NFL Player Props Week 12: Predictions, Picks & Odds for Sunday
We always seek out the best NFL odds from top NFL prop betting sites when making our NFL player props for Week 12, providing the perfect complement to the NFL action.
The Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, and San Francisco 49ers all secured significant wins during the NFL’s Thanksgiving Day tripleheader. Our NFL player props went 1-1, with a successful -106 prediction on Green Bay Packers running back AJ Dillon surpassing his receiving yards line.
We aim to increase our victories during the Sunday games.
In addition to our NFL Week 12 predictions and top bets, we are sharing our favorite NFL player props for Week 11, with odds from our recommended NFL betting sites. Our picks are rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars for confidence.
NFL player props for Week 12
- Javonte Williams Over 52.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- AJ Dillon Over 12.5 receiving yards (-106 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐ ✅
- David Montgomery Over 5.5 receiving yards (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐ ❌
- Allen Lazard Over 15.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐ (Void)
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NFL player props for Week 12: Sunday
Javonte Williams Over 52.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Although the Cleveland Browns may seem like a tough opponent, I believe Williams will still be able to have a successful game running the ball on Sunday. In Week 11, Pittsburgh Steelers running back Jaylen Warren scored a 74-yard rushing touchdown against the Browns, showing that there are opportunities to gain yards on the ground against them. Additionally, Denver’s offense has been performing well during their five-game winning streak, making them a more dynamic team to face.
Furthermore, I anticipate that Browns quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson will have difficulty sustaining drives, leading to increased fatigue for the Cleveland defense.
I predict Williams will rush for 66.9 yards, and I would consider betting the Over at -149 for a 14% expected value advantage over the -110 odds at bet365.
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NFL player props for Week 12: Friday
Allen Lazard Over 15.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
I expect the Miami Dolphins, who are heavily favored, to easily defeat the New York Jets on Friday. This game may turn into a blowout, allowing for some garbage-time plays, and I predict Lazard will catch a few passes to help meet the modest point total.
Just one more catch could be enough to surpass the current number. It’s worth noting that this is the lowest receiving yards total Lazard has had all season, and he has finished with 25.5 yards in each of the past two weeks.
I have Lazard projected for 29.4 receiving yards, so I would recommend taking the Over at -159 for a positive expected value of 17% compared to the -110 odds at bet365.
Can we be certain that the New York offense will be worse with third-string quarterback Tim Boyle at the helm?
Editor’s note: According to reports, Lazard will not be participating in Friday’s game against the Dolphins.
NFL player props for Week 12: Thursday
AJ Dillon Over 12.5 receiving yards (-106 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐ ✅
Due to Packers running back Aaron Jones being sidelined with a knee injury, Dillon is expected to carry a heavy workload and Green Bay is considered a significant underdog on the road. With this in mind, I predict Dillon will be targeted in the passing game on Thursday.
Although Dillon is nursing a groin injury, the 12.5 total is not considered high. In Week 11, he caught all four of his targets for 32 yards and has demonstrated strong pass-catching abilities.
I appreciate the lower vigorish in the -106 BetRivers price. With my projection of 16.8 receiving yards for Dillon, I would set the Over at -138 for a positive expected value of 13% based on the BetRivers odds.
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David Montgomery Over 5.5 receiving yards (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐ ❌
There is a lot of excitement surrounding Lions rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs, but we shouldn’t overlook Montgomery and his low receiving yards total. It’s worth noting that Montgomery’s total has closed at 10.5 in the last two weeks.
Furthermore, Montgomery has exceeded the 5.5 number in five out of his seven games in Detroit’s passing game, despite not being a primary weapon. He has recorded eight receptions for 88 yards on 12 targets.
I predict Montgomery will have 10.9 receiving yards and would set the Over at -156, resulting in a positive expected value of 16% compared to the -110 FanDuel odds.
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NFL betting odds pages
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- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Underscoreg Promos (U.S. only)
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