threw for 3,548 passing yards in only 13 games last season, despite leaving one game early due to injury. If he can stay healthy and avoid getting hit too often, he should easily surpass this number. While the risk of injury is a concern, it seems factored into the expectations.

When comparing two different projection models for quarterback Tua, one assumes he will play all 17 games while the other accounts for him missing a game or two. NumberFire predicts Tua will finish with 4,460.31 passing yards, the fifth-highest total among all quarterbacks. On the other hand, ESPN’s Mike Clay factors in two missed games and projects Tua to finish with 3,886 passing yards, still surpassing the total predicted by NumberFire.

  –– King Orson

Minnesota Vikings best player prop bet

Justin Jefferson Over 1,350.5 receiving yards (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

I believe my prediction of Jefferson gaining 1,440 receiving yards in 2026 is very cautious, yet it still results in a -168 price on this total and a positive expected value of 20% on the DraftKings number.

After finishing the 2026 season with a 13-4 record, the Vikings are in for a rude awakening as their defense appears to be even weaker than the previous year when they allowed an average of 25.1 points per game, the third-highest in the NFL. Consequently, quarterback Kirk Cousins is expected to throw the ball more frequently than ever before, with wide receiver Justin Jefferson likely to receive over 150 targets for the third year in a row.

–– Stewart Serena

New England Patriots best player prop bet

Mac Jones Over 3000.5 passing yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

In 2026, Jones fell just short of the mark with 2,997 passing yards in 14 games. However, in 2021, he exceeded DraftKings’ listed total with 3,801 yards while playing the full 17-game slate.

Moreover, Jones is expected to exceed his passing yard projections according to both NumberFire and ESPN’s Mike Clay. With Jones nearly reaching 3,000 yards in just 14 games last season and the positive projections for a bounce-back year, Caesars is confident in selecting the Over for Jones’ passing yards.

  –– King Orson

New Orleans Saints best player prop bet

Derek Carr to lead NFL in interceptions (+2000 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

This is the wager I prefer most in our Saints betting preview, determined by the odds provided by our Louisiana sports betting apps.

Carr threw 14 interceptions in both of the past two seasons, achieving this in just 15 games last year. Despite the advantage of improved weather conditions for road games in the NFC South, he will be challenged by unfamiliar defenses and a new group of receivers. Carr is ranked 10th in the odds to lead the NFL in passing yards this season, but with a high yardage total also comes an increased risk of interceptions.

––  Evans Santiago

New York Giants best player prop bet

Darren Waller Under 700.5 receiving yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Waller is entering his 8th year in the pros and has struggled with injuries. The Giants have a crowded wide receiver group, so it’s uncertain if any player will see a significant increase in targets with quarterback Daniel Jones and head coach Brian Daboll spreading the ball around in 2026.

If you had noticed this prop bet at Caesars in early August, you could have placed a bet on Under 740.5 at -115, which was an incredible opportunity. Since then, Caesars has reduced the total by 40 points, but it still offers better odds than DraftKings (U700.5 at -120). Additionally, bet365 has the total at 685.5, while FanDuel offers a unique opportunity with a total of 625.5, which may be worth considering for a potential middling strategy.

  –– Davis Isabela

New York Jets best player prop bet

Aaron Rodgers Over 3800.5 passing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Rodgers fell short of achieving this number last season due to a depleted Green Bay Packers wide receivers group. However, with a revamped team in New York, Rodgers now has the opportunity to target talented players such as reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year Garrett Wilson, speedster Mecole Hardman, reliable deep threat Corey Davis, and former Packers teammates Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb.

Rodgers surpassed this total in four consecutive seasons before 2026, and he is expected to bring a renewed energy to a team committed to winning in 2026. NumberFire predicts Rodgers will finish with 4098.44 passing yards, while ESPN’s Mike Clay projects 4,026 passing yards. This makes taking the Over on his passing yards an easy choice.

  –– King Orson

Philadelphia Eagles best player prop bet

DeVonta Smith Over 925.5 receiving yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

It is unlikely that Philadelphia will be as dominant in the first half of 2026 as they were in the first eight games of 2026. As a result, we can expect closer games and an increase in passing. A.J. Brown remains the top deep threat for Philadelphia, so DeVonta Smith should continue to see a significant number of targets.

With most projection sites predicting Smith to finish with 1,050 to 1,100 receiving yards, it’s surprising that FanDuel has set such a low total. Other sportsbooks like bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars have higher over/under numbers for Smith’s yardage, so it may be worth placing a bet now to take advantage of the discrepancy.

  –– Davis Isabela

Pittsburgh Steelers best player prop bet

Najee Harris Over 900.5 rushing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Despite little help from his offensive line, Harris has managed to achieve back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons. According to Graham Barfield of Fantasy Pts, Harris has only averaged 1.12 yards per carry before contact, ranking last among the 35 running backs with 250 or more carries in the last two seasons.

During the offseason, the Steelers made significant changes to the left side of their offensive line, drafting left tackle Broderick Jones in the first round. With improved blocking, Najee Harris is expected to come close to reaching 1,000 rushing yards once again. ESPN’s Mike Clay predicts that Harris will rush for 964 yards in 14 games this season.

–– Scott Justin

San Francisco 49ers best player prop bet

Brandon Aiyuk Over 800.5 receiving yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The uncertainty at quarterback in San Francisco is a factor that may affect Aiyuk’s consistency as a producer. Despite this ongoing issue, the agile wideout has managed to exceed this milestone in two out of his first three seasons.

In 2026, the Niners had Jimmy Garoppolo starting 10 games, Brock Purdy starting five, and Trey Lance starting two. Despite the changing quarterbacks, Aiyuk still managed to achieve career highs in receiving yards (1,015), receptions (78), and touchdowns (eight).

 –– Kelly Irvin

Seattle Seahawks best player prop bet

Geno Smith Under 3900.5 passing yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There are two types of regression: the sudden face plant kind and the more gradual, gentle kind. Smith is expected to experience the latter, so it’s important to consider this when choosing to make a play at DraftKings. If you believe he will only wobble and not crash, then this could be a good opportunity.

The upcoming star power of wide receiver Jaxson Smith-Njigba and D.K. Metcalf’s physical dominance will help sustain Smith. Additionally, with the Seahawks recently drafting running back Zach Charbonnet in the second round, they may be poised for some lopsided victories, especially against division rivals.

 –– Kelly Irvin

Tampa Bay Buccaneers best player prop bet

Jamel Dean Over 1.5 interceptions (-155 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Dean led the Bucs in interceptions last season, tying for the team lead with two picks. This was his third season in four years since being drafted with that number. Additionally, he is expected to benefit from poor quarterback play within his division in 2026.

Bryce Young is a newcomer, while Desmond Ridder is in his second year and only played four games in 2026. Derek Carr threw 14 interceptions in 15 games for the Las Vegas Raiders before being benched early due to his subpar performance.

The Bucs are expected to face rookie QBs against the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts, along with Kirk Cousins, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, and Josh Allen. Dean is poised to capitalize on the 46 interceptions thrown by this group last season. Additionally, he will also go up against Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love in his first season of significant playing time.

––  Evans Santiago

Tennessee Titans best player prop bet

Treylon Burks Over 685.5 receiving yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Burks’ fortunes took a turn for the worse after being chosen as the 18th overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft and being labeled as the successor to A.J. Brown in Tennessee’s offense. Despite facing setbacks, Burks displayed his exceptional athleticism and ability to cause trouble for opponents when he was in good health during the 2026 season.

I predict Burks will have 846 receiving yards, so I am betting the Over on 685.5 at -257 to give me a 35% increase in expected value compared to the -115 odds offered by Caesars.

–– Stewart Serena

Washington Commanders best player prop bet

Brian Robinson Jr. Over 775.5 rushing yards (+125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Robinson had the third-highest number of carries among NFL running backs from Week 9 to 17, excluding the finale. While I would prefer to see the Commanders focus more on passing, head coach Ron Rivera is known for his smashmouth style and is unlikely to suddenly adopt a more pass-heavy approach like Andy Reid. Robinson will continue to be a key component of the team’s physical offensive strategy.

According to FantasyPros, six notable projection sites predict that Robinson will finish the 2026 season with 943.7 rushing yards. This estimate may be on the conservative side considering Robinson’s heavy usage in games, even when the Commanders were trailing by a significant margin. Although he may only gain 3.7 yards per carry, taking the Over on 770.5 yards at +125 odds is a great opportunity.

  –– Davis Isabela

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